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Jacksonville State vs Incarnate Word Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 67-65
38-29 29-36
Position#256
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game63.7
vs
Position#343
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game78.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jacksonville State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Incarnate Word winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#162
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H17/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
55-79
55
79
-24
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
101-71
101
71
+30
A23/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Brescia
#529
W
91-41
91
41
+50
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
H11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
41-38
25-45
30-34
50-33
51-38
42-39
50-44
48-21
43-20
33-31
38-40
27-40
30-30
22-20
37-41
24-38
42-29
31-26
46-36
143.7Avg total
75.3Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.563.7135.2+7.833%
Season at home (2)85.061.0146.0+24.050%
Season away (4)64.865.0129.8-0.225%
Last 10 (10)75.368.4143.7+6.950%
Last 5 (5)67.668.2135.8-0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)60.273.5133.8-13.212%
vs Similar (13)66.367.9134.2-1.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.363.6140.9+13.757%
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
56-88
56
88
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
104-63
104
63
+41
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
100-81
100
81
+19
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
41-45
29-26
37-45
40-27
39-48
32-43
32-38
17-48
39-40
31-34
40-51
56-24
48-39
50-41
50-40
38-24
29-42
33-33
47-57
154.5Avg total
76.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.778.8158.5+0.850%
Season at home (2)85.564.5150.0+21.0100%
Season away (4)76.886.0162.8-9.225%
Last 10 (10)76.178.4154.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)84.477.0161.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)66.179.7145.9-13.621%
vs Similar (12)75.576.5152.0-1.042%
vs Weaker (4)88.865.0153.8+23.875%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: -4.3-4.3
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +2.0+2.02nd half2nd half: +5.8+5.82nd half: -4.3-4.3
Jacksonville StateIncarnate Word
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Queens Royals
#162
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H17/02
NCAA
Liberty
#30
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H18/02
NCAA
Central Arkansas
#341
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A23/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Brescia
#529
W
48-21
48
21
+27
H07/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#309
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#236
W
22-20
22
20
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Incarnate Word
#343
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A24/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.7Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.631.564.1+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.128.663.8+6.579%-
Last 30 away (16)30.334.164.4-3.850%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.466.1+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)27.431.058.4-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.634.163.8-4.550%-
vs Similar (13)30.830.961.7-0.269%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)35.330.766.0+4.671%-
This opponent (Incarnate Word) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Incarnate WordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nicholls State
#189
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
29-26
29
26
+3
H24/02
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A02/03
NCAA
Texas
#112
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A07/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A11/11
NCAA
Schreiner Mountaineers
#510
W
56-24
56
24
+32
H14/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#277
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A19/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#256
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H23/11
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A25/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.235.469.7-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.533.270.6+4.354%-
Last 30 away (17)31.837.268.9-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)35.933.969.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.272.8+10.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)30.436.466.7-6.029%-
vs Similar (12)35.335.771.0-0.350%-
vs Weaker (4)44.531.576.0+13.050%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jacksonville State wins
1
Incarnate Word wins
DateGameScore
23/11/23Incarnate Word v Jacksonville State67-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23AUTSA Roadrunners77-62
23/11/23AIncarnate Word66-67
19/11/23ANorth Alabama59-61
15/11/23AWest Virginia57-70
11/11/23HUtah Tech79-81 OT
07/11/23HBrescia91-41
25/02/23ANorth Alabama92-83
23/02/23ACentral Arkansas101-71
18/02/23HLiberty55-79
17/02/23HQueens Royals76-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23AUTSA Roadrunners80-90
23/11/23HJacksonville State67-66
19/11/23AArkansas-Pine Bluff100-81
14/11/23HSchreiner Mountaineers104-63
11/11/23ATulsa71-85
07/11/23ATexas56-88
02/03/23ANorthwestern St.64-81
25/02/23HTX A&M Commerce79-75
24/02/23HNorthwestern St.66-71
18/02/23ANicholls State74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jacksonville State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game71.585.064.8
Allowed / game63.761.065.0
Point differential+7.8+24.0-0.2
Avg total135.2146.0129.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Incarnate Word
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game79.785.576.8
Allowed / game78.864.586.0
Point differential+0.8+21.0-9.2
Avg total158.5150.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty660100%85.860.8+25.0
2 Louisiana Tech65183%81.561.2+20.3
3 Delaware65183%77.766.0+11.7
4 Missouri State65183%74.765.3+9.3
5 UTEP75271%83.469.1+14.3
6 Kennesaw State64267%86.774.8+11.8
7 Western Kentucky74357%78.374.0+4.3
8 Sam Houston St.74357%75.172.3+2.9
9 Middle Tenn. St.84450%65.164.2+0.9
10 New Mexico State83538%71.574.0-2.5
11 Jacksonville State62433%71.563.7+7.8
12 Florida International71614%70.077.9-7.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State75271%79.758.6+21.1
2 Stephen F. Austin64267%80.271.3+8.8
3 Lamar74357%83.776.0+7.7
4 New Orleans63350%82.075.5+6.5
5 Incarnate Word63350%79.778.8+0.8
6 Nicholls State73443%76.376.4-0.1
7 TX A&M Commerce83538%68.174.0-5.9
8 Texas A&M-CC62433%78.369.5+8.8
9 UTRGV72529%73.980.1-6.3
10 Northwestern St.61517%76.079.0-3.0
11 SE Louisiana61517%69.381.0-11.7
12 Houston Christian4040%72.293.5-21.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Jacksonville State382967
Incarnate Word293665
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