PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Alba Berlin vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-74
18-22 9-25 13-14 22-13
Position#6
Record19-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#2
Record24-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game80.1
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals· Uber Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ulm
25 Oct 2026
ABE98
ULM82
20 Dec 2025
ABE66
ULM67
19 Oct 2025
ABE90
ULM68
21 May 2025
ABE62
ULM74
09 Nov 2024
ABE96
ULM88
17 Feb 2024
ABE79
ULM87
04 Feb 2024
ABE98
ULM88
19 May 2023
ABE81
ULM93
14 May 2023
ABE64
ULM88
30 Apr 2023
ABE91
ULM79
15 Apr 2022
ABE78
ULM73
01 Jun 2021
ABE92
ULM78
30 May 2021
ABE71
ULM73
19 Dec 2020
ABE93
ULM83
03 Nov 2019
ABE109
ULM89
26 May 2019
ABE v ULM
upcoming
18 May 2019
ABE107
ULM78
02 Apr 2019
ABE92
ULM81
01 May 2018
ABE102
ULM73
03 Oct 2016
ABE94
ULM98
01 Oct 2015
ABE74
ULM54
12 Oct 2014
ABE88
ULM68
15 May 2014
ABE64
ULM71
10 May 2014
ABE86
ULM66
30 Mar 2014
ABE86
ULM80
16 Nov 2013
ABE102
ULM74
20 Oct 2012
ABE80
ULM88
23 Dec 2011
ABE89
ULM58
09 Mar 2011
ABE100
ULM90
25 Oct 2009
ABE78
ULM56
25 Mar 2009
ABE84
ULM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
59avg 77
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 77
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 77
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
89avg 77
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 77
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
103-81
103
81
+22
105avg 77
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
90-62
90
62
+28
91avg 77
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
101-69
101
69
+32
103avg 77
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 77
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 77
A17/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
17-24
8-14
24-12
19-17
29-7
14-18
17-21
32-18
20-23
23-24
27-23
20-15
20-14
27-17
22-22
17-16
18-23
23-16
11-15
27-23
35-4
21-28
20-26
24-12
25-12
26-19
15-19
29-16
26-21
17-16
29-16
21-19
22-13
18-20
20-26
27-20
13-25
22-30
21-19
160.5Avg total
86.0Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)86.780.1166.9+6.656%
Season at home (17)86.675.1161.8+11.576%
Season away (17)86.885.2172.0+1.635%
Last 10 (10)86.074.5160.5+11.570%
Last 5 (5)91.676.8168.4+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.689.1165.7-12.518%
vs Similar ◀ (5)89.286.0175.2+3.240%
vs Weaker (14)88.076.4164.4+11.671%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
115-88
115
88
+27
90avg 81
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
43avg 81
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
117-87
117
87
+30
122avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
109-94
109
94
+15
106avg 81
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
119-92
119
92
+27
111avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 81
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 81
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 81
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
84avg 81
H17/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
32-16
24-18
30-30
10-21
11-19
24-26
22-19
34-8
22-28
26-24
35-27
28-16
29-35
28-24
24-19
19-24
12-20
23-20
18-25
25-24
25-17
37-18
32-33
17-18
21-19
27-19
25-18
27-16
26-21
16-27
23-13
25-21
21-16
19-10
14-17
20-27
25-13
30-22
19-21
178.7Avg total
95.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.780.1168.8+8.573%
Season at home (17)94.577.9172.4+16.694%
Season away (16)82.482.5164.9-0.150%
Last 10 (10)95.483.3178.7+12.180%
Last 5 (5)94.878.0172.8+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)92.185.6177.7+6.555%
vs Weaker (17)90.079.9169.9+10.176%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
Alba BerlinUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
62-27
62
27
+35
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
BBL
79.9Avg total
45.5Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.182.6+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.439.683.9+4.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.040.581.5+0.531%-
Last 10 (10)45.534.479.9+11.170%-
Last 5 (5)49.833.082.8+16.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.946.883.7-9.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)47.237.084.2+10.280%-
vs Weaker (14)45.435.981.2+9.564%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#16
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/05
BBL
86.1Avg total
45.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.883.7+2.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.941.489.3+6.481%-
Last 30 away (14)37.140.177.2-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)45.840.386.1+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.484.8+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.443.585.8-1.155%-
vs Weaker (17)43.238.581.7+4.876%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.7
53.2%
52.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.510.4
40.8%
33.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.214.6
68.9%
73.5%14.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.7
58.8%
52.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.312.0
41.0%
33.6%36.0
🏀 Free throws25.419.4
76.4%
73.5%19.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
LWWWWLWWWL
Ulm
WWWWWLWWLW
#6
League position
#2
+16.0
Net rating
+16.3
114.8
Offensive rating
121.8
98.7
Defensive rating
105.5
56.5%
Effective FG%
60.0%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
21.9%
Turnover %
17.4%
40.7%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.40
40.8%
3-point %
41.0%
66.8%
Assist %
59.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 121.8Defence98.7 · 105.5Shooting56.5% · 60.0%3-point %40.8% · 41.0%Ball care21.9% · 17.4%Off. rebounds40.7% · 29.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Alba Berlin wins
7
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
17/05/25Ulm v Alba Berlin94-83
09/03/25Ulm v Alba Berlin101-90 OT
09/11/24Alba Berlin v Ulm96-88
17/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm79-87
04/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm98-88
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AUlm83-94
13/05/25HSyntainics MBC81-78
08/05/25HGottingen101-69
30/04/25HSyntainics MBC90-62
27/04/25AChemnitz103-81
23/04/25AWurzburg69-70
20/04/25HFrankfurt89-68
16/04/25HBonn102-88
13/04/25ALudwigsburg79-63
10/04/25AParis63-72
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HAlba Berlin94-83
11/05/25AHamburg79-64
08/05/25HBamberg92-77
03/05/25AHeidelberg90-74
21/04/25HOldenburg119-92
14/04/25AWurzburg72-89
08/04/25HBayern109-94
06/04/25HChemnitz117-87
29/03/25ARostock67-85
22/03/25HFrankfurt115-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%76%35%
Points / game86.786.686.8
Allowed / game80.175.185.2
Point differential+6.6+11.5+1.6
Avg total166.9161.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%47%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)50% (4)0% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %73%94%50%
Points / game88.794.582.4
Allowed / game80.177.982.5
Point differential+8.5+16.6-0.1
Avg total168.8172.4164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3426876%82.975.4+7.4
2 Ulm3324973%88.780.1+8.5
3 Basketball Braunschweig34211362%84.581.1+3.4
4 Heidelberg34201459%80.480.8-0.4
5 Alba Berlin34191556%86.780.1+6.6
6 Wurzburg34191556%83.281.2+2.0
7 Chemnitz34181653%82.685.1-2.5
8 Ludwigsburg32161650%76.274.6+1.7
9 Oldenburg34171750%89.689.4+0.3
10 Syntainics MBC36181850%84.485.2-0.8
11 Vechta32161650%79.881.7-1.8
12 Rostock33161748%81.481.5-0.1
13 Hamburg32151747%81.183.5-2.3
14 Bonn32141844%84.284.3-0.1
15 Bamberg32122038%83.886.0-2.3
16 Frankfurt3282425%75.682.5-7.0
17 Gottingen323299%81.094.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin189132262
Ulm2225141374
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.