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Mega Bemax vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-72
18-22 26-17 16-14 16-19
Position#6
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#9
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game80.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 15
Domestic2016
Meetings · Mega Bemax v FMP Beograd
06 Oct 2018
MBE89
FBE61
10 Feb 2018
MBE74
FBE72
15 May 2017
MBE83
FBE65
25 Dec 2016
MBE76
FBE72
12 Jun 2016
MBE81
FBE73
08 Jun 2016
MBE83
FBE84
04 Jun 2016
MBE93
FBE77
02 Jun 2015
MBE96
FBE82
20 Feb 2015
MBE92
FBE85
29 May 2014
MBE98
FBE91
29 Mar 2011
MBE77
FBE71
26 Feb 2011
MBE107
FBE113
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBemax
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
126avg 112
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
76-70
76
70
+6
no box
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
103avg 112
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
no box
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
no box
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
61-85
61
85
-24
no box
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
104avg 112
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A18/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
60-53
60
53
+7
no box
H21/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-23
20-24
26-21
21-25
14-23
18-7
23-15
26-20
16-22
15-20
22-24
9-15
16-19
25-20
9-19
16-20
20-18
17-31
18-13
15-21
18-16
10-22
18-26
12-25
25-13
21-17
14-20
23-22
16-26
14-23
24-16
19-19
14-22
9-21
27-20
16-16
15-10
16-9
13-18
149.7Avg total
71.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.684.5165.1-3.929%
Season at home (7)85.084.6169.6+0.443%
Season away (7)76.184.4160.6-8.314%
Last 10 (10)71.778.0149.7-6.330%
Last 5 (5)67.876.4144.2-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.380.5151.7-9.29%
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.380.4157.7-3.150%
vs Weaker (9)85.681.7167.2+3.944%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
72avg 94
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
56-65
56
65
-9
78avg 94
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
68-87
68
87
-19
87avg 94
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
92avg 94
H07/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
85-89 OT
85
89
-4
no box
A13/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
68-89
68
89
-21
82avg 94
A18/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
62-93
62
93
-31
87avg 94
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
89-96
89
96
-7
119avg 94
H11/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
W
94-77
94
77
+17
124avg 94
H16/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
15-28
16-21
13-17
15-15
17-16
6-22
18-12
12-29
16-25
14-21
26-12
18-16
18-15
17-15
14-16
27-22
22-15
16-22
14-20
14-26
18-23
18-22
18-18
15-29
20-12
11-26
23-10
16-25
14-24
16-25
16-19
19-24
17-26
26-19
27-27
25-23
18-21
25-19
26-14
154.1Avg total
72.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.680.1154.6-5.529%
Season at home (7)78.477.4155.9+1.043%
Season away (7)70.782.7153.4-12.014%
Last 10 (10)72.481.7154.1-9.320%
Last 5 (5)76.486.4162.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.983.4158.2-8.521%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.482.0157.4-6.629%
vs Weaker (9)86.467.0153.4+19.489%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +3.0+3.0
Mega BemaxFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#42
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H21/12
Champions League
75.2Avg total
35.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.979.9-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.440.981.3-0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.878.4-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.475.2-3.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.638.072.6-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)34.240.674.8-6.518%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.940.077.9-2.140%-
vs Weaker (9)46.342.188.4+4.278%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A13/11
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#13
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A18/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H27/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A05/12
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H11/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/12
ABA League
78.8Avg total
35.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.679.8-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.440.182.6+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)36.441.077.4-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)35.843.078.8-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.246.681.8-11.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.543.180.6-5.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.142.680.7-4.443%-
vs Weaker (9)42.735.177.8+7.667%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
51.9%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.4
31.5%
34.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.6%
73.3%14.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.117.9
45.8%
51.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.7
27.2%
34.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
73.3%14.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
WLLLLLLLWW
FMP Beograd
WLLLLLWLLL
#6
League position
#9
-2.3
Net rating
-11.8
101.6
Offensive rating
92.3
104.0
Defensive rating
104.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
43.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.5%
3-point %
27.2%
62.5%
Assist %
74.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 92.3Defence104.0 · 104.1Shooting48.9% · 43.9%3-point %31.5% · 27.2%Ball care19.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds35.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Mega Bemax wins
3
FMP Beograd wins
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/16HMornar Bar60-53
18/12/16APetrol Olimpija69-82
13/12/16ACibona77-87
10/12/16AKarpos72-75
07/12/16AAvellino61-85
04/12/16HCibona71-82
30/11/16ATenerife59-73
26/11/16APartizan79-86
22/11/16HOostende76-70
19/11/16HMornar Bar93-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/16HZadar94-77
11/12/16HCedevita89-96
05/12/16ACrvena zvezda62-93
27/11/16HBuducnost69-77
18/11/16AMZT Skopje68-89
13/11/16APetrol Olimpija85-89 OT
07/11/16HKarpos67-62
29/10/16ACibona68-87
23/10/16HPartizan56-65
14/10/16AMornar Bar66-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWLWL43%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game80.685.076.1
Allowed / game84.584.684.4
Point differential-3.9+0.4-8.3
Avg total165.1169.6160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game74.678.470.7
Allowed / game80.177.482.7
Point differential-5.5+1.0-12.0
Avg total154.6155.9153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda14140100%85.566.0+19.5
2 Partizan1512380%80.373.7+6.7
3 Cedevita1410471%89.179.6+9.6
4 Cibona1410471%83.978.4+5.6
5 Buducnost1410471%82.777.2+5.5
6 Igokea158753%75.076.5-1.5
7 Petrol Olimpija146843%81.082.2-1.2
8 Zadar145936%79.788.1-8.4
9 KK Krka Novo mesto145936%72.681.5-8.9
10 Mornar Bar1441029%77.179.6-2.5
11 Mega Bemax1441029%80.684.5-3.9
12 FMP Beograd1441029%74.680.1-5.5
13 Karpos1541127%74.280.3-6.1
14 MZT Skopje1541127%76.184.2-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Bemax1826161676
FMP Beograd2217141972
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