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Karhu Basket vs Salon Vilpas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 97-92
30-20 23-24 22-19 22-29
Position#5
Record18-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game80.2
vs
Position#6
Record18-15
FormLWLWL
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game83.4
FinlandKorisliigaKorisliiga - Quarter-finals· IKH Areena
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Karhu Basket v Salon Vilpas
30 Dec 2026
KAH v SVI
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
KAH73
SVI98
20 Dec 2025
KAH79
SVI74
19 Mar 2025
KAH85
SVI83
21 Dec 2024
KAH75
SVI71
13 Apr 2024
KAH92
SVI89
08 Apr 2024
KAH97
SVI92
17 Feb 2024
KAH77
SVI70
16 Dec 2023
KAH89
SVI79
25 Apr 2023
KAH100
SVI88
20 Apr 2023
KAH87
SVI90
14 Apr 2023
KAH80
SVI63
11 Feb 2023
KAH101
SVI60
05 Oct 2022
KAH82
SVI73
11 May 2022
KAH90
SVI67
06 May 2022
KAH82
SVI81
02 May 2022
KAH90
SVI68
16 Mar 2022
KAH76
SVI88
06 Oct 2021
KAH99
SVI85
25 Apr 2021
KAH92
SVI73
21 Apr 2021
KAH83
SVI71
15 Apr 2021
KAH89
SVI96
06 Jan 2021
KAH76
SVI86
14 Mar 2020
KAH v SVI
upcoming
30 Nov 2019
KAH70
SVI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Salon Vilpas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#2
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 75
A14/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
69avg 75
H17/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
92-84
92
84
+8
87avg 75
A02/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
79avg 75
H06/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
84-104
84
104
-20
80avg 75
A09/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
90-71
90
71
+19
78avg 75
H16/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
62-69
62
69
-7
44avg 75
H19/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
70avg 75
A22/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
59avg 75
A30/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
72-55
72
55
+17
64avg 75
A05/04
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
27-19
16-21
19-33
23-24
19-17
19-22
16-7
15-17
37-20
26-23
14-24
14-19
11-14
22-14
30-16
21-30
20-25
21-25
22-24
24-18
22-13
15-16
29-24
13-32
14-19
11-6
24-12
20-11
19-23
24-23
14-24
16-25
17-21
20-24
19-19
13-13
15-13
22-15
22-14
156.4Avg total
78.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.180.2165.3+4.955%
Season at home (16)87.877.1164.9+10.869%
Season away (17)82.583.1165.6-0.641%
Last 10 (10)78.677.8156.4+0.850%
Last 5 (5)74.673.0147.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.691.4178.0-4.820%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.682.3167.9+3.258%
vs Weaker (13)87.977.8165.8+10.154%
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilpas
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 73
H14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
70-77
70
77
-7
52avg 73
A17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
91-79
91
79
+12
84avg 73
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 73
H05/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
L
87-91
87
91
-4
70avg 73
A09/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
58avg 73
A16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
W
81-77
81
77
+4
72avg 73
H22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 73
H26/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
90-84
90
84
+6
91avg 73
A30/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
55-72
55
72
-17
42avg 73
H05/04
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
22-20
19-17
10-16
24-23
17-19
22-19
7-16
22-19
26-21
18-24
25-15
22-13
20-27
16-22
23-16
23-24
26-17
4-29
34-21
15-20
22-18
16-23
21-22
11-20
23-19
23-24
24-14
18-21
21-27
14-23
25-17
22-14
24-22
24-23
20-25
13-13
13-15
15-22
14-22
159.1Avg total
78.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.183.4168.5+1.855%
Season at home (17)84.382.9167.2+1.453%
Season away (16)86.083.8169.8+2.256%
Last 10 (10)78.380.8159.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)75.680.8156.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.288.8172.0-5.525%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.281.9164.1+0.255%
vs Weaker (6)97.585.8183.3+11.783%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -5.5-5.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
Karhu BasketSalon Vilpas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Nokia
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/02
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/02
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A02/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H06/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A09/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H16/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
L
27-51
27
51
-24
H19/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A22/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A30/03
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A05/04
Korisliiga
77.3Avg total
38.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.283.0+2.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.481.0+4.273%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.985.1+1.267%-
Last 10 (10)38.139.277.3-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.672.2-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.642.883.4-2.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.239.281.3+3.083%-
vs Weaker (13)44.440.184.5+4.362%-
This opponent (Salon Vilpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Salon VilpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H14/02
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/02
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H05/03
Korisliiga
BC Nokia
#2
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A09/03
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/03
Korisliiga
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H26/03
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A30/03
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H05/04
Korisliiga
80.7Avg total
40.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.183.0+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.881.3+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.242.584.7-0.327%-
Last 10 (10)40.939.880.7+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.874.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.845.888.5-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.040.481.4+0.740%-
vs Weaker (6)43.840.784.5+3.267%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.2
48.9%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.4
31.9%
33.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws15.611.8
75.6%
73.5%11.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Salon Vilpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Salon Vilpas: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
51.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.4
33.7%
33.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.312.1
69.9%
73.5%12.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WLLLWLWWWL
Salon Vilpas
LWLWLLWWLL
#5
League position
#6
+0.5
Net rating
-3.3
103.7
Offensive rating
102.1
103.2
Defensive rating
105.4
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.7%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
14.7%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
33.7%
63.0%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 102.1Defence103.2 · 105.4Shooting48.4% · 48.7%3-point %31.9% · 33.7%Ball care17.4% · 14.7%Off. rebounds32.2% · 24.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Salon Vilpas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Karhu Basket wins
2
Salon Vilpas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24ASalon Vilpas72-55
30/03/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki72-89
22/03/24ASalon Vilpas77-81
19/03/24HKataja62-69
16/03/24HBC Nokia90-71
09/03/24AHelsinki Seagulls84-104
06/03/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki77-63
02/03/24AKataja92-84
17/02/24HSalon Vilpas77-70
14/02/24ABC Nokia83-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/24HKarhu Basket55-72
30/03/24AKataja90-84
26/03/24HHelsinki Seagulls78-88
22/03/24HKarhu Basket81-77
16/03/24AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki74-83
09/03/24ABC Nokia87-91
05/03/24HKataja81-78
01/03/24AHelsinki Seagulls91-79
17/02/24AKarhu Basket70-77
14/02/24HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki76-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW55%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayWLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %55%69%41%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game80.277.183.1
Point differential+4.9+10.8-0.6
Avg total165.3164.9165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)25% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Salon Vilpas
Korisliiga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL55%
HomeLWWLL53%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%53%56%
Points / game85.184.386.0
Allowed / game83.482.983.8
Point differential+1.8+1.4+2.2
Avg total168.5167.2169.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)56% (9)0% (1)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helsinki Seagulls3325876%91.279.9+11.3
2 BC Nokia33211264%88.385.3+3.0
3 Kouvot Kouvola33201361%88.183.3+4.8
4 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki33201361%87.786.5+1.2
5 Karhu Basket33181555%85.180.2+4.9
6 Salon Vilpas33181555%85.183.4+1.8
7 Kataja33171652%82.783.4-0.7
8 Kobrat33141942%80.982.3-1.4
9 KTP Kotka Basket32131941%85.189.4-4.3
10 Pyrinto Tampere32122038%83.587.0-3.5
11 Bisons Loimaa32102231%83.488.9-5.4
12 Lahti Basketball3282425%85.898.2-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket3023222297
Salon Vilpas2024192992
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