Almaty vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 73-106

16-24 22-26 19-27 16-29

Position#3

Record6-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game87.6

Allowed / game78.3

Almaty

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record7-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game91.4

Allowed / game61.4

National League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Almaty v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Almaty

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAlmaty

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

100-70

100

+30

97avg 79

H15/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

80-89

-9

66avg 79

H16/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

90-94 OT

-4

90avg 79

A19/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

95-58

+37

96avg 79

H11/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

105-60

105

+45

96avg 79

H12/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

80-71

75avg 79

A25/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

78-72

75avg 79

A26/10

National League

Atyrau

113-112 OT

113

112

104avg 79

A29/10

National League

Atyrau

89-83

88avg 79

A30/10

National League

Astana

53-92

-39

42avg 79

H08/11

National League

24-22

22-16

33-14

21-18

15-26

13-23

24-25

28-15

28-28

31-20

17-23

11-16

28-12

30-11

23-18

14-17

31-14

31-5

26-27

17-14

22-23

16-24

22-11

20-13

21-22

13-17

26-16

18-17

22-32

27-9

25-33

31-31

26-20

24-18

20-16

19-29

16-24

11-25

8-23

18-20

168.4Avg total

88.3Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	87.6	78.3	165.9	+9.3	86%
Season at home (3)	84.3	70.0	154.3	+14.3	67%
Season away (4)	90.0	84.5	174.5	+5.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	80.1	168.4	+8.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	86.0	168.6	-3.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	76.4	83.1	159.5	-6.6	19%
vs Similar (9)	88.3	81.6	169.9	+6.8	89%
vs Weaker (5)	68.4	41.4	109.8	+27.0	100%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

Al-Riyadi

58-93

-35

46avg 83

A10/05

WASL

Al Ittihad

76-79

-3

74avg 83

H12/05

WASL

Sagesse Beirut

90-113

113

-23

84avg 83

A14/05

WASL

Atyrau

87-61

+26

92avg 83

A18/10

National League

Atyrau

99-64

+35

109avg 83

A19/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-56

+32

84avg 83

A26/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

103-54

103

+49

101avg 83

A27/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

84-68

+16

72avg 83

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

87-74

+13

79avg 83

H04/11

National League

Almaty

92-53

+39

84avg 83

A08/11

National League

15-23

14-20

12-26

17-24

23-21

12-18

22-22

19-18

24-31

25-31

21-25

20-26

28-13

21-19

14-15

24-14

25-12

28-19

24-22

22-11

26-16

14-15

26-16

22-9

36-13

23-11

22-17

22-13

26-18

22-13

14-18

22-19

20-22

22-10

25-18

20-24

24-16

25-11

23-8

20-18

157.9Avg total

86.4Scored

71.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	91.4	61.4	152.9	+30.0	100%
Season at home (2)	85.5	71.0	156.5	+14.5	100%
Season away (5)	93.8	57.6	151.4	+36.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	71.5	157.9	+14.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.8	61.0	151.8	+29.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	67.7	91.6	159.3	-23.9	9%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	91.4	61.4	152.9	+30.0	100%

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AlmatyAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.2	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.2	21.1	43.4	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	23.5	45.3	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	22.3	45.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.2	45.6	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	23.2	44.6	-1.9	22%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.0	17.7	47.7	+12.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.5	41.6	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	22.3	41.5	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	20.9	41.6	-0.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	18.5	43.2	+6.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	17.0	43.4	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.1	23.3	41.4	-5.2	22%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	26.4	15.7	42.1	+10.7	86%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.4	18.6	39.9	+2.8	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	17.0	38.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.8	38.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.6	36.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	20.9	20.7	41.5	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	17.1	36.4	+2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.0	12.3	42.3	+17.7	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	21.3	38.6	-4.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.6	21.5	39.2	-3.9	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.7	37.3	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	12.0	33.2	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	15.8	23.6	39.3	-7.8	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	22.1	14.0	36.1	+8.1	86%	-

AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tobol Kostanay

46-38

H15/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

28-49

-21

H16/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

59-48

+11

A19/05

National League

Tobol Kostanay

58-23

+35

H11/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

62-19

+43

H12/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

38-47

-9

A25/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

34-39

-5

A26/10

National League

Atyrau

49-41

A29/10

National League

Atyrau

50-38

+12

A30/10

National League

Astana

27-49

-22

H08/11

National League

84.2Avg total

45.1Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.9	38.1	82.0	+5.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.9	43.7	86.6	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	39.1	84.2	+6.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.8	82.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	41.7	43.3	85.0	-1.5	47%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.7	40.3	81.0	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	60.0	30.0	90.0	+30.0	100%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Al-Riyadi

29-43

-14

A10/05

WASL

Al Ittihad

35-39

-4

H12/05

WASL

Sagesse Beirut

49-62

-13

A14/05

WASL

Atyrau

49-32

+17

A18/10

National League

Atyrau

53-31

+22

A19/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

40-31

A26/10

National League

Tobol Kostanay

59-24

+35

A27/10

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

48-31

+17

H03/11

National League

Kaspiy Aktau

42-32

+10

H04/11

National League

Almaty

49-27

+22

A08/11

National League

80.5Avg total

45.3Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	42.9	80.2	-5.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.8	43.8	80.7	-7.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.6	42.1	79.8	-4.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	35.2	80.5	+10.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	29.0	76.6	+18.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	33.9	46.9	80.7	-13.0	13%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	48.6	29.7	78.3	+18.9	100%	-

This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.9	21.3	43.2	+0.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.6	43.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	53%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.1	20.3	42.4	+1.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	22.0	46.7	+2.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.2	21.1	37.2	-4.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	20.6	38.6	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.7	39.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.4	37.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	16.0	22.2	38.2	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.1	16.3	37.4	+4.9	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	18.4	21.7	40.1	-3.3	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	24.7	20.1	44.8	+4.6	78%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	17.0	33.0	-1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.7	39.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.7	21.2	37.8	-4.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	17.8	22.3	40.1	-4.6	26%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	21.7	15.4	37.1	+6.3	86%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	42.1	42.0	84.1	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	40.4	83.8	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.7	43.8	84.5	-3.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	39.6	81.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	41.8	83.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)	39.6	43.5	83.1	-3.9	27%	-
vs Similar (9)	46.8	40.4	87.2	+6.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	39.0	79.7	+1.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	41.6	77.4	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.8	42.2	75.1	-9.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	38.2	41.1	79.2	-2.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	36.3	77.4	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	32.0	75.2	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	33.7	44.6	78.3	-10.8	17%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (7)	42.9	31.7	74.6	+11.1	86%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 72.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	16.9	47.9%	50.5%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	9.0	29.7%	30.4%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.5	71.4%	69.6%	11.5

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	21.0	57.4%	50.5%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	11.3	38.3%	30.4%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.2	76.4%	69.6%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.7	51.5%	50.5%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.6	32.4%	30.4%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	13.2	9.3	70.9%	69.6%	9.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.8	55.4%	50.5%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.2	36.6%	30.4%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.8	75.8%	69.6%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Almaty wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
08/11/25	Almaty v Astana	53-92
27/01/21	Astana v Almaty	98-61
26/01/21	Astana v Almaty	109-41
09/12/20	Almaty v Astana	66-90
08/12/20	Almaty v Astana	67-107
14/03/19	Almaty v Astana	60-95
13/03/19	Almaty v Astana	65-93
20/12/18	Almaty v Astana	58-83
19/12/18	Almaty v Astana	80-90
22/11/18	Astana v Almaty	96-48

Almatylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/25	H	Astana	53-92
30/10/25	A	Atyrau	89-83
29/10/25	A	Atyrau	113-112 OT
26/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	78-72
25/10/25	A	Kaspiy Aktau	80-71
12/10/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	105-60
11/10/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	95-58
19/05/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	90-94 OT
16/05/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	80-89
15/05/25	H	Tobol Kostanay	100-70

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/25	A	Almaty	92-53
04/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	87-74
03/11/25	H	Kaspiy Aktau	84-68
27/10/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	103-54
26/10/25	A	Tobol Kostanay	88-56
19/10/25	A	Atyrau	99-64
18/10/25	A	Atyrau	87-61
14/05/25	A	Sagesse Beirut	90-113
12/05/25	H	Al Ittihad	76-79
10/05/25	A	Al-Riyadi	58-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty

National League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	86%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	86%	67%	100%
Points / game	87.6	84.3	90.0
Allowed / game	78.3	70.0	84.5
Point differential	+9.3	+14.3	+5.5
Avg total	165.9	154.3	174.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	2	5
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	91.4	85.5	93.8
Allowed / game	61.4	71.0	57.6
Point differential	+30.0	+14.5	+36.2
Avg total	152.9	156.5	151.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	100%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	7	7	0	100%	91.4	61.4	+30.0
2	Almaty	7	6	1	86%	87.6	78.3	+9.3
3	Atyrau	6	2	4	33%	81.7	90.3	-8.7
4	Kaspiy Aktau	8	2	6	25%	78.4	79.2	-0.9
5	Tobol Kostanay	6	0	6	0%	60.5	96.5	-36.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Almaty	16	22	19	16	73
Astana	24	26	27	29	106

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Almaty vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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