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Japan W vs Australia W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Jun 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 96-85
22-19 30-22 17-23 27-21
Position-
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Japan W 🏆
vs
Australia W
Position-
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International Women
Women2024
Meetings · Japan W v Australia W
20 Jun 2024
JAPA96
AUST85
02 Oct 2021
JAPA67
AUST65
28 Sep 2019
JAPA76
AUST64
25 Jul 2017
JAPA74
AUST83
11 Aug 2016
JAPA86
AUST92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Japan W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Japan WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
China W
#1
L
71-73
71
73
-2
58avg 81
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
118-46
118
46
+72
no box
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
92-30
92
30
+62
no box
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
89-47
89
47
+42
no box
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
81-58
81
58
+23
no box
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
72-74
72
74
-2
no box
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 81
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
L
75-81
75
81
-6
65avg 81
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 81
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
18-9
16-22
20-25
32-12
39-16
29-8
18-10
25-12
26-9
25-3
16-6
35-14
15-12
16-13
30-20
25-15
20-12
22-9
22-11
20-15
20-18
16-11
25-14
16-26
24-19
11-12
21-17
26-18
20-18
23-21
17-18
22-13
10-19
16-21
27-28
20-20
30-26
20-21
16-15
149.1Avg total
86.6Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.662.5149.1+24.170%
Last 5 (5)80.074.0154.0+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.577.4153.8-0.955%
vs Similar (2)58.568.0126.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (17)89.458.2147.6+31.288%
Australia WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
105-34
105
34
+71
119avg 75
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
91-45
91
45
+46
96avg 75
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
52avg 75
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
91-64
91
64
+27
89avg 75
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
42avg 75
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
74avg 75
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
60-55
60
55
+5
53avg 75
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
85-52
85
52
+33
83avg 75
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
68avg 75
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
24-22
20-11
24-11
30-7
26-16
22-5
27-6
19-12
22-12
29-16
21-5
21-15
11-29
19-26
15-21
31-16
21-17
19-21
20-10
11-18
21-17
11-18
17-21
22-14
17-14
24-17
18-14
19-16
14-7
16-24
11-8
24-10
30-14
21-21
10-7
12-22
23-12
16-14
24-25
142.1Avg total
80.9Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.961.2142.1+19.780%
Last 5 (5)72.262.6134.8+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.777.3142.0-12.60%
vs Similar (1)60.074.0134.0-14.00%
vs Weaker (22)83.060.2143.2+22.891%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +5.9+5.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.6+7.6Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +5.9+5.9
Japan WAustralia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Japan WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China W
#1
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/07
Asia Cup Women
Hong Kong W
#7
W
71-28
71
28
+43
H27/09
Asian Games Women
Kazakhstan W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
A29/09
Asian Games Women
Philippines W
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H01/10
Asian Games Women
Indonesia W
#9
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/10
Asian Games Women
South Korea W
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H03/10
Asian Games Women
China W
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A05/10
Asian Games Women
Spain W
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Hungary W
#11
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H09/02
Olympic Games Women
Canada W
#8
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
78.0Avg total
46.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.634.075.7+7.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.833.174.9+8.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.534.976.4+6.567%-
Last 10 (10)46.032.078.0+14.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.638.480.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.040.177.1-3.127%-
vs Similar (2)30.033.563.5-3.50%-
vs Weaker (17)46.030.276.2+15.894%-
Australia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canada W
#6
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H01/10
World Cup Women
Philippines W
#7
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H26/06
Asia Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W
#8
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A27/06
Asia Cup Women
Japan W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/06
Asia Cup Women
South Korea W
#5
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/06
Asia Cup Women
China W
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Asia Cup Women
New Zealand W
#4
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/07
Asia Cup Women
Brazil W
#15
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A08/02
Olympic Games Women
Germany W
#5
W
54-24
54
24
+30
H10/02
Olympic Games Women
Serbia W
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A11/02
Olympic Games Women
73.6Avg total
42.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.432.774.1+8.673%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.933.073.9+7.972%-
Last 30 away (12)42.032.374.3+9.775%-
Last 10 (10)42.531.173.6+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)38.628.867.4+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.739.173.9-4.429%-
vs Similar (1)32.035.067.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker (22)43.930.674.5+13.391%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Japan Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Japan W: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.4
54.4%
46.7%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.5
38.9%
31.0%37.5
🏀 Free throws12.210.5
85.7%
71.3%10.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia W: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 55.4 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.022.1
48.1%
46.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.37.2
35.5%
31.0%21.7
🏀 Free throws16.913.2
78.3%
71.3%13.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/9 games with a box score before 20 Jun 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Japan W
WLWLWWWWWL
Australia W
WWWWLWLWWW
+24.4
Net rating
+26.8
117.9
Offensive rating
107.7
93.6
Defensive rating
80.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
49.7%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.3%
13.8%
Turnover %
18.9%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.9%
3-point %
35.5%
66.8%
Assist %
59.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 107.7Defence93.6 · 80.9Shooting56.4% · 49.7%3-point %38.9% · 35.5%Ball care13.8% · 18.9%Off. rebounds27.0% · 36.6%Free throws0.19 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Japan W   ■ Australia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Japan W wins
3
Australia W wins
DateGameScore
28/06/23Australia W v Japan W66-91
27/09/22Australia W v Japan W71-54
02/10/21Japan W v Australia W67-65
28/09/19Japan W v Australia W76-64
29/07/17Australia W v Japan W73-74
25/07/17Japan W v Australia W74-83
11/08/16Japan W v Australia W86-92
Japan Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ACanada W86-82
09/02/24HHungary W75-81
08/02/24ASpain W86-75
05/10/23AChina W72-74
03/10/23HSouth Korea W81-58
02/10/23AIndonesia W89-47
01/10/23HPhilippines W96-59
29/09/23AKazakhstan W92-30
27/09/23HHong Kong W118-46
02/07/23AChina W71-73
Australia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24ASerbia W75-73
10/02/24HGermany W85-52
08/02/24ABrazil W60-55
02/07/23HNew Zealand W81-59
01/07/23AChina W60-74
30/06/23HSouth Korea W91-64
28/06/23HJapan W66-91
27/06/23AChinese Taipei W91-45
26/06/23HPhilippines W105-34
01/10/22HCanada W95-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Japan W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Australia W
Friendly International Women 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Japan W2230172796
Australia W1922232185
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