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Jonava vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 100-84
24-20 24-20 25-29 27-15
Position#4
Record15-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game81.6
Jonava 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Prienai
Lithuania
Position#11
Record3-26
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game87.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Jonava v Prienai
14 Feb 2023
JON74
PRI85
27 Apr 2022
JON100
PRI84
20 Nov 2021
JON93
PRI77
03 Nov 2021
JON78
PRI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
71-103
71
103
-32
no box
A03/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
62-79
62
79
-17
45avg 69
H06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
70-93
70
93
-23
60avg 69
A13/03
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 69
H20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#5
W
78-75
78
75
+3
49avg 69
A26/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 69
H29/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
91-82
91
82
+9
79avg 69
H02/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
no box
H10/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
53avg 69
H13/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
82avg 69
A21/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
20-20
24-27
16-27
26-17
16-20
12-26
8-16
23-28
20-24
19-19
8-22
18-18
23-23
16-20
10-30
14-24
17-21
19-18
28-12
25-14
21-22
20-19
20-25
31-22
19-23
23-21
18-16
24-24
9-21
24-21
30-21
23-23
11-16
17-9
14-23
17-31
22-17
21-17
32-23
164.1Avg total
78.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.481.6160.0-3.252%
Season at home (15)77.979.3157.2-1.353%
Season away (14)78.984.1163.0-5.350%
Last 10 (10)78.285.9164.1-7.750%
Last 5 (5)86.883.6170.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.688.8162.4-15.210%
vs Similar (15)75.179.0154.1-3.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.880.8171.6+10.0100%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
L
63-73
63
73
-10
50avg 67
H07/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 67
A12/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H07/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
59avg 67
A12/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 67
H24/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
62-72
62
72
-10
51avg 67
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 67
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
86-97
86
97
-11
80avg 67
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
70-86
70
86
-16
no box
A20/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
12-22
20-8
16-20
16-20
20-17
19-20
26-21
14-14
17-26
19-18
26-18
18-24
8-29
23-17
24-12
23-21
12-19
11-18
24-19
20-15
24-23
22-28
26-26
13-20
13-19
21-17
15-16
27-19
24-27
14-31
28-19
18-27
25-20
17-27
26-23
22-16
19-25
12-19
17-26
163.6Avg total
78.8Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.887.7164.5-11.010%
Season at home (15)74.785.5160.3-10.813%
Season away (14)78.990.1169.0-11.17%
Last 10 (10)78.884.8163.6-6.020%
Last 5 (5)82.691.4174.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.287.0163.1-10.812%
vs Similar (5)81.892.2174.0-10.420%
vs Weaker (1)89.059.0148.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
JonavaPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A03/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H06/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A13/03
LKL
Rytas
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/03
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A26/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H29/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H02/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H10/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H13/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A21/04
LKL
82.7Avg total
39.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.240.478.6-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.939.579.5+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.541.377.8-4.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.782.7-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.741.678.3-4.930%-
vs Similar (15)37.940.178.0-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.039.281.2+2.860%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H07/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A12/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H24/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/04
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H18/04
LKL
Rytas
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A20/04
LKL
78.6Avg total
36.0Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.244.280.4-8.017%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.843.478.2-8.612%-
Last 30 away (13)38.145.283.3-7.223%-
Last 10 (10)36.042.678.6-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.243.778.9-8.512%-
vs Similar (5)40.249.089.2-8.820%-
vs Weaker (1)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.2
51.6%
53.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.8
26.5%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws18.014.0
77.8%
73.1%14.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.5
51.0%
53.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.9
31.3%
33.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws15.611.8
75.6%
73.1%11.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLWWWWLLLL
Prienai
LLLLLLLWWL
#4
League position
#11
-9.1
Net rating
-10.4
101.5
Offensive rating
102.0
110.6
Defensive rating
112.4
46.4%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.9%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
26.5%
3-point %
31.3%
63.0%
Assist %
56.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 102.0Defence110.6 · 112.4Shooting46.4% · 49.5%3-point %26.5% · 31.3%Ball care16.5% · 14.9%Off. rebounds29.7% · 22.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Jonava   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Jonava wins
0
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
29/12/21Prienai v Jonava68-81
20/11/21Jonava v Prienai93-77
03/11/21Jonava v Prienai78-74
07/10/21Prienai v Jonava81-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/22ANevezis92-88
13/04/22HJuventus65-71
10/04/22HZalgiris Kaunas100-97 OT
02/04/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-82
29/03/22HJuventus86-80
26/03/22ANeptunas78-75
20/03/22HRytas67-91
13/03/22AZalgiris Kaunas70-93
06/03/22HSiauliai62-79
03/03/22ALietkabelis71-103
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/22ARytas70-86
18/04/22HNevezis86-97
14/04/22ASiauliai93-96
06/04/22HAlytaus Dzukija62-72
27/03/22APieno Zvaigzdes102-106 OT
24/03/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-77
12/03/22ALietkabelis73-82
07/03/22HJuventus88-81 OT
12/02/22APieno Zvaigzdes81-78
07/02/22HNeptunas63-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %52%53%50%
Points / game78.477.978.9
Allowed / game81.679.384.1
Point differential-3.2-1.3-5.3
Avg total160.0157.2163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Prienai
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLWLLL13%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %10%13%7%
Points / game76.874.778.9
Allowed / game87.785.590.1
Point differential-11.0-10.8-11.1
Avg total164.5160.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas2926390%89.674.6+14.9
2 Zalgiris Kaunas2925486%86.074.9+11.1
3 Lietkabelis2922776%84.074.9+9.1
4 Juventus29151452%84.582.8+1.7
5 Jonava29151452%78.481.6-3.2
6 Siauliai29141548%81.782.7-0.9
7 Neptunas29131645%77.279.4-2.2
8 Alytaus Dzukija30111937%76.480.9-4.5
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes2992031%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis2972224%78.987.9-9.0
11 Prienai2932610%76.887.7-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava24242527100
Prienai2020291584
← all games of the day
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