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Karhu Basket vs Salon Vilpas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 30 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
3.3/10
Below normal
Position#6
Record5-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game81.8
FinlandKorisliiga· IKH Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas
30 Dec 2026
KAH v SVI
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAH73
SVI98
20 Dec 2025
KAH79
SVI74
19 Mar 2025
KAH85
SVI83
21 Dec 2024
KAH75
SVI71
13 Apr 2024
KAH92
SVI89
08 Apr 2024
KAH97
SVI92
17 Feb 2024
KAH77
SVI70
16 Dec 2023
KAH89
SVI79
25 Apr 2023
KAH100
SVI88
20 Apr 2023
KAH87
SVI90
14 Apr 2023
KAH80
SVI63
11 Feb 2023
KAH101
SVI60
05 Oct 2022
KAH82
SVI73
11 May 2022
KAH90
SVI67
06 May 2022
KAH82
SVI81
02 May 2022
KAH90
SVI68
16 Mar 2022
KAH76
SVI88
06 Oct 2021
KAH99
SVI85
25 Apr 2021
KAH92
SVI73
21 Apr 2021
KAH83
SVI71
15 Apr 2021
KAH89
SVI96
06 Jan 2021
KAH76
SVI86
14 Mar 2020
KAH v SVI
upcoming
30 Nov 2019
KAH70
SVI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 71
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
90avg 71
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 71
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
95avg 71
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 71
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
67avg 71
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
119-78
119
78
+41
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
20-19
12-14
16-22
13-15
29-26
26-16
12-23
18-24
28-17
17-19
28-16
18-22
19-19
24-26
34-28
29-11
19-13
10-26
15-18
16-28
24-23
20-30
20-20
22-19
27-23
13-19
17-26
44-18
25-15
29-32
21-13
17-17
23-18
23-16
13-17
24-20
18-16
20-16
15-20
169.3Avg total
86.4Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.783.5169.3+2.245%
Season at home (6)85.075.2160.2+9.867%
Season away (5)86.693.6180.2-7.020%
Last 10 (10)86.482.9169.3+3.550%
Last 5 (5)86.281.2167.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.590.5165.0-16.18%
vs Similar ◀ (11)88.581.7170.2+6.773%
vs Weaker (6)82.582.3164.8+0.250%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
81-102
81
102
-21
72avg 81
H14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
77avg 81
A17/10
Korisliiga
Szombathely
#33
L
72-85
72
85
-13
66avg 81
A20/10
Champions League
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
79-64
79
64
+15
70avg 81
H24/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
79-86
79
86
-7
73avg 81
A27/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
80-52
80
52
+28
71avg 81
A30/10
Korisliiga
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H03/11
Champions League
Kipina
#1
L
86-87
86
87
-1
no box
A07/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#7
W
108-89
108
89
+19
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
90-98
90
98
-8
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
18-19
20-28
23-26
23-14
20-25
18-12
20-19
21-23
21-23
14-16
16-23
16-15
24-23
17-12
22-14
13-26
25-18
19-23
22-19
17-20
26-13
22-16
15-3
18-20
20-22
22-10
17-17
28-22
18-16
22-26
18-23
30-20
23-29
27-21
28-19
23-22
30-16
17-30
20-30
163.5Avg total
83.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)87.281.8169.0+5.450%
Season at home (4)89.886.5176.2+3.250%
Season away (6)85.578.7164.2+6.850%
Last 10 (10)83.380.2163.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)88.279.0167.2+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.582.5170.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (3)79.791.3171.0-11.70%
vs Weaker (24)86.277.8164.0+8.562%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Karhu BasketSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A10/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H17/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A21/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
48-24
48
24
+24
H23/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
W
69-33
69
33
+36
H07/11
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A10/11
Suomen Cup
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H14/11
Korisliiga
83.8Avg total
45.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.285.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.184.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)40.746.386.9-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)45.738.183.8+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.487.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.750.088.7-11.38%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.140.484.5+3.764%-
vs Weaker (6)43.538.782.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H14/10
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A17/10
Korisliiga
Szombathely
#33
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A20/10
Champions League
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H24/10
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A27/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A30/10
Korisliiga
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/11
Champions League
Kipina
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/11
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#7
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H11/11
Suomen Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A14/11
Korisliiga
84.9Avg total
43.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.940.984.8+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.440.785.1+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.184.5+2.267%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.584.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.640.086.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)46.543.590.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)42.044.086.0-2.033%-
vs Weaker (24)43.740.283.9+3.575%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.618.3
51.4%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.4
32.7%
32.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.813.6
72.3%
75.8%13.6
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.9
53.5%
54.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.5
34.1%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.7
76.6%
75.8%15.7
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WWWLLWLWLL
Salon Vilpas
LWLWWLWLWL
#8
League position
#6
-5.2
Net rating
+5.3
91.4
Offensive rating
96.8
96.6
Defensive rating
91.5
50.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.7%
3-point %
34.1%
57.1%
Assist %
57.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.4 · 96.8Defence96.6 · 91.5Shooting50.3% · 52.7%3-point %32.7% · 34.1%Ball care15.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Karhu Basket wins
5
Salon Vilpas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPyrinto Tampere77-72
10/11/26AHelsinki Seagulls76-68
07/11/26HHonka119-78
04/11/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki79-87
31/10/26AKataja80-101
23/10/26HLahti Basketball73-68
21/10/26ALahti Basketball102-108 OT
17/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls91-76
10/10/26AKipina95-98 OT
06/10/26HBisons Loimaa72-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKouvot Kouvola90-98
11/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki108-89
07/11/26AKipina86-87
03/11/26HAntwerp Giants77-69
30/10/26ALahti Basketball80-52
27/10/26AHelsinki Seagulls79-86
24/10/26HHelsinki Seagulls79-64
20/10/26ASzombathely72-85
17/10/26ABisons Loimaa81-70
14/10/26HKTP Kotka Basket81-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game85.785.086.6
Allowed / game83.575.293.6
Point differential+2.2+9.8-7.0
Avg total169.3160.2180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%0%40%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game87.289.885.5
Allowed / game81.886.578.7
Point differential+5.4+3.2+6.8
Avg total169.0176.2164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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