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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-83
20-27 25-13 30-22 19-21
Position#2
Record23-9
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game80.0
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#6
Record19-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game79.7
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 81
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
115-88
115
88
+27
90avg 81
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
43avg 81
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
117-87
117
87
+30
122avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
109-94
109
94
+15
106avg 81
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
119-92
119
92
+27
111avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 81
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 81
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 81
A11/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-10
19-18
17-19
15-23
29-24
32-16
24-18
30-30
10-21
11-19
24-26
22-19
34-8
22-28
26-24
35-27
28-16
29-35
28-24
24-19
19-24
12-20
23-20
18-25
25-24
25-17
37-18
32-33
17-18
21-19
27-19
25-18
27-16
26-21
16-27
23-13
25-21
21-16
19-10
14-17
174.2Avg total
92.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)88.580.0168.5+8.572%
Season at home (16)94.677.6172.1+17.094%
Season away (16)82.482.5164.9-0.150%
Last 10 (10)92.282.0174.2+10.270%
Last 5 (5)90.479.2169.6+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)91.985.9177.8+6.050%
vs Weaker (18)88.779.3168.1+9.472%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
83-58
83
58
+25
83avg 77
H06/04
BBL
Paris
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
59avg 77
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 77
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 77
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
89avg 77
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 77
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
103-81
103
81
+22
105avg 77
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
90-62
90
62
+28
91avg 77
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
101-69
101
69
+32
103avg 77
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 77
H13/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-7
25-22
26-16
13-13
14-22
17-24
8-14
24-12
19-17
29-7
14-18
17-21
32-18
20-23
23-24
27-23
20-15
20-14
27-17
22-22
17-16
18-23
23-16
11-15
27-23
35-4
21-28
20-26
24-12
25-12
26-19
15-19
29-16
26-21
17-16
29-16
21-19
22-13
18-20
20-26
156.9Avg total
86.0Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)86.879.7166.6+7.158%
Season at home (17)86.675.1161.8+11.576%
Season away (16)87.184.6171.7+2.438%
Last 10 (10)86.070.9156.9+15.180%
Last 5 (5)88.872.0160.8+16.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.289.9167.2-12.717%
vs Similar ◀ (4)90.884.0174.8+6.850%
vs Weaker (14)88.076.4164.4+11.671%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +7.4+7.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +0.5+0.5
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A17/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
61-40
61
40
+21
H22/03
BBL
Rostock
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A11/05
BBL
83.4Avg total
44.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.683.5+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.141.089.1+7.181%-
Last 30 away (14)37.140.177.2-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.183.4+5.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.282.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.143.885.9-1.750%-
vs Weaker (18)43.538.281.7+5.378%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
Paris
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
62-27
62
27
+35
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/05
BBL
78.7Avg total
45.9Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.383.2+2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.485.1+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.281.3+0.933%-
Last 10 (10)45.932.878.7+13.180%-
Last 5 (5)48.831.880.6+17.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.047.285.2-9.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)49.035.084.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker (14)45.435.981.2+9.564%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.1
57.7%
52.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.312.2
40.3%
33.6%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
73.5%16.6
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.8
54.2%
52.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.4
40.0%
33.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
73.5%14.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLWWLWL
Alba Berlin
WWWWLWWWLW
#2
League position
#6
+13.5
Net rating
+21.5
118.3
Offensive rating
115.5
104.9
Defensive rating
94.0
59.0%
Effective FG%
56.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
20.9%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
39.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.3%
3-point %
40.0%
58.8%
Assist %
70.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 115.5Defence104.9 · 94.0Shooting59.0% · 56.6%3-point %40.3% · 40.0%Ball care18.3% · 20.9%Off. rebounds29.8% · 39.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ulm wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
09/03/25Ulm v Alba Berlin101-90 OT
09/11/24Alba Berlin v Ulm96-88
17/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm79-87
04/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm98-88
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/05/25AHamburg79-64
08/05/25HBamberg92-77
03/05/25AHeidelberg90-74
21/04/25HOldenburg119-92
14/04/25AWurzburg72-89
08/04/25HBayern109-94
06/04/25HChemnitz117-87
29/03/25ARostock67-85
22/03/25HFrankfurt115-88
17/03/25ABayern62-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/25HSyntainics MBC81-78
08/05/25HGottingen101-69
30/04/25HSyntainics MBC90-62
27/04/25AChemnitz103-81
23/04/25AWurzburg69-70
20/04/25HFrankfurt89-68
16/04/25HBonn102-88
13/04/25ALudwigsburg79-63
10/04/25AParis63-72
06/04/25HVechta83-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %72%94%50%
Points / game88.594.682.4
Allowed / game80.077.682.5
Point differential+8.5+17.0-0.1
Avg total168.5172.1164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%69%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %58%76%38%
Points / game86.886.687.1
Allowed / game79.775.184.6
Point differential+7.1+11.5+2.4
Avg total166.6161.8171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)50% (4)0% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3224875%83.176.2+6.9
2 Ulm3223972%88.580.0+8.5
3 Basketball Braunschweig32201262%84.180.8+3.3
4 Alba Berlin33191458%86.879.7+7.1
5 Heidelberg33191458%80.681.1-0.5
6 Wurzburg32181456%83.080.6+2.4
7 Chemnitz33181555%82.985.4-2.5
8 Syntainics MBC34181653%85.685.6+0.1
9 Ludwigsburg32161650%76.274.6+1.7
10 Oldenburg34171750%89.689.4+0.3
11 Vechta32161650%79.881.7-1.8
12 Rostock33161748%81.481.5-0.1
13 Hamburg32151747%81.183.5-2.3
14 Bonn32141844%84.284.3-0.1
15 Bamberg32122038%83.886.0-2.3
16 Frankfurt3282425%75.682.5-7.0
17 Gottingen323299%81.094.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2025301994
Alba Berlin2713222183
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