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Karpos vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 75-63
24-11 13-18 23-16 15-18
Position#11
Record4-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game80.3
Karpos 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record5-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 16
Domestic2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karpos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KarposLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A23/11
BIBL
Cedevita
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
A29/11
BIBL
Zadar
#12
L
74-93
74
93
-19
A02/12
ABA League
Trepca
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H07/12
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#6
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H10/12
ABA League
Peja
#2
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H14/12
BIBL
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A24/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
20-22
16-24
16-29
19-23
19-27
25-12
18-23
25-12
20-22
21-20
23-27
12-24
21-26
10-26
21-14
18-24
19-19
20-23
17-27
16-15
18-21
34-15
17-18
25-12
13-25
17-21
20-14
21-19
24-22
14-19
23-15
25-16
15-10
24-13
19-17
16-23
18-27
13-16
24-13
156.5Avg total
77.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.280.3154.5-6.127%
Season at home (7)80.476.4156.9+4.057%
Season away (8)68.883.8152.5-15.00%
Last 10 (10)77.479.1156.5-1.750%
Last 5 (5)79.270.2149.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.684.4158.0-10.833%
vs Similar (11)75.976.4152.3-0.527%
vs Weaker (7)76.374.7151.0+1.657%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#17
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H23/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H26/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A29/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A03/12
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/12
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H10/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H14/12
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A18/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A21/12
Champions League
Cibona
#7
W
92-57
92
57
+35
H27/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-21
16-17
21-16
22-31
25-15
17-12
22-15
23-24
8-32
25-18
6-19
17-20
11-19
21-21
20-14
16-19
10-20
19-19
15-22
17-13
20-16
19-16
9-19
20-27
15-19
15-27
22-16
22-18
22-21
21-32
20-19
16-16
10-15
9-16
18-13
24-15
16-14
26-15
26-13
147.2Avg total
71.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.178.1156.1+0.033%
Season at home (8)78.569.8148.2+8.862%
Season away (7)77.687.6165.1-10.00%
Last 10 (10)71.775.5147.2-3.830%
Last 5 (5)73.472.0145.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.182.1150.2-13.913%
vs Similar (10)78.373.8152.1+4.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)83.872.4156.2+11.480%
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
KarposMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarposLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A21/11
ABA League
Sutjeska
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A23/11
BIBL
Cedevita
#3
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H26/11
ABA League
Peja
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A29/11
BIBL
Zadar
#12
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A02/12
ABA League
Trepca
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H07/12
BIBL
Mega Bemax
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/12
ABA League
Peja
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/12
BIBL
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A24/12
ABA League
78.7Avg total
38.2Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.578.3-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.038.278.2+1.860%-
Last 30 away (15)35.542.978.3-7.413%-
Last 10 (10)38.240.578.7-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.076.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.642.881.4-4.233%-
vs Similar (11)34.639.574.1-4.827%-
vs Weaker (7)41.138.379.4+2.957%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H23/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H26/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A29/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A06/12
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H10/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H14/12
Champions League
Partizan
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#40
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A21/12
Champions League
Cibona
#7
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/12
ABA League
74.6Avg total
35.0Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.277.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.436.975.3+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.844.179.9-8.37%-
Last 10 (10)35.039.674.6-4.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.871.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.242.677.8-7.420%-
vs Similar (10)37.037.774.7-0.730%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.638.281.8+5.480%-
This opponent (Karpos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karpostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karpos: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.2
50.5%
51.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.0
34.1%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws21.215.1
71.2%
73.3%15.1
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.2
48.7%
51.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.9
35.0%
34.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.014.7
70.0%
73.3%14.7
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karpos
LWWWWLLWLL
Mornar Bar
WLLLWLLLWL
#11
League position
#8
-4.8
Net rating
-4.3
101.2
Offensive rating
99.2
105.9
Defensive rating
103.5
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
17.6%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.1%
3-point %
35.0%
66.3%
Assist %
54.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.2 · 99.2Defence105.9 · 103.5Shooting50.8% · 49.9%3-point %34.1% · 35.0%Ball care16.0% · 17.6%Off. rebounds20.2% · 26.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Karpos   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karpos wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
07/10/16Mornar Bar v Karpos83-59
Karposlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/16AIgokea71-79
18/12/16HKK Krka Novo mesto83-56
14/12/16HPeja82-75
10/12/16HMega Bemax75-72
07/12/16HTrepca85-69
02/12/16AZadar74-93
29/11/16APeja64-90
26/11/16HCedevita89-81
23/11/16ASutjeska81-85
21/11/16ACrvena zvezda70-91
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16HCibona92-57
21/12/16AMega Bemax53-60
18/12/16APartizan85-90
14/12/16HTenerife72-89
10/12/16HMZT Skopje65-64
06/12/16AOostende60-80
03/12/16AIgokea69-74
29/11/16AStrasbourg62-93
26/11/16HKK Krka Novo mesto86-73
23/11/16HJuventus73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karpos
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL27%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%57%0%
Points / game74.280.468.8
Allowed / game80.376.483.8
Point differential-6.1+4.0-15.0
Avg total154.5156.9152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Mornar Bar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%62%0%
Points / game78.178.577.6
Allowed / game78.169.887.6
Point differential+0.0+8.8-10.0
Avg total156.1148.2165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda15150100%86.167.7+18.5
2 Partizan1613381%80.473.9+6.6
3 Buducnost1611569%82.677.4+5.2
4 Cedevita1510567%89.380.6+8.7
5 Cibona1610662%81.879.4+2.4
6 Igokea158753%75.076.5-1.5
7 Petrol Olimpija157847%80.180.9-0.8
8 Zadar156940%79.687.3-7.7
9 Mornar Bar1551033%78.178.1+0.0
10 KK Krka Novo mesto1551033%71.980.6-8.7
11 Mega Bemax1651131%80.283.9-3.7
12 FMP Beograd1541127%74.479.8-5.4
13 Karpos1541127%74.280.3-6.1
14 MZT Skopje1541127%76.184.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karpos2413231575
Mornar Bar1118161863
← all games of the day
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