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Prienai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 07 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 63-73
15-23 12-22 20-8 16-20
Position#11
Record1-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game89.3
vs
Position#5
Record7-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game81.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Prienai v Neptunas
25 Apr 2023
PRI84
NEP94
24 Nov 2022
PRI72
NEP105
17 Oct 2022
PRI92
NEP99
07 Feb 2022
PRI63
NEP73
15 Nov 2021
PRI62
NEP87
28 Oct 2021
PRI70
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
44avg 67
A20/11
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
78-81
78
81
-3
78avg 67
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 67
H18/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
68-81
68
81
-13
62avg 67
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
69avg 67
A04/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
77-106
77
106
-29
60avg 67
A09/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
71-88
71
88
-17
62avg 67
H13/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 67
A22/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 67
H30/01
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A03/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-23
21-25
18-16
26-29
21-20
16-20
16-20
25-21
22-27
23-17
15-19
20-11
14-11
14-25
25-28
15-17
19-18
22-23
17-25
22-20
10-18
21-26
26-35
20-27
19-20
17-27
20-14
15-27
17-24
16-20
14-23
22-20
21-35
23-26
21-23
28-18
18-26
18-20
25-20
21-22
166.1Avg total
77.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.789.3164.9-13.65%
Season at home (10)75.288.3163.5-13.110%
Season away (9)76.290.3166.6-14.10%
Last 10 (10)77.588.6166.1-11.110%
Last 5 (5)78.494.2172.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.487.6162.0-13.211%
vs Similar (8)80.290.2170.5-10.012%
vs Weaker (3)93.367.3160.7+26.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
89-64
89
64
+25
95avg 75
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
99avg 75
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 75
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-80
80
80
+0
no box
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-85
70
85
-15
60avg 75
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-87
75
87
-12
70avg 75
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
56avg 75
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
no box
H03/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
20-16
20-19
22-11
22-23
28-18
13-21
25-21
24-19
23-21
19-12
13-15
17-15
22-15
21-22
9-21
23-24
16-24
19-14
22-18
20-23
19-18
13-23
18-21
7-21
24-22
20-25
24-19
13-21
17-18
15-20
19-17
16-25
21-16
13-18
10-18
26-18
20-18
20-25
22-21
153.6Avg total
76.2Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.981.7158.7-4.839%
Season at home (10)76.184.1160.2-8.030%
Season away (8)78.078.8156.8-0.850%
Last 10 (10)76.277.4153.6-1.240%
Last 5 (5)71.481.4152.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.190.0163.1-16.90%
vs Similar (9)80.482.0162.4-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.878.6164.3+7.275%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
PrienaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/11
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H18/12
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H29/12
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A04/01
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A09/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H13/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A22/01
LKL
Nevezis
#10
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H30/01
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/02
LKL
81.5Avg total
36.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.843.680.5-6.820%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.142.779.8-5.631%-
Last 30 away (14)36.644.781.3-8.17%-
Last 10 (10)36.445.181.5-8.710%-
Last 5 (5)36.048.484.4-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.743.678.3-8.85%-
vs Similar (8)40.546.987.4-6.438%-
vs Weaker (3)40.335.375.7+5.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A16/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A20/12
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/12
LKL
Lietkabelis
#6
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H05/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A15/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H19/01
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H24/01
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/01
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/01
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H03/02
LKL
79.8Avg total
40.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.539.680.1+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.478.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.840.981.7-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.379.8+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.076.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.443.382.8-3.922%-
vs Similar (9)38.939.378.2-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.437.079.4+5.467%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.7
52.8%
53.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.0
32.0%
33.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.213.3
73.1%
73.1%13.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.2
58.5%
53.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.05.5
30.6%
33.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.212.4
68.1%
73.1%12.4
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLLLLWLL
Neptunas
WLLLLLLWWW
#11
League position
#5
-14.5
Net rating
-3.8
102.0
Offensive rating
107.5
116.5
Defensive rating
111.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
20.5%
Turnover %
22.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.0%
3-point %
30.6%
56.3%
Assist %
63.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 107.5Defence116.5 · 111.3Shooting50.9% · 54.6%3-point %32.0% · 30.6%Ball care20.5% · 22.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 36.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Prienai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prienai wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
03/02/22Neptunas v Prienai88-82
15/11/21Prienai v Neptunas62-87
28/10/21Prienai v Neptunas70-84
14/10/21Neptunas v Prienai76-79 OT
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/22ANeptunas82-88
30/01/22HNevezis93-102
22/01/22ALietkabelis69-87
13/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-88
09/01/22ARytas77-106
04/01/22ASiauliai80-86
29/12/21HJonava68-81
18/12/21HJuventus80-74
12/12/21HZalgiris Kaunas78-81
20/11/21AJonava77-93
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/22HPrienai88-82
30/01/22HZalgiris Kaunas60-77
27/01/22AJuventus64-76
24/01/22HJonava75-87
19/01/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-85
15/01/22ALietkabelis80-80
05/01/22HLietkabelis69-73
28/12/21AAlytaus Dzukija79-67
20/12/21ANevezis88-83
16/12/21AJonava89-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLWLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %5%10%0%
Points / game75.775.276.2
Allowed / game89.388.390.3
Point differential-13.6-13.1-14.1
Avg total164.9163.5166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeWLLLW30%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %39%30%50%
Points / game76.976.178.0
Allowed / game81.784.178.8
Point differential-4.8-8.0-0.8
Avg total158.7160.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2019195%87.474.4+13.0
2 Rytas1916384%87.874.9+12.8
3 Lietkabelis1914574%82.573.9+8.6
4 Siauliai1810856%82.382.9-0.6
5 Juventus189950%83.783.1+0.6
6 Jonava189950%78.379.7-1.4
7 Alytaus Dzukija1881044%77.480.4-3.0
8 Neptunas1871139%76.981.7-4.8
9 Nevezis1751229%79.585.4-5.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1831517%78.186.1-8.0
11 Prienai191185%75.789.3-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1512201663
Neptunas232282073
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