PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mega Bemax vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 60-53
16-16 15-10 16-9 13-18
Position#40
Record2-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#42
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 10
European cup2016
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar
19 Jan 2019
MBE82
MBA80
07 Oct 2017
MBE91
MBA70
21 Dec 2016
MBE60
MBA53
19 Nov 2016
MBE93
MBA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#9
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
61-85
61
85
-24
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A18/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-10
12-17
19-23
13-18
23-19
24-23
20-24
26-21
21-25
14-23
18-7
23-15
26-20
16-22
15-20
22-24
9-15
16-19
25-20
9-19
16-20
20-18
17-31
18-13
15-21
18-16
10-22
18-26
12-25
25-13
21-17
14-20
23-22
16-26
14-23
24-16
19-19
14-22
9-21
27-20
151.1Avg total
71.6Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.779.1150.8-7.422%
Season at home (4)76.078.0154.0-2.050%
Season away (5)68.280.0148.2-11.80%
Last 10 (10)71.679.5151.1-7.920%
Last 5 (5)70.082.2152.2-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.880.2151.0-9.38%
vs Similar ◀ (9)79.283.4162.7-4.244%
vs Weaker (9)85.681.7167.2+3.944%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H15/11
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#6
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A19/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H23/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H26/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
62-93
62
93
-31
A29/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A03/12
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
60-80
60
80
-20
A06/12
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H10/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H14/12
Champions League
Partizan
#2
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A18/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
17-16
13-17
16-17
19-23
23-24
24-20
21-26
18-21
18-21
16-17
21-16
22-31
25-15
17-12
22-15
23-24
8-32
25-18
6-19
17-20
11-19
21-21
20-14
16-19
10-20
19-19
15-22
17-13
20-16
19-16
9-19
20-27
15-19
15-27
22-16
22-18
22-21
21-32
20-19
153.3Avg total
72.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.581.3151.8-10.727%
Season at home (6)76.076.2152.2-0.250%
Season away (5)64.087.4151.4-23.40%
Last 10 (10)72.680.7153.3-8.120%
Last 5 (5)70.279.4149.6-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)68.182.1150.2-13.913%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.877.6157.4+2.138%
vs Weaker (7)83.373.6156.9+9.771%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Mega BemaxMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Strasbourg
#9
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/11
Champions League
Mornar Bar
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H19/11
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Partizan
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A26/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A30/11
Champions League
Cibona
#7
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H04/12
ABA League
Avellino
#10
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/12
Champions League
Karpos
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/12
ABA League
Cibona
#37
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A13/12
Champions League
Petrol Olimpija
#10
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A18/12
ABA League
74.9Avg total
35.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.480.5-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.041.982.9-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.140.978.0-3.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.439.574.9-4.110%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.476.0-4.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.840.874.7-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.741.680.2-2.933%-
vs Weaker (9)46.342.188.4+4.278%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H15/11
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#6
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A19/11
ABA League
Juventus
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H23/11
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H26/11
ABA League
Strasbourg
#9
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A29/11
Champions League
Igokea
#5
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
ABA League
Oostende
#35
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A06/12
Champions League
MZT Skopje
#13
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H10/12
ABA League
Tenerife
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H14/12
Champions League
Partizan
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/12
ABA League
78.9Avg total
36.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.540.878.3-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.236.975.1+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)36.845.181.9-8.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.578.9-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.038.472.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.242.677.8-7.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.039.677.6-1.625%-
vs Weaker (7)42.038.180.1+3.971%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
52.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.4
31.5%
34.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.3
72.6%
73.8%14.3
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.421.1
48.6%
52.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.56.8
34.9%
34.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.314.2
70.0%
73.8%14.2
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
LLLLLLLWWL
Mornar Bar
LLWLLLWLLL
#40
League position
#42
-2.3
Net rating
-6.8
101.6
Offensive rating
98.4
104.0
Defensive rating
105.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
49.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.5%
3-point %
34.9%
62.5%
Assist %
55.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 98.4Defence104.0 · 105.2Shooting48.9% · 49.8%3-point %31.5% · 34.9%Ball care19.4% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.1% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Mega Bemax wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
19/11/16Mega Bemax v Mornar Bar93-87
02/11/16Mornar Bar v Mega Bemax87-85
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16APetrol Olimpija69-82
13/12/16ACibona77-87
10/12/16AKarpos72-75
07/12/16AAvellino61-85
04/12/16HCibona71-82
30/11/16ATenerife59-73
26/11/16APartizan79-86
22/11/16HOostende76-70
19/11/16HMornar Bar93-87
16/11/16AStrasbourg59-68
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16APartizan85-90
14/12/16HTenerife72-89
10/12/16HMZT Skopje65-64
06/12/16AOostende60-80
03/12/16AIgokea69-74
29/11/16AStrasbourg62-93
26/11/16HKK Krka Novo mesto86-73
23/11/16HJuventus73-75
19/11/16AMega Bemax87-93
15/11/16HAvellino67-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
Champions League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game71.776.068.2
Allowed / game79.178.080.0
Point differential-7.4-2.0-11.8
Avg total150.8154.0148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
Champions League 2016
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game70.576.064.0
Allowed / game81.376.287.4
Point differential-10.7-0.2-23.4
Avg total151.8152.2151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco98189%71.762.3+9.3
2 Neptunas108280%75.467.0+8.4
3 Banvit108280%80.672.7+7.9
4 Besiktas108280%81.073.8+7.2
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne108280%77.670.7+6.9
6 Tenerife97278%83.767.9+15.8
7 Juventus118373%78.777.3+1.5
8 Aris107370%77.767.4+10.3
9 Nymburk107370%81.572.7+8.8
10 Ludwigsburg107370%83.074.4+8.6
11 Le Mans107370%73.965.9+8.0
12 Venezia107370%73.870.3+3.5
13 Strasbourg96367%77.269.4+7.8
14 Karsiyaka96367%75.368.0+7.3
15 Avellino96367%76.771.2+5.4
16 AEK Athens106460%80.771.1+9.6
17 Partizan106460%74.674.8-0.2
18 Kataja127558%79.576.4+3.1
19 CSM Oradea148657%68.469.6-1.2
20 Oldenburg95456%72.070.4+1.6
21 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
22 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
23 Ventspils105550%77.473.5+3.9
24 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
25 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
26 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
27 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
28 PAOK94544%72.471.3+1.1
29 Oostende94544%71.270.9+0.3
30 Usak Sportif125742%76.276.9-0.8
31 Ironi Nahariya125742%71.174.3-3.2
32 Saratov104640%85.785.0+0.7
33 Sassari104640%77.277.0+0.2
34 Zielona Gora104640%73.275.7-2.5
35 Spirou Charleroi104640%73.379.0-5.7
36 Maccabi Rishon93633%70.073.3-3.3
37 Cibona93633%80.686.6-6.0
38 Frankfurt93633%65.271.6-6.3
39 HydroTruck Radom93633%68.875.7-6.9
40 Mornar Bar113827%70.581.3-10.7
41 Varese113827%69.480.5-11.1
42 Bakken Bears113827%69.984.2-14.3
43 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
44 Mega Bemax92722%71.779.1-7.4
45 Helios Domzale91811%58.366.3-8.0
46 Khimik101910%64.576.9-12.4
47 Szolnoki Olaj101910%68.986.1-17.2
48 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
49 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
50 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
51 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
52 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Bemax1615161360
Mornar Bar161091853
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.