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Karhu Basket vs Kataja Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.5
FinlandKorisliiga· IKH Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Kataja
27 Jan 2027
KAH v KAT
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
KAH78
KAT94
24 Mar 2026
KAH68
KAT98
15 Nov 2025
KAH106
KAT99
12 Apr 2025
KAH87
KAT79
05 Apr 2025
KAH93
KAT79
01 Feb 2025
KAH85
KAT69
09 Nov 2024
KAH78
KAT101
11 May 2024
KAH97
KAT73
19 Mar 2024
KAH62
KAT69
14 Oct 2023
KAH88
KAT80
04 Mar 2023
KAH79
KAT64
18 Jan 2023
KAH95
KAT59
13 Nov 2021
KAH92
KAT67
06 Feb 2021
KAH84
KAT80
07 Apr 2020
KAH v KAT
upcoming
12 Dec 2019
KAH89
KAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 71
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
90avg 71
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 71
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
95avg 71
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 71
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
67avg 71
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
119-78
119
78
+41
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-19
12-14
16-22
13-15
29-26
26-16
12-23
18-24
28-17
17-19
28-16
18-22
19-19
24-26
34-28
29-11
19-13
10-26
15-18
16-28
24-23
20-30
20-20
22-19
27-23
13-19
17-26
44-18
25-15
29-32
21-13
17-17
23-18
23-16
13-17
24-20
18-16
20-16
15-20
169.3Avg total
86.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.783.5169.3+2.245%
Season at home (6)85.075.2160.2+9.867%
Season away (5)86.693.6180.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)86.482.9169.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.281.2167.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.590.5165.0-16.18%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.581.7170.2+6.773%
vs Weaker (6)82.582.3164.8+0.250%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 75
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 75
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 75
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 75
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 75
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 75
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 75
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
92-55
92
55
+37
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
26-19
21-11
18-12
27-13
166.5Avg total
84.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.982.5169.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)93.381.3174.7+12.067%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.781.8166.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.876.7160.5+7.160%
vs Weaker (12)85.381.0166.3+4.358%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Karhu BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
69-33
69
33
+36
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/11
Korisliiga
83.8Avg total
45.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.184.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.386.9-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.183.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.487.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.750.088.7-11.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.140.484.5+3.764%-
vs Weaker (6)43.538.782.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.887.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.181.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.885.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.338.584.8+7.890%-
vs Weaker (12)43.743.787.3+0.042%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
75.8%13.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WWWLLWLWLL
Kataja
WWWWLLLLLW
#8
League position
#7
-5.2
Net rating
-2.1
91.4
Offensive rating
95.2
96.6
Defensive rating
97.3
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
34.4%
57.1%
Assist %
55.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 95.2Defence96.6 · 97.3Shooting50.3% · 50.5%3-point %32.7% · 34.4%Ball care15.2% · 12.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Karhu Basket wins
6
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Kataja v Karhu Basket101-80
02/04/26Kataja v Karhu Basket92-71
30/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja78-94
27/03/26Kataja v Karhu Basket85-60
24/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja68-98
21/01/26Kataja v Karhu Basket76-62
15/11/25Karhu Basket v Kataja106-99
15/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket87-99
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPyrinto Tampere77-72
10/11/26AHelsinki Seagulls76-68
07/11/26HHonka119-78
04/11/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki79-87
31/10/26AKataja80-101
23/10/26HLahti Basketball73-68
21/10/26ALahti Basketball102-108 OT
17/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls91-76
10/10/26AKipina95-98 OT
06/10/26HBisons Loimaa72-73
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket92-55
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game85.785.086.6
Allowed / game83.575.293.6
Point differential+2.2+9.8-7.0
Avg total169.3160.2180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%0%40%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.993.377.2
Allowed / game82.581.384.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-7.0
Avg total169.4174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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