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Chemnitz vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 81-103
23-27 4-35 28-21 26-20
Position#7
Record15-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#6
Record15-14
FormLWWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game80.7
GermanyBBLRound 30· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Chemnitz v Alba Berlin
18 Apr 2027
CHE v ABE
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
CHE85
ABE89
27 Apr 2025
CHE81
ABE103
04 Jun 2024
CHE85
ABE96
02 Jun 2024
CHE84
ABE72
24 Mar 2024
CHE79
ABE84
11 Apr 2023
CHE70
ABE76
27 Mar 2022
CHE81
ABE64
09 May 2021
CHE81
ABE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
83-95
83
95
-12
75avg 72
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
72-65
72
65
+7
68avg 72
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
62avg 72
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
67avg 72
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 72
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 72
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
87-117
87
117
-30
81avg 72
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
99-98 OT
99
98
+1
94avg 72
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
L
66-81
66
81
-15
60avg 72
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
L
95-97
95
97
-2
86avg 72
A19/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
29-31
20-26
16-18
23-19
15-14
20-15
14-17
17-12
25-30
14-29
16-23
18-20
26-29
16-24
34-17
19-14
21-22
22-21
28-26
17-14
18-21
10-14
25-16
8-34
28-22
24-26
27-35
25-25
25-22
22-20
15-20
22-23
28-19
9-15
7-24
32-17
20-32
20-29
23-19
171.3Avg total
82.8Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.382.5162.8-2.356%
Season at home (13)83.783.3167.0+0.469%
Season away (14)77.181.8158.9-4.743%
Last 10 (10)82.888.5171.3-5.750%
Last 5 (5)83.491.6175.0-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.087.7164.7-10.723%
vs Similar (13)78.881.8160.5-3.054%
vs Weaker (4)86.277.2163.5+9.0100%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
70avg 77
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
64-108
64
108
-44
42avg 77
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 77
A31/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
92-100
92
100
-8
91avg 77
H04/04
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
W
83-58
83
58
+25
83avg 77
H06/04
BBL
Paris
#9
L
63-72
63
72
-9
59avg 77
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 77
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 77
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
89avg 77
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 77
A23/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
20-27
22-21
15-24
15-27
18-35
11-25
20-21
21-19
23-28
20-21
22-22
17-36
29-25
27-19
19-20
19-7
25-22
26-16
13-13
14-22
17-24
8-14
24-12
19-17
29-7
14-18
17-21
32-18
20-23
23-24
27-23
20-15
20-14
27-17
22-22
17-16
18-23
23-16
11-15
160.0Avg total
79.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.980.7166.6+5.252%
Season at home (14)85.876.3162.1+9.571%
Season away (15)86.084.9170.9+1.133%
Last 10 (10)79.880.2160.0-0.440%
Last 5 (5)80.472.2152.6+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.491.1168.5-13.614%
vs Similar (4)90.884.0174.8+6.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.375.5160.8+9.867%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
ChemnitzAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H08/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H11/02
BBL
Bayern
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/03
BBL
Gottingen
#17
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A08/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A16/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/03
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/04
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H13/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A16/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A19/04
BBL
87.4Avg total
43.4Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.180.6-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.439.980.4+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)38.742.180.8-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.087.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.890.4-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.941.278.2-4.331%-
vs Similar (13)40.741.982.6-1.262%-
vs Weaker (4)44.038.082.0+6.050%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A25/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
33-62
33
62
-29
H28/03
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A31/03
BBL
Olympiacos
#2
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H04/04
Euroleague
Vechta
#10
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H06/04
BBL
Paris
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A10/04
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/04
BBL
82.5Avg total
40.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.983.4-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.742.185.8+1.654%-
Last 30 away (17)39.941.781.6-1.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.882.5-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.547.485.9-8.97%-
vs Similar (4)49.035.084.0+14.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.637.780.2+4.958%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.9
51.4%
52.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.2
34.5%
33.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.2
70.7%
73.5%15.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.3
52.7%
52.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.5
34.7%
33.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.214.2
70.3%
73.5%14.2
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLWLWWWLWL
Alba Berlin
LWWWLWLLLL
#7
League position
#6
-8.2
Net rating
+0.1
105.7
Offensive rating
107.6
113.9
Defensive rating
107.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.8%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.5%
3-point %
34.7%
62.3%
Assist %
73.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 107.6Defence113.9 · 107.4Shooting51.6% · 52.4%3-point %34.5% · 34.7%Ball care18.5% · 20.8%Off. rebounds30.3% · 35.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
7
Alba Berlin wins
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/25ASyntainics MBC95-97
16/04/25AHeidelberg66-81
13/04/25HBamberg99-98 OT
06/04/25AUlm87-117
30/03/25AFrankfurt70-65
16/03/25AWurzburg90-83
08/03/25AGottingen94-90
02/03/25HBayern72-94
11/02/25HHeidelberg72-65
08/02/25HBasketball Braunschweig83-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/25AWurzburg69-70
20/04/25HFrankfurt89-68
16/04/25HBonn102-88
13/04/25ALudwigsburg79-63
10/04/25AParis63-72
06/04/25HVechta83-58
04/04/25HOlympiacos92-100
31/03/25AHeidelberg86-90
28/03/25HVirtus Bologna64-108
25/03/25APartizan71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWLWLW69%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %56%69%43%
Points / game80.383.777.1
Allowed / game82.583.381.8
Point differential-2.3+0.4-4.7
Avg total162.8167.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL52%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%71%33%
Points / game85.985.886.0
Allowed / game80.776.384.9
Point differential+5.2+9.5+1.1
Avg total166.6162.1170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%43%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)33% (3)0% (6)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2921872%82.975.7+7.1
2 Ulm2920969%88.780.9+7.8
3 Basketball Braunschweig28171161%84.982.4+2.5
4 Wurzburg29171259%83.380.1+3.2
5 Heidelberg28161257%80.280.6-0.4
6 Chemnitz27151256%80.382.5-2.3
7 Rostock29161355%81.780.4+1.2
8 Syntainics MBC28151354%85.185.1+0.0
9 Hamburg28151354%81.181.5-0.5
10 Alba Berlin29151452%85.980.7+5.2
11 Vechta29151452%80.381.9-1.6
12 Ludwigsburg28141450%75.273.6+1.7
13 Bonn29131645%83.883.7+0.1
14 Oldenburg29131645%88.589.1-0.6
15 Bamberg28101836%83.286.4-3.2
16 Frankfurt2982128%75.982.5-6.6
17 Gottingen282267%80.695.0-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Chemnitz234282681
Alba Berlin27352120103
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