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Almaty vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 53-92
16-24 11-25 8-23 18-20
Position#3
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Astana 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game62.8
KazakhstanNational League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Almaty v Astana
22 Mar 2026
ALMA54
AST81
21 Mar 2026
ALMA68
AST82
09 Nov 2025
ALMA73
AST106
08 Nov 2025
ALMA53
AST92
09 Dec 2020
ALMA66
AST90
08 Dec 2020
ALMA67
AST107
14 Mar 2019
ALMA60
AST95
13 Mar 2019
ALMA65
AST93
20 Dec 2018
ALMA58
AST83
19 Dec 2018
ALMA80
AST90
30 Mar 2016
ALMA69
AST84
29 Mar 2016
ALMA72
AST82
21 Oct 2014
ALMA64
AST93
09 Oct 2014
ALMA78
AST84
08 Oct 2014
ALMA67
AST84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Almaty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AlmatyKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlmaty
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
90-102
90
102
-12
78avg 80
A11/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
100-70
100
70
+30
97avg 80
H15/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
66avg 80
H16/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
90avg 80
A19/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
95-58
95
58
+37
96avg 80
H11/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
105-60
105
60
+45
96avg 80
H12/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
75avg 80
A25/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
78-72
78
72
+6
75avg 80
A26/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
113-112 OT
113
112
+1
104avg 80
A29/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 80
A30/10
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
19-24
25-22
14-28
24-22
22-16
33-14
21-18
15-26
13-23
24-25
28-15
28-28
31-20
17-23
11-16
28-12
30-11
23-18
14-17
31-14
31-5
26-27
17-14
22-23
16-24
22-11
20-13
21-22
13-17
26-16
18-17
22-32
27-9
25-33
31-31
26-20
24-18
20-16
19-29
173.1Avg total
92.0Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)93.376.0169.3+17.3100%
Season at home (2)100.059.0159.0+41.0100%
Season away (4)90.084.5174.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)92.081.1173.1+10.970%
Last 5 (5)93.079.6172.6+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)78.082.5160.5-4.520%
vs Similar (9)88.381.6169.9+6.889%
vs Weaker (6)72.046.2118.2+25.8100%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstana
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
67-101
67
101
-34
no box
H12/04
VTB United League
Al-Riyadi
#1
L
58-93
58
93
-35
46avg 82
A10/05
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
L
76-79
76
79
-3
74avg 82
H12/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
L
90-113
90
113
-23
84avg 82
A14/05
WASL
Atyrau
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
92avg 82
A18/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
99-64
99
64
+35
109avg 82
A19/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
88-56
88
56
+32
84avg 82
A26/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
103-54
103
54
+49
101avg 82
A27/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
84-68
84
68
+16
72avg 82
H03/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
79avg 82
H04/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
24-23
9-32
18-26
15-23
14-20
12-26
17-24
23-21
12-18
22-22
19-18
24-31
25-31
21-25
20-26
28-13
21-19
14-15
24-14
25-12
28-19
24-22
22-11
26-16
14-15
26-16
22-9
36-13
23-11
22-17
22-13
26-18
22-13
14-18
22-19
20-22
22-10
25-18
20-24
160.2Avg total
83.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.362.8154.2+28.5100%
Season at home (2)85.571.0156.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)94.258.8153.0+35.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.976.3160.2+7.660%
Last 5 (5)92.263.2155.4+29.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)67.592.2159.8-24.78%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.362.8154.2+28.5100%
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +5.9+5.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
AlmatyAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AlmatyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A11/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H15/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H16/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A19/05
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H11/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
62-19
62
19
+43
H12/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A25/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A26/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A30/10
National League
86.9Avg total
47.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)44.040.384.3+3.756%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.937.182.1+7.864%-
Last 30 away (13)42.943.786.6-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)47.539.486.9+8.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.883.4+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.842.985.6-0.150%-
vs Similar (9)40.740.381.0+0.344%-
vs Weaker (4)55.531.286.8+24.2100%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/04
VTB United League
Al-Riyadi
#1
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/05
WASL
Al Ittihad
#8
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H12/05
WASL
Sagesse Beirut
#7
L
49-62
49
62
-13
A14/05
WASL
Atyrau
#4
W
49-32
49
32
+17
A18/10
National League
Atyrau
#4
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A19/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A26/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#5
W
59-24
59
24
+35
A27/10
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H03/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#2
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H04/11
National League
81.2Avg total
44.4Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.643.980.5-7.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.843.880.7-7.031%-
Last 30 away (17)36.543.980.4-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)44.436.881.2+7.660%-
Last 5 (5)48.429.878.2+18.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)33.747.381.0-13.612%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)48.530.278.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (Almaty) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Almatytheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.316.9
47.9%
50.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.0
29.7%
30.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.111.5
71.4%
69.6%11.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Almaty wins
10
Astana wins
DateGameScore
27/01/21Astana v Almaty98-61
26/01/21Astana v Almaty109-41
09/12/20Almaty v Astana66-90
08/12/20Almaty v Astana67-107
14/03/19Almaty v Astana60-95
13/03/19Almaty v Astana65-93
20/12/18Almaty v Astana58-83
19/12/18Almaty v Astana80-90
22/11/18Astana v Almaty96-48
21/11/18Astana v Almaty88-44
Almatylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25AAtyrau89-83
29/10/25AAtyrau113-112 OT
26/10/25AKaspiy Aktau78-72
25/10/25AKaspiy Aktau80-71
12/10/25HTobol Kostanay105-60
11/10/25HTobol Kostanay95-58
19/05/25ATobol Kostanay90-94 OT
16/05/25HTobol Kostanay80-89
15/05/25HTobol Kostanay100-70
11/05/25ATobol Kostanay90-102
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25HKaspiy Aktau87-74
03/11/25HKaspiy Aktau84-68
27/10/25ATobol Kostanay103-54
26/10/25ATobol Kostanay88-56
19/10/25AAtyrau99-64
18/10/25AAtyrau87-61
14/05/25ASagesse Beirut90-113
12/05/25HAl Ittihad76-79
10/05/25AAl-Riyadi58-93
12/04/25HZenit Petersburg67-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Almaty
National League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.3100.090.0
Allowed / game76.059.084.5
Point differential+17.3+41.0+5.5
Avg total169.3159.0174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%25%
Astana
National League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.385.594.2
Allowed / game62.871.058.8
Point differential+28.5+14.5+35.5
Avg total154.2156.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astana660100%91.362.8+28.5
2 Almaty660100%93.376.0+17.3
3 Atyrau62433%81.790.3-8.7
4 Kaspiy Aktau71614%74.780.0-5.3
5 Tobol Kostanay5050%57.895.0-37.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Almaty161181853
Astana2425232092
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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