The EuroCup clash on 18 November 2026 between JL Bourg and Basket Napoli is a razor-thin affair, with the model giving Basket Napoli a slight edge at 51% to JL Bourg's 49%. JL Bourg, 2-5 overall, averages 81.1 points while conceding 84.7, and their home record is 1-2 with 79.3 points for and 78.7 against; the last five games saw only one win, including a narrow 66-68 loss to Buducnost at home, a 77-107 defeat to Paris away, and a 88-84 victory over Slask Wroclaw away. Basket Napoli, unbeaten 7-0, posts 94.9 points scored and 84.0 allowed, and they are perfect on the road 4-0 with 96.2 points for and 83.0 against; their last five were all wins, notably 112-90 over Chemnitz, 91-89 over Scafati, and 90-79 at home against Trento. The teams have met once, with Basket Napoli winning 84-76 on 30 September 2026. The projected score is a 87-87 draw, with a total of 173.9 points; the home line is 3.5 and the model sees a 59% chance the home side covers, while the over at 171.5 carries a 55% probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether JL Bourg can turn their recent struggles into a spark.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 81.1 | 84.7 | 165.9 | -3.6 | 29% |
| Season at home (3) | 79.3 | 78.7 | 158.0 | +0.7 | 33% |
| Season away (4) | 82.5 | 89.2 | 171.8 | -6.8 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.1 | 89.0 | 173.1 | -4.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.2 | 90.0 | 171.2 | -8.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 81.2 | 87.8 | 168.9 | -6.6 | 25% |
| vs Similar (12) | 85.5 | 88.4 | 173.9 | -2.9 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 87.7 | 79.0 | 166.7 | +8.7 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 94.9 | 84.0 | 178.9 | +10.9 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 93.0 | 85.3 | 178.3 | +7.7 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 96.2 | 83.0 | 179.2 | +13.2 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 95.0 | 87.5 | 182.5 | +7.5 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 97.2 | 84.8 | 182.0 | +12.4 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 77.6 | 94.2 | 171.8 | -16.6 | 0% |
| vs Similar (14) | 86.9 | 85.1 | 172.1 | +1.8 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 94.5 | 83.6 | 178.1 | +10.8 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.5 | 44.6 | 88.1 | -1.1 | 43% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 45.7 | 44.7 | 90.4 | +1.0 | 50% | 56% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 41.0 | 44.6 | 85.6 | -3.6 | 36% | 43% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.7 | 46.9 | 92.6 | -1.2 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.8 | 45.2 | 91.0 | +0.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 42.0 | 45.2 | 87.2 | -3.2 | 33% | 50% |
| vs Similar (12) | 43.7 | 45.8 | 89.4 | -2.1 | 42% | 58% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 46.2 | 41.3 | 87.5 | +4.8 | 67% | 33% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.4 | 41.0 | 83.4 | +1.4 | 67% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 40.7 | 37.8 | 78.5 | +2.9 | 64% | 14% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 43.9 | 43.8 | 87.8 | +0.1 | 69% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.5 | 41.8 | 86.3 | +2.7 | 60% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 42.0 | 86.8 | +2.8 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 39.2 | 43.4 | 82.6 | -4.2 | 60% | 20% |
| vs Similar (14) | 40.9 | 39.9 | 80.9 | +1.0 | 64% | 21% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 45.8 | 41.3 | 87.1 | +4.5 | 73% | 45% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JL Bourg +11.5 | 81.9% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp |
| JL Bourg +10.5 | 79.7% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +12.4pp |
| JL Bourg over 78.5 | 77.8% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +10.1pp |
| Q1: Basket Napoli under 24.5 | 71.2% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +5.9pp |
| Over 163.5 | 72.6% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +4.9pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.3 | 22.8 | 54.0% | 45.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.1 | 7.3 | 34.0% | 21.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.4 | 16.7 | 75.6% | 16.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.7 | 20.5 | 54.0% | 41.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 27.6 | 11.5 | 34.0% | 34.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.7 | 17.8 | 75.6% | 17.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30/09/26 | Basket Napoli v JL Bourg | 84-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Roanne | 77-90 |
| 10/11/26 | H | Buducnost | 66-68 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Paris | 77-107 |
| 04/11/26 | A | Slask Wroclaw | 88-84 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Nanterre | 98-101 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Chemnitz | 77-96 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Gravelines-Dunkerque | 89-81 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Trento | 90-79 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Le Mans | 90-91 |
| 13/10/26 | A | Neptunas | 89-93 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Chemnitz | 112-90 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Scafati | 91-89 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Trento | 90-79 |
| 01/11/26 | H | Venezia | 99-81 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Neptunas | 94-85 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Tortona | 92-90 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Tofas | 105-101 OT |
| 18/10/26 | H | Olimpia Milano | 82-98 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Slask Wroclaw | 86-82 |
| 11/10/26 | A | Cantu | 99-80 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 29% |
| Home | LWL | 33% |
| Away | LLLW | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Points / game | 81.1 | 79.3 | 82.5 |
| Allowed / game | 84.7 | 78.7 | 89.2 |
| Point differential | -3.6 | +0.7 | -6.8 |
| Avg total | 165.9 | 158.0 | 171.8 |
| Over 171.5 | 43% | 0% | 75% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 0% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WWWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 94.9 | 93.0 | 96.2 |
| Allowed / game | 84.0 | 85.3 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | +10.9 | +7.7 | +13.2 |
| Avg total | 178.9 | 178.3 | 179.2 |
| Over 171.5 | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 88.4 | 74.0 | +14.4 | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 94.9 | 84.0 | +10.9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 92.6 | 76.6 | +16.0 | |
| 4 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 90.6 | 77.0 | +13.6 | |
| 5 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.4 | 79.0 | +12.4 | |
| 6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 91.7 | 82.9 | +8.9 | |
| 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 87.7 | 82.0 | +5.7 | |
| 8 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 88.1 | 83.3 | +4.9 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 81.1 | 75.3 | +5.9 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.4 | 84.4 | +4.0 | |
| 11 | Maxima Roma | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 88.4 | 84.7 | +3.7 |
| 12 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.7 | 78.1 | +2.6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.9 | 85.4 | +2.4 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.3 | 80.6 | +5.7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 87.6 | 87.4 | +0.1 | |
| 16 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.6 | 80.9 | -0.3 | |
| 17 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.6 | 83.3 | -2.7 | |
| 18 | BC Roma | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 87.0 | 90.6 | -3.6 |
| 19 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 86.3 | -6.3 | |
| 20 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 78.6 | 85.3 | -6.7 | |
| 21 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 73.7 | 81.7 | -8.0 | |
| 22 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.6 | 94.7 | -8.1 | |
| 23 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 79.9 | 81.9 | -2.0 | |
| 24 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.1 | 84.7 | -3.6 | |
| 25 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 74.9 | 79.0 | -4.1 | |
| 26 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 84.7 | 90.3 | -5.6 | |
| 27 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 82.1 | 89.0 | -6.9 | |
| 28 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 78.4 | 86.4 | -8.0 | |
| 29 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 81.3 | 94.3 | -13.0 | |
| 30 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 76.9 | 85.9 | -9.0 | |
| 31 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.7 | 89.9 | -10.1 | |
| 32 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 67.4 | 80.6 | -13.1 |
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