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Wurzburg vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 23 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-69
16-17 23-18 16-23 15-11
Position#5
Record15-12
FormLLWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#6
Record15-13
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game81.1
GermanyBBLRound 11· Tectake Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Wurzburg v Alba Berlin
18 Jan 2027
WUR v ABE
upcoming
11 Oct 2025
WUR96
ABE92
23 Apr 2025
WUR70
ABE69
28 Jan 2024
WUR76
ABE75
23 Jan 2023
WUR76
ABE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
101-110
101
110
-9
96avg 74
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
L
77-84
77
84
-7
64avg 74
A11/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
71avg 74
H16/03
BBL
Promitheas
#31
L
115-119 OT
115
119
-4
104avg 74
H19/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
71avg 74
A23/03
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 74
A26/03
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
75-81
75
81
-6
62avg 74
H29/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 74
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
89-72
89
72
+17
83avg 74
H14/04
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
72avg 74
A19/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
27-20
16-23
32-31
34-19
14-20
17-20
12-25
14-19
22-21
21-22
26-28
19-14
25-25
24-21
17-25
27-19
17-23
18-15
22-23
17-18
15-22
24-25
18-15
19-28
10-23
19-14
27-16
30-18
25-13
20-20
22-29
24-19
20-12
20-23
25-18
23-24
20-14
17-22
26-18
175.5Avg total
88.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.880.7164.4+3.156%
Season at home (13)82.980.2163.1+2.854%
Season away (14)84.681.1165.7+3.457%
Last 10 (10)88.187.4175.5+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.278.2162.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)78.679.0157.6-0.443%
vs Similar (15)83.983.0166.9+0.947%
vs Weaker (8)88.084.8172.8+3.262%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
80avg 77
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
70avg 77
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
64-108
64
108
-44
42avg 77
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 77
A31/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
92-100
92
100
-8
91avg 77
H04/04
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
W
83-58
83
58
+25
83avg 77
H06/04
BBL
Paris
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
59avg 77
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 77
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 77
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
89avg 77
H20/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
23-17
15-18
23-22
14-13
20-27
22-21
15-24
15-27
18-35
11-25
20-21
21-19
23-28
20-21
22-22
17-36
29-25
27-19
19-20
19-7
25-22
26-16
13-13
14-22
17-24
8-14
24-12
19-17
29-7
14-18
17-21
32-18
20-23
23-24
27-23
20-15
20-14
27-17
22-22
162.5Avg total
80.9Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)86.581.1167.6+5.454%
Season at home (14)85.876.3162.1+9.571%
Season away (14)87.285.9173.1+1.336%
Last 10 (10)80.981.6162.5-0.740%
Last 5 (5)83.269.8153.0+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.191.0168.1-13.913%
vs Similar (4)90.884.0174.8+6.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.876.0162.8+10.873%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
WurzburgAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A09/03
BBL
AEK Athens
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A11/03
Champions League
Chemnitz
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/03
BBL
Promitheas
#31
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H19/03
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A23/03
BBL
Tortona
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A26/03
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H29/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#2
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H14/04
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A19/04
BBL
83.5Avg total
42.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.380.4+1.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.979.5+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.539.781.3+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.783.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.278.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)39.641.380.9-1.757%-
vs Similar (15)41.939.181.0+2.967%-
vs Weaker (8)40.838.078.8+2.862%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/03
BBL
Partizan
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
33-62
33
62
-29
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A31/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H04/04
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
Paris
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
BBL
83.7Avg total
41.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.883.3-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.742.185.8+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.841.681.4-1.829%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.383.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.876.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.246.784.9-8.57%-
vs Similar (4)49.035.084.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.337.580.8+5.764%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
52.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.8
34.4%
33.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws23.718.4
77.6%
73.5%18.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.4
53.6%
52.3%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws20.014.1
70.5%
73.5%14.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWWLLWLLLL
Alba Berlin
WWWLWLLLLL
#5
League position
#6
+0.3
Net rating
+0.3
111.5
Offensive rating
107.2
111.3
Defensive rating
107.0
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
21.8%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
34.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.4%
3-point %
35.7%
50.0%
Assist %
74.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 107.2Defence111.3 · 107.0Shooting52.4% · 53.6%3-point %34.4% · 35.7%Ball care17.8% · 21.8%Off. rebounds31.3% · 34.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Wurzburg wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Alba Berlin v Wurzburg80-84
28/01/24Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-75
14/01/24Alba Berlin v Wurzburg90-82
05/04/23Alba Berlin v Wurzburg76-47
23/01/23Wurzburg v Alba Berlin76-79
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25AVechta86-78
14/04/25HUlm89-72
05/04/25AGottingen97-80
29/03/25HBayern75-81
26/03/25ATortona74-80
23/03/25AAlba Berlin84-80
19/03/25HPromitheas115-119 OT
16/03/25HChemnitz83-90
11/03/25AAEK Athens77-84
09/03/25ASyntainics MBC101-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/25HFrankfurt89-68
16/04/25HBonn102-88
13/04/25ALudwigsburg79-63
10/04/25AParis63-72
06/04/25HVechta83-58
04/04/25HOlympiacos92-100
31/03/25AHeidelberg86-90
28/03/25HVirtus Bologna64-108
25/03/25APartizan71-85
23/03/25HWurzburg80-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeLWLLW54%
AwayWLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%54%57%
Points / game83.882.984.6
Allowed / game80.780.281.1
Point differential+3.1+2.8+3.4
Avg total164.4163.1165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%38%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW54%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLWLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%71%36%
Points / game86.585.887.2
Allowed / game81.176.385.9
Point differential+5.4+9.5+1.3
Avg total167.6162.1173.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)33% (3)0% (5)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2820871%82.675.3+7.3
2 Ulm2920969%88.780.9+7.8
3 Basketball Braunschweig27161159%84.682.7+1.8
4 Heidelberg27161159%80.580.1+0.3
5 Rostock28161257%81.880.0+1.8
6 Wurzburg27151256%83.880.7+3.1
7 Syntainics MBC27151256%85.084.9+0.1
8 Hamburg27151256%81.281.3-0.1
9 Chemnitz27151256%80.382.5-2.3
10 Alba Berlin28151354%86.581.1+5.4
11 Vechta28141450%80.582.2-1.7
12 Ludwigsburg27131448%74.773.4+1.3
13 Bonn28131546%84.183.7+0.4
14 Oldenburg28121643%88.489.4-1.0
15 Bamberg27101737%82.985.9-3.0
16 Frankfurt2882029%76.082.8-6.8
17 Gottingen271264%79.995.1-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg1623161570
Alba Berlin1718231169
← all games of the day
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