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New Mexico State vs Jacksonville State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-65
28-33 39-32
Position#285
Record10-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#256
Record11-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · New Mexico State v Jacksonville State
14 Jan 2027
NEW v JACK
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
NEW 77
JACK75
25 Jan 2025
NEW 59
JACK65
03 Feb 2024
NEW 67
JACK65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Mexico State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jacksonville State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Mexico StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
67-77
67
77
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H19/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
79-73 OT
79
73
+6
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-34
50-41
37-33
22-32
32-26
34-35
28-22
35-31
30-38
37-39
27-37
45-33
34-26
39-36
37-38
30-41
28-33
25-40
35-37
34-32
135.9Avg total
67.1Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.971.8141.6-1.945%
Season at home (13)73.364.4137.7+8.977%
Season away (9)64.982.4147.3-17.60%
Last 10 (10)67.168.8135.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)68.871.4140.2-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)49.161.8110.8-12.625%
vs Similar (6)63.767.5131.2-3.833%
vs Weaker (2)77.057.0134.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#90
W
90-60
90
60
+30
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#541
W
93-57
93
57
+36
H29/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#568
W
107-67
107
67
+40
H31/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
61-51
61
51
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H20/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A25/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
56-30
50-25
43-32
55-37
52-30
40-28
30-35
26-21
35-30
43-35
26-45
25-30
32-44
23-35
44-40
33-31
40-31
32-36
39-43
142.6Avg total
75.8Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.864.5135.3+6.250%
Season at home (11)74.161.6135.7+12.564%
Season away (11)67.567.5134.9+0.036%
Last 10 (10)75.866.8142.6+9.060%
Last 5 (5)67.474.0141.4-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.366.1128.4-3.929%
vs Similar (10)70.570.1140.6+0.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)72.263.8136.0+8.455%
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +3.7+3.7
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +3.7+3.7
New Mexico StateJacksonville State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
New Mexico StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stephen F. Austin
#175
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#217
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H31/12
NCAA
UTEP
#185
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H05/01
NCAA
Florida International
#318
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H21/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#93
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A27/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.0Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)32.034.066.0-2.042%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.930.863.7+2.157%-
Last 30 away (10)30.738.669.3-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)31.032.463.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)32.234.266.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)29.737.066.7-7.320%-
vs Similar (5)33.630.664.2+3.080%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Jacksonville State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jacksonville StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UALR
#90
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A21/12
NCAA
Fort Valley State Wildcats
#541
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H29/12
NCAA
Trevecca Nazarene
#568
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H31/12
NCAA
Florida International
#318
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H06/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
26-21
26
21
+5
A11/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#84
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A25/01
NCAA
Liberty
#158
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H27/01
NCAA
UTEP
#185
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A02/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
36.1Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.630.764.4+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.228.463.6+6.979%-
Last 30 away (16)32.232.865.1-0.656%-
Last 10 (10)36.130.866.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.464.6-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.630.460.0-0.957%-
vs Similar (10)32.731.864.5+0.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)33.629.963.5+3.764%-
This opponent (New Mexico State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
New Mexico State wins
0
Jacksonville State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HLiberty79-73 OT
27/01/24ALouisiana Tech53-73
26/01/24ASam Houston St.67-79
21/01/24HMiddle Tenn. St.73-62
19/01/24HWestern Kentucky72-70
12/01/24AFlorida International67-77
05/01/24HUTEP63-53
31/12/23HCalifornia Baptist66-61
23/12/23ATulsa59-65
20/12/23AStephen F. Austin72-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24AUTEP71-79
27/01/24HLiberty73-62
25/01/24AMiddle Tenn. St.67-75
20/01/24HLouisiana Tech57-74
13/01/24AWestern Kentucky69-80
11/01/24ALiberty61-51
06/01/24HFlorida International70-63
31/12/23HTrevecca Nazarene107-67
29/12/23HFort Valley State Wildcats93-57
21/12/23AUALR90-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Mexico State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %45%77%0%
Points / game69.973.364.9
Allowed / game71.864.482.4
Point differential-1.9+8.9-17.6
Avg total141.6137.7147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (6)0% (1)
Overtime %14%15%11%
Jacksonville State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeWWWLW64%
AwayWWLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game70.874.167.5
Allowed / game64.561.667.5
Point differential+6.2+12.5+0.0
Avg total135.3135.7134.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2216673%76.262.7+13.5
2 Western Kentucky2215768%80.774.8+5.9
3 Delaware2314961%75.970.6+5.3
4 Missouri State2314961%72.170.8+1.3
5 Liberty2213959%75.664.5+11.2
6 Kennesaw State23131057%84.580.0+4.4
7 Sam Houston St.23131057%71.371.1+0.3
8 UTEP22121055%73.869.4+4.5
9 Jacksonville State22111150%70.864.5+6.2
10 New Mexico State22101245%69.971.8-1.9
11 Middle Tenn. St.2281436%63.967.3-3.4
12 Florida International2381535%74.977.2-2.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
New Mexico State283967
Jacksonville State333265
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