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Ulm vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-84
20-24 23-21 19-22 31-17
Position#2
Record25-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game79.6
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#6
Record19-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game80.0
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Ulm v Alba Berlin
13 Mar 2027
ULM v ABE
upcoming
22 Apr 2026
ULM77
ABE89
24 May 2025
ULM93
ABE84
17 May 2025
ULM94
ABE83
09 Mar 2025
ULM101
ABE90
07 Oct 2023
ULM100
ABE88
24 May 2023
ULM83
ABE81
17 May 2023
ULM77
ABE91
18 Dec 2022
ULM83
ABE110
21 Nov 2021
ULM66
ABE71
05 Jun 2021
ULM75
ABE77
03 Jun 2021
ULM72
ABE80
07 Mar 2021
ULM76
ABE84
11 Feb 2020
ULM106
ABE112
21 May 2019
ULM v ABE
upcoming
20 Oct 2018
ULM74
ABE92
30 Sep 2017
ULM68
ABE72
18 Mar 2017
ULM82
ABE76
02 Apr 2016
ULM78
ABE68
19 Apr 2015
ULM66
ABE80
17 May 2014
ULM89
ABE95
13 May 2014
ULM89
ABE90
08 Feb 2014
ULM87
ABE92
31 Mar 2013
ULM92
ABE73
24 Mar 2013
ULM67
ABE85
11 Apr 2012
ULM91
ABE72
06 Nov 2010
ULM77
ABE73
13 Feb 2010
ULM77
ABE86
02 Nov 2008
ULM69
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
67-85
67
85
-18
43avg 81
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
117-87
117
87
+30
122avg 81
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
109-94
109
94
+15
106avg 81
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 81
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
119-92
119
92
+27
111avg 81
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
90-74
90
74
+16
84avg 81
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
84avg 81
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
79-64
79
64
+15
73avg 81
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
84avg 81
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
74-62
74
62
+12
73avg 81
A21/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
11-19
24-26
22-19
34-8
22-28
26-24
35-27
28-16
29-35
28-24
24-19
19-24
12-20
23-20
18-25
25-24
25-17
37-18
32-33
17-18
21-19
27-19
25-18
27-16
26-21
16-27
23-13
25-21
21-16
19-10
14-17
20-27
25-13
30-22
19-21
22-18
25-9
14-13
13-22
172.0Avg total
91.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)88.279.6167.8+8.674%
Season at home (17)94.577.9172.4+16.694%
Season away (17)81.981.3163.2+0.653%
Last 10 (10)91.380.7172.0+10.680%
Last 5 (5)85.872.0157.8+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.591.0176.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.583.0171.5+5.555%
vs Weaker (17)90.079.9169.9+10.176%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
79-63
79
63
+16
77avg 76
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
102-88
102
88
+14
104avg 76
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
89-68
89
68
+21
89avg 76
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 76
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
103-81
103
81
+22
105avg 76
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
90-62
90
62
+28
91avg 76
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
101-69
101
69
+32
103avg 76
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
81-78
81
78
+3
75avg 76
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
72avg 76
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
50avg 76
H21/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
29-7
14-18
17-21
32-18
20-23
23-24
27-23
20-15
20-14
27-17
22-22
17-16
18-23
23-16
11-15
27-23
35-4
21-28
20-26
24-12
25-12
26-19
15-19
29-16
26-21
17-16
29-16
21-19
22-13
18-20
20-26
27-20
13-25
22-30
21-19
18-22
9-25
13-14
22-13
160.6Avg total
85.9Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)86.080.0166.0+6.154%
Season at home (18)85.375.1160.3+10.272%
Season away (17)86.885.2172.0+1.635%
Last 10 (10)85.974.7160.6+11.270%
Last 5 (5)83.475.4158.8+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.689.1165.7-12.518%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.784.0168.7+0.733%
vs Weaker (13)87.774.8162.5+12.877%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
UlmAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#12
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A29/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
56-36
56
36
+20
H06/04
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A14/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
BBL
Bamberg
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H08/05
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A11/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A21/05
BBL
83.4Avg total
44.4Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.540.282.8+2.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.341.288.5+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)37.739.377.0-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.439.083.4+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.835.681.4+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.046.588.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.541.883.4-0.355%-
vs Weaker (17)43.238.581.7+4.876%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
A13/04
BBL
Bonn
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#16
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
W
62-27
62
27
+35
A27/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H30/04
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H08/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/05
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H21/05
BBL
79.6Avg total
45.1Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.382.4+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.240.183.3+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.140.581.6+0.533%-
Last 10 (10)45.134.579.6+10.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.946.883.7-9.99%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.838.782.5+5.267%-
vs Weaker (13)45.835.581.3+10.269%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.719.0
58.1%
52.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.3
38.2%
33.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws24.418.6
76.2%
73.5%18.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.8
54.1%
52.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.2
38.8%
33.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
73.5%14.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWWWLWWL
Alba Berlin
LLWWWWLWWW
#2
League position
#6
+13.9
Net rating
+15.7
116.1
Offensive rating
113.6
102.3
Defensive rating
97.8
57.7%
Effective FG%
55.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.3%
18.5%
Turnover %
21.5%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
39.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.2%
3-point %
38.8%
60.4%
Assist %
64.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 113.6Defence102.3 · 97.8Shooting57.7% · 55.8%3-point %38.2% · 38.8%Ball care18.5% · 21.5%Off. rebounds28.7% · 39.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Ulm   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ulm wins
3
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
21/05/25Alba Berlin v Ulm62-74
17/05/25Ulm v Alba Berlin94-83
09/03/25Ulm v Alba Berlin101-90 OT
09/11/24Alba Berlin v Ulm96-88
17/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm79-87
04/02/24Alba Berlin v Ulm98-88
07/10/23Ulm v Alba Berlin100-88
24/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin83-81
19/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm81-93
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25AAlba Berlin74-62
17/05/25HAlba Berlin94-83
11/05/25AHamburg79-64
08/05/25HBamberg92-77
03/05/25AHeidelberg90-74
21/04/25HOldenburg119-92
14/04/25AWurzburg72-89
08/04/25HBayern109-94
06/04/25HChemnitz117-87
29/03/25ARostock67-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25HUlm62-74
17/05/25AUlm83-94
13/05/25HSyntainics MBC81-78
08/05/25HGottingen101-69
30/04/25HSyntainics MBC90-62
27/04/25AChemnitz103-81
23/04/25AWurzburg69-70
20/04/25HFrankfurt89-68
16/04/25HBonn102-88
13/04/25ALudwigsburg79-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %74%94%53%
Points / game88.294.581.9
Allowed / game79.677.981.3
Point differential+8.6+16.6+0.6
Avg total167.8172.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%71%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL54%
HomeWWWWL72%
AwayLWLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %54%72%35%
Points / game86.085.386.8
Allowed / game80.075.185.2
Point differential+6.1+10.2+1.6
Avg total166.0160.3172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%44%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)50% (4)0% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3527877%82.875.3+7.5
2 Ulm3425974%88.279.6+8.6
3 Basketball Braunschweig34211362%84.581.1+3.4
4 Heidelberg34201459%80.480.8-0.4
5 Wurzburg34191556%83.281.2+2.0
6 Alba Berlin35191654%86.080.0+6.1
7 Chemnitz34181653%82.685.1-2.5
8 Ludwigsburg32161650%76.274.6+1.7
9 Oldenburg34171750%89.689.4+0.3
10 Vechta32161650%79.881.7-1.8
11 Syntainics MBC37181949%83.985.1-1.1
12 Rostock33161748%81.481.5-0.1
13 Hamburg32151747%81.183.5-2.3
14 Bonn32141844%84.284.3-0.1
15 Bamberg32122038%83.886.0-2.3
16 Frankfurt3282425%75.682.5-7.0
17 Gottingen323299%81.094.8-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ulm2023193193
Alba Berlin2421221784
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