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Karsiyaka vs Mersin SK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-87
21-31 34-11 19-30 18-15
Position#15
Record4-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#13
Record9-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game87.4
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 24· Mustafa Kemal Ataturk Sport Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Karsiyaka v Mersin SK
29 Mar 2026
KAR92
MES87
20 Oct 2024
KAR107
MES81
04 Oct 2012
KAR72
MES63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mersin SK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Karsiyaka
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.7
77.0▼ 1.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 88.4
89.2▲ 0.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
55%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.0
16.0▼ 2.0
🔥 Form · Mersin SK
6.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.1
91.0▲ 8.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 86.5
92.8▲ 6.3
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
60%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 21.1
25.6▲ 4.5
KarsiyakaTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
103-91 OT
103
91
+12
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
55-91
55
91
-36
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-37
21-13
15-18
28-24
16-20
24-24
24-21
20-21
19-15
16-25
24-27
30-22
15-33
24-18
20-18
22-14
16-19
10-29
14-25
15-18
19-22
19-28
22-25
21-23
11-22
28-18
9-22
24-20
17-21
15-23
17-26
30-19
13-32
17-10
19-32
26-11
18-29
21-23
18-23
21-17
171.3Avg total
81.5Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.089.2168.1-10.217%
Season at home (11)77.985.9163.8-8.027%
Season away (12)79.992.2172.1-12.28%
Last 10 (10)81.589.8171.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)77.089.2166.2-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.491.4167.7-15.06%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.685.2166.8-3.638%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#14
L
83-113
83
113
-30
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
104-103 OT
104
103
+1
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
114-76
114
76
+38
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
71-111
71
111
-40
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-31
15-19
27-31
25-32
25-30
21-21
16-17
17-14
19-25
24-23
19-13
19-16
16-22
12-19
13-19
18-24
16-24
24-12
25-16
10-23
32-20
21-24
14-20
21-19
27-19
23-24
12-30
20-9
17-21
15-25
19-22
27-23
31-17
29-22
30-24
24-13
16-31
12-36
26-18
17-26
174.4Avg total
84.4Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.487.4171.9-3.039%
Season at home (12)90.087.2177.2+2.858%
Season away (11)78.487.6166.0-9.318%
Last 10 (10)84.490.0174.4-5.650%
Last 5 (5)91.092.8183.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)78.690.9169.5-12.412%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.284.8175.0+5.383%
vs Weaker (1)77.088.0165.0-11.00%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.8-7.8Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
KarsiyakaMersin SK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tofas
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A10/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Merkezefendi
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-48
26
48
-22
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
82.8Avg total
36.7Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.846.184.9-7.317%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.642.981.5-4.429%-
Last 30 away (16)39.148.987.9-9.86%-
Last 10 (10)36.746.182.8-9.40%-
Last 5 (5)35.645.681.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)38.246.985.1-8.86%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.745.084.7-5.331%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mersin SK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mersin SKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#14
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A08/01
Champions League
Trabzonspor
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
H11/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Manisa
#11
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A24/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H31/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#9
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A07/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#14
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#7
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#5
L
28-67
28
67
-39
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
87.6Avg total
41.1Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.886.1-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.943.887.7+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)38.445.984.2-7.529%-
Last 10 (10)41.146.587.6-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.647.892.4-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.747.585.2-9.818%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.440.887.2+5.775%-
vs Weaker (1)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karsiyakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karsiyaka: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.9
54.2%
54.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.3
34.7%
35.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.615.7
80.1%
76.0%15.7
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mersin SKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mersin SK: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.0
53.9%
54.0%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.4
33.3%
35.6%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
76.0%15.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karsiyaka
LLLLLLLWLW
Mersin SK
LWLWWWLWLL
#15
League position
#13
-11.4
Net rating
-9.7
97.6
Offensive rating
95.7
109.0
Defensive rating
105.5
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
58.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.0%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.7%
3-point %
33.3%
63.1%
Assist %
77.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 95.7Defence109.0 · 105.5Shooting53.4% · 52.0%3-point %34.7% · 33.3%Ball care17.5% · 16.0%Off. rebounds36.1% · 30.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Karsiyaka   ■ Mersin SK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Karsiyaka wins
2
Mersin SK wins
DateGameScore
21/11/25Mersin SK v Karsiyaka92-87
07/02/25Mersin SK v Karsiyaka94-87 OT
20/10/24Karsiyaka v Mersin SK107-81
04/10/12Karsiyaka v Mersin SK72-63
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26AManisa78-92
14/03/26HTurk Telekom75-85
08/03/26ATrabzonspor79-89
15/02/26HGalatasaray72-82
08/02/26AAnadolu Efes81-98
31/01/26HFenerbahce55-91
26/01/26AMerkezefendi81-83
18/01/26HPetkim Spor103-91 OT
10/01/26ABursaspor84-86
02/01/26HTofas107-101 OT
Mersin SKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/26ATurk Telekom71-111
15/03/26HGalatasaray114-76
08/03/26AFenerbahce78-91
15/02/26HPetkim Spor104-103 OT
07/02/26ATofas88-83
31/01/26HBahcesehir Kol.87-80 OT
24/01/26ABesiktas59-84
18/01/26HManisa81-77
11/01/26HTrabzonspor79-82
08/01/26ALe Mans83-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karsiyaka
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWWLLL27%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %17%27%8%
Points / game79.077.979.9
Allowed / game89.285.992.2
Point differential-10.2-8.0-12.2
Avg total168.1163.8172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%9%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Mersin SK
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL39%
HomeLWWWW58%
AwayLLWLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %39%58%18%
Points / game84.490.078.4
Allowed / game87.487.287.6
Point differential-3.0+2.8-9.3
Avg total171.9177.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%17%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %9%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2320387%89.079.3+9.7
2 Besiktas2420483%86.576.0+10.5
3 Bahcesehir Kol.2418675%82.175.9+6.2
4 Turk Telekom2416867%86.880.1+6.8
5 Trabzonspor2416867%86.682.3+4.3
6 Anadolu Efes2415962%87.681.7+5.9
7 Esenler Erokspor24141058%82.078.8+3.3
8 Galatasaray24141058%86.284.4+1.8
9 Tofas24101442%84.685.1-0.5
10 Merkezefendi24101442%81.286.7-5.4
11 Mersin SK2391439%84.487.4-3.0
12 Manisa2481633%79.784.5-4.8
13 Petkim Spor2471729%80.587.9-7.3
14 Bursaspor2361726%80.389.6-9.2
15 Karsiyaka2341917%79.089.2-10.2
16 Buyukcekmece2432112%80.789.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karsiyaka2134191892
Mersin SK3111301587
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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