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Karhu Basket vs Kataja Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game87.4
FinlandKorisliiga· IKH Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Kataja
27 Jan 2027
KAH v KAT
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
KAH78
KAT94
24 Mar 2026
KAH68
KAT98
15 Nov 2025
KAH106
KAT99
12 Apr 2025
KAH87
KAT79
05 Apr 2025
KAH93
KAT79
01 Feb 2025
KAH85
KAT69
09 Nov 2024
KAH78
KAT101
11 May 2024
KAH97
KAT73
19 Mar 2024
KAH62
KAT69
14 Oct 2023
KAH88
KAT80
04 Mar 2023
KAH79
KAT64
18 Jan 2023
KAH95
KAT59
13 Nov 2021
KAH92
KAT67
06 Feb 2021
KAH84
KAT80
07 Apr 2020
KAH v KAT
upcoming
12 Dec 2019
KAH89
KAT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Karhu Basket
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.2
86.6▲ 6.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.4
84.6▼ 2.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
58%▲ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.5
17.2▲ 0.7
🔥 Form · Kataja
3.9out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.2
80.2▼ 3.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 80.7
91.6▲ 10.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
52%▼ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.3
15.8▲ 0.5
Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A27/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H30/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A02/04
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A30/09
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#1
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H03/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#10
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#2
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#8
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#8
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H23/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
19-22
17-22
11-16
27-22
15-18
15-23
21-31
16-32
22-17
12-24
21-19
12-25
19-23
28-13
18-13
15-27
20-19
19-18
24-20
24-18
20-19
12-14
16-22
13-15
29-26
26-16
12-23
18-24
28-17
17-19
28-16
18-22
19-19
24-26
34-28
29-11
19-13
10-26
15-18
164.9Avg total
79.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.083.0167.0+1.043%
Season at home (4)78.575.2153.8+3.250%
Season away (3)91.393.3184.7-2.033%
Last 10 (10)79.785.2164.9-5.530%
Last 5 (5)86.684.6171.2+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.988.6165.5-11.825%
vs Similar (7)87.384.6171.9+2.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)82.477.0159.4+5.471%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A14/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H16/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
69-100
69
100
-31
A19/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
102-83
102
83
+19
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#10
W
86-71
86
71
+15
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#8
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H24/10
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
23-22
20-20
23-22
14-14
18-19
24-11
19-15
29-20
17-31
9-23
14-26
25-26
31-24
23-16
23-17
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
167.5Avg total
81.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.187.4171.6-3.329%
Season at home (3)93.391.7185.0+1.733%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)81.486.1167.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)80.291.6171.8-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.983.8159.6-7.938%
vs Similar (13)81.281.6162.8-0.446%
vs Weaker (9)90.773.6164.2+17.189%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
Karhu BasketKataja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kataja
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A27/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H30/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A02/04
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A30/09
Korisliiga
KTP Kotka Basket
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H03/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#8
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#8
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H23/10
Korisliiga
80.9Avg total
39.5Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.243.884.0-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.941.581.4-1.638%-
Last 30 away (14)40.646.487.0-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.480.9-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.880.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.647.486.0-8.912%-
vs Similar (7)43.043.086.0+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.336.377.6+5.071%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A14/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H16/05
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#1
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A19/05
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#6
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
87.4Avg total
41.6Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.141.084.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.141.488.5+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.680.1-1.038%-
Last 10 (10)41.645.887.4-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.088.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)39.542.682.1-3.125%-
vs Similar (13)44.241.785.8+2.569%-
vs Weaker (9)44.738.483.1+6.256%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.6 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.0
49.9%
54.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.9
32.2%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.113.9
72.8%
76.2%13.9
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.6 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.2
47.9%
54.1%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.4
33.8%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.015.5
77.5%
76.2%15.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WLWLLLWLLL
Kataja
LLLLLWWLWL
#7
League position
#9
-5.4
Net rating
-5.7
89.1
Offensive rating
92.2
94.5
Defensive rating
97.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
49.2%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.2%
3-point %
33.8%
56.3%
Assist %
53.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.1 · 92.2Defence94.5 · 97.9Shooting49.2% · 49.2%3-point %32.2% · 33.8%Ball care16.2% · 13.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Kataja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Karhu Basket wins
5
Kataja wins
DateGameScore
02/04/26Kataja v Karhu Basket92-71
30/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja78-94
27/03/26Kataja v Karhu Basket85-60
24/03/26Karhu Basket v Kataja68-98
21/01/26Kataja v Karhu Basket76-62
15/11/25Karhu Basket v Kataja106-99
15/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket87-99
12/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja87-79
09/04/25Kataja v Karhu Basket82-96
05/04/25Karhu Basket v Kataja93-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HLahti Basketball73-68
21/10/26ALahti Basketball102-108 OT
17/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls91-76
10/10/26AKipina95-98 OT
06/10/26HBisons Loimaa72-73
03/10/26HKTP Kotka Basket78-84
30/09/26AKouvot Kouvola77-74
02/04/26AKataja71-92
30/03/26HKataja78-94
27/03/26AKataja60-85
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
29/09/26HHelsinki Seagulls102-83
19/05/26ASalon Vilpas69-100
16/05/26HSalon Vilpas75-59
14/05/26ASalon Vilpas81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game84.078.591.3
Allowed / game83.075.293.3
Point differential+1.0+3.2-2.0
Avg total167.0153.8184.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %29%0%67%
Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game84.193.377.2
Allowed / game87.491.784.2
Point differential-3.3+1.7-7.0
Avg total171.6185.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KTP Kotka Basket87188%95.083.4+11.6
2 Kipina76186%97.489.7+7.7
3 Honka86275%103.098.2+4.8
4 Salon Vilpas85362%87.079.1+7.9
5 Pyrinto Tampere84450%86.887.1-0.4
6 Helsinki Seagulls84450%78.882.1-3.4
7 Karhu Basket73443%84.083.0+1.0
8 Lahti Basketball83538%80.586.1-5.6
9 Kataja72529%84.187.4-3.3
10 Bisons Loimaa72529%73.184.0-10.9
11 Kouvot Kouvola82625%86.590.8-4.2
12 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki82625%87.893.6-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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