PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

FMP Beograd vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-77
25-23 18-21 25-19 26-14
Position#9
Record3-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#12
Record5-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game87.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14
Domestic2016
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Zadar
31 Mar 2026
FBE85
ZAD55
17 Nov 2024
FBE67
ZAD83
15 Dec 2023
FBE77
ZAD92
17 Mar 2023
FBE112
ZAD87
31 Oct 2021
FBE83
ZAD76
15 Dec 2020
FBE89
ZAD99
01 Oct 2018
FBE99
ZAD86
23 Oct 2017
FBE91
ZAD76
16 Dec 2016
FBE94
ZAD77
27 Feb 2010
FBE83
ZAD81
27 Feb 2009
FBE82
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H10/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H07/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
A13/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
68-89
68
89
-21
A18/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
89-96
89
96
-7
H11/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
21-24
25-24
14-17
22-16
15-28
16-21
13-17
15-15
17-16
6-22
18-12
12-29
16-25
14-21
26-12
18-16
18-15
17-15
14-16
27-22
22-15
16-22
14-20
14-26
18-23
18-22
18-18
15-29
20-12
11-26
23-10
16-25
14-24
16-25
16-19
19-24
17-26
26-19
27-27
152.7Avg total
70.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.180.3153.4-7.223%
Season at home (6)75.877.5153.3-1.733%
Season away (7)70.782.7153.4-12.014%
Last 10 (10)70.682.1152.7-11.510%
Last 5 (5)74.688.8163.4-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.983.4158.2-8.521%
vs Similar (7)75.482.0157.4-6.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)87.265.8153.0+21.489%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A06/11
Premijer liga
Hermes
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H10/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
110-104
110
104
+6
A13/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H19/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A20/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H25/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A27/11
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H02/12
ABA League
Gorica
#11
W
97-53
97
53
+44
H07/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A11/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-13
13-26
17-24
11-24
22-21
25-22
20-16
25-17
34-23
19-22
23-20
34-39
20-22
18-17
19-20
12-17
21-16
25-16
20-26
18-29
20-18
22-7
15-12
16-27
17-24
6-18
19-20
31-20
24-18
19-19
23-20
27-17
30-8
21-10
25-18
21-17
21-24
16-21
21-10
18-23
160.5Avg total
82.4Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.987.6167.5-7.738%
Season at home (7)78.681.4160.0-2.957%
Season away (6)81.594.8176.3-13.317%
Last 10 (10)82.478.1160.5+4.350%
Last 5 (5)82.470.2152.6+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.990.6168.5-12.733%
vs Similar (7)82.675.9158.4+6.757%
vs Weaker (8)87.173.2160.4+13.988%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.7-1.7
FMP BeogradZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A18/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H11/12
ABA League
77.8Avg total
35.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.580.1-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.439.882.2+2.562%-
Last 30 away (17)37.541.178.5-3.635%-
Last 10 (10)35.242.677.8-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.445.281.6-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.543.180.6-5.629%-
vs Similar (7)38.142.680.7-4.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.034.978.9+9.178%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/11
Premijer liga
Hermes
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#7
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H25/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A27/11
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/12
ABA League
Gorica
#11
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H07/12
Premijer liga
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A11/12
ABA League
77.4Avg total
40.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.440.681.0-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.236.278.4+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.545.083.5-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.577.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.472.6+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.845.182.9-7.320%-
vs Similar (7)41.437.178.6+4.357%-
vs Weaker (8)44.235.279.5+9.075%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 68.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.416.5
43.0%
51.9%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.6
26.6%
34.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.715.3
70.5%
73.3%15.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.223.5
54.4%
51.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.94.9
27.4%
34.3%14.7
🏀 Free throws24.117.9
74.3%
73.3%17.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLLWLLLL
Zadar
LWWLWLLWWL
#9
League position
#12
-13.5
Net rating
-6.5
90.3
Offensive rating
101.1
103.8
Defensive rating
107.6
41.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.2%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
26.6%
3-point %
27.4%
77.1%
Assist %
61.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.3 · 101.1Defence103.8 · 107.6Shooting41.8% · 50.5%3-point %26.6% · 27.4%Ball care18.2% · 19.2%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
FMP Beograd wins
3
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
30/09/16Zadar v FMP Beograd78-76
27/02/10FMP Beograd v Zadar83-81
21/11/09Zadar v FMP Beograd90-69
27/02/09FMP Beograd v Zadar82-78
29/11/08Zadar v FMP Beograd88-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16HCedevita89-96
05/12/16ACrvena zvezda62-93
27/11/16HBuducnost69-77
18/11/16AMZT Skopje68-89
13/11/16APetrol Olimpija85-89 OT
07/11/16HKarpos67-62
29/10/16ACibona68-87
23/10/16HPartizan56-65
14/10/16AMornar Bar66-82
10/10/16HIgokea76-81
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16APetrol Olimpija76-78
07/12/16HGorica97-53
02/12/16HKarpos93-74
27/11/16ACibona73-82
25/11/16HOsijek73-64
20/11/16AZabok84-87
19/11/16HPartizan69-76
13/11/16AMornar Bar110-104
10/11/16HHermes92-76
06/11/16AJolly Sibenik57-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2016
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game73.175.870.7
Allowed / game80.377.582.7
Point differential-7.2-1.7-12.0
Avg total153.4153.3153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Zadar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game79.978.681.5
Allowed / game87.681.494.8
Point differential-7.7-2.9-13.3
Avg total167.5160.0176.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda13130100%84.965.5+19.5
2 Partizan1310377%78.872.6+6.2
3 Buducnost1310377%82.676.5+6.1
4 Cedevita139469%89.479.2+10.2
5 Cibona139469%83.979.7+4.2
6 Igokea137654%75.876.4-0.6
7 Petrol Olimpija135838%80.983.2-2.3
8 KK Krka Novo mesto135838%73.881.4-7.5
9 Zadar135838%79.987.6-7.7
10 Mornar Bar134931%76.578.8-2.3
11 Mega Bemax134931%81.584.7-3.2
12 MZT Skopje134931%76.483.0-6.6
13 FMP Beograd1331023%73.180.3-7.2
14 Karpos1331023%73.882.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd2518252694
Zadar2321191477
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.