Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 56-88

16-26 15-14 16-26 9-22

Position#5

Record0-2

FormLWWLL

Points / game59.0

Allowed / game100.0

Tobol Kostanay

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record2-0

FormLLLWW

Points / game93.0

Allowed / game62.5

National League

Other2025-26

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Astana 2

70-93

-23

62avg 84

H19/04

National League

Astana 2

76-97

-21

73avg 84

H20/04

National League

Astana 2

65-84

-19

50avg 84

A23/04

National League

Almaty

93-98

-5

78avg 84

H10/05

National League

Almaty

102-90

102

+12

114avg 84

H11/05

National League

Almaty

70-100

100

-30

58avg 84

A15/05

National League

Almaty

89-80

83avg 84

A16/05

National League

Almaty

94-90 OT

91avg 84

H19/05

National League

Almaty

58-95

-37

36avg 84

A11/10

National League

Almaty

60-105

105

-45

32avg 84

A12/10

National League

14-26

17-23

21-24

18-20

24-25

21-28

18-20

13-24

20-22

17-21

12-25

16-16

19-22

28-26

26-23

20-27

28-32

24-19

22-25

28-14

22-24

16-22

14-33

18-21

26-15

23-13

25-24

15-28

28-28

20-31

23-17

16-11

12-28

11-30

18-23

17-14

14-31

5-31

27-26

14-17

170.9Avg total

77.7Scored

93.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	59.0	100.0	159.0	-41.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	59.0	100.0	159.0	-41.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	93.2	170.9	-15.5	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	94.0	168.2	-19.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	59.0	100.0	159.0	-41.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	83.5	77.0	160.5	+6.5	50%
vs Weaker (26)	83.8	79.0	162.7	+4.8	73%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormAstana

Date

Competition

MBA Moscow

61-75

-14

no box

A30/03

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

82-102

102

-20

no box

A02/04

VTB United League

Parma Perm

56-87

-31

no box

H05/04

VTB United League

Unics Kazan

65-105

105

-40

no box

H08/04

VTB United League

Zenit Petersburg

67-101

101

-34

no box

H12/04

VTB United League

Al-Riyadi

58-93

-35

46avg 81

A10/05

WASL

Al Ittihad

76-79

-3

74avg 81

H12/05

WASL

Sagesse Beirut

90-113

113

-23

84avg 81

A14/05

WASL

Atyrau

87-61

+26

92avg 81

A18/10

National League

Atyrau

99-64

+35

109avg 81

A19/10

National League

17-21

12-17

10-19

22-18

24-24

16-18

21-31

21-29

21-20

11-26

10-22

14-19

19-26

16-38

19-20

11-21

16-20

24-23

9-32

18-26

15-23

14-20

12-26

17-24

23-21

12-18

22-22

19-18

24-31

25-31

21-25

20-26

28-13

21-19

14-15

24-14

25-12

28-19

24-22

22-11

162.1Avg total

74.1Scored

88.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (2)	93.0	62.5	155.5	+30.5	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (2)	93.0	62.5	155.5	+30.5	100%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	88.0	162.1	-13.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	82.0	164.0	+0.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)	66.9	91.6	158.5	-24.7	7%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	93.0	62.5	155.5	+30.5	100%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.0	21.8	43.8	+0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	21.9	44.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	25.3	46.0	-4.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.2	45.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	13.0	29.5	42.5	-16.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	23.5	25.5	49.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (25)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.7	48%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	22.6	40.3	-5.0	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	22.4	38.9	-5.9	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	22.9	41.5	-4.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)	17.0	23.4	40.4	-6.4	18%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	26.5	12.5	39.0	+14.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.6	42.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	22.4	40.2	-4.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	24.4	42.6	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	25.4	40.4	-10.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	8.0	30.5	38.5	-22.5	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	14.5	16.5	31.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.4	52%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.3	23.4	39.7	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.6	23.6	40.3	-7.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	23.2	39.2	-7.3	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.9	40.8	-5.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.4	41.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)	15.7	23.8	39.4	-8.1	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	24.5	19.0	43.5	+5.5	100%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana 2

31-49

-18

H19/04

National League

Astana 2

45-53

-8

H20/04

National League

Astana 2

37-43

-6

A23/04

National League

Almaty

47-48

-1

H10/05

National League

Almaty

52-51

H11/05

National League

Almaty

38-46

-8

A15/05

National League

Almaty

49-28

+21

A16/05

National League

Almaty

48-59

-11

H19/05

National League

Almaty

23-58

-35

A11/10

National League

Almaty

19-62

-43

A12/10

National League

88.6Avg total

38.9Scored

49.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.1	43.3	85.4	-1.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	42.5	87.7	+2.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	44.1	82.9	-5.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	49.7	88.6	-10.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.4	50.6	86.0	-15.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	21.0	60.0	81.0	-39.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	38.0	42.0	80.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (25)	44.1	42.0	86.2	+2.1	52%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

MBA Moscow

29-38

-9

A30/03

VTB United League

Lokomotiv Kuban

40-42

-2

A02/04

VTB United League

Parma Perm

32-46

-14

H05/04

VTB United League

Unics Kazan

35-64

-29

H08/04

VTB United League

Zenit Petersburg

40-43

-3

H12/04

VTB United League

Al-Riyadi

29-43

-14

A10/05

WASL

Al Ittihad

35-39

-4

H12/05

WASL

Sagesse Beirut

49-62

-13

A14/05

WASL

Atyrau

49-32

+17

A18/10

National League

Atyrau

53-31

+22

A19/10

National League

83.1Avg total

39.1Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.9	46.1	80.0	-12.2	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	33.1	46.0	79.1	-12.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	46.1	80.7	-11.6	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	44.0	83.1	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)	32.7	47.1	79.8	-14.4	11%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	51.0	31.5	82.5	+19.5	100%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.1	21.0	43.1	+1.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	19.9	44.7	+4.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.1	41.4	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	24.0	44.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	24.6	46.0	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	22.5	24.5	47.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.0	16.5	41.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (25)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.8	48%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.4	22.2	38.7	-5.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	15.9	22.0	37.9	-6.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	22.4	39.4	-5.5	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	23.4	39.6	-7.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.0	40.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)	16.2	22.5	38.8	-6.2	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	19.0	18.5	37.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.8	18.7	38.4	+1.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.2	36.7	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.2	34.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	15.5	15.5	31.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (25)	20.0	18.9	39.0	+1.1	48%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	21.2	39.5	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.3	20.5	36.8	-4.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)	17.9	21.9	39.8	-4.0	29%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	23.0	12.5	35.5	+10.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	39.6	81.5	+2.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	38.7	83.7	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	40.6	79.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	43.2	81.3	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	42.8	80.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	38.0	40.0	78.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	45.5	35.0	80.5	+10.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (25)	41.9	40.0	81.9	+2.0	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	43.5	78.1	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.1	42.5	74.6	-10.4	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	44.3	81.2	-7.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.0	44.0	79.0	-9.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	40.6	79.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)	34.1	44.4	78.5	-10.2	14%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (2)	42.0	31.0	73.0	+11.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 72.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	16.9	47.9%	50.5%	33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	9.0	29.7%	30.4%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	16.1	11.5	71.4%	69.6%	11.5

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	21.0	57.4%	50.5%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	11.3	38.3%	30.4%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.2	76.4%	69.6%	16.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	17.7	51.5%	50.5%	35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	8.6	32.4%	30.4%	25.8
🏀 Free throws	13.2	9.3	70.9%	69.6%	9.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.8	19.8	55.4%	50.5%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	10.2	36.6%	30.4%	30.5
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.8	75.8%	69.6%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
31/03/23	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	88-71
30/03/23	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	84-51
29/12/22	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	114-56
28/12/22	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	95-45
30/10/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	90-83
29/10/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	102-81
28/04/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	59-104
26/04/22	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	101-60
25/04/22	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	95-69
20/01/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-105

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/25	A	Almaty	60-105
11/10/25	A	Almaty	58-95
19/05/25	H	Almaty	94-90 OT
16/05/25	A	Almaty	89-80
15/05/25	A	Almaty	70-100
11/05/25	H	Almaty	102-90
10/05/25	H	Almaty	93-98
23/04/25	A	Astana 2	65-84
20/04/25	H	Astana 2	76-97
19/04/25	H	Astana 2	70-93

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/10/25	A	Atyrau	99-64
18/10/25	A	Atyrau	87-61
14/05/25	A	Sagesse Beirut	90-113
12/05/25	H	Al Ittihad	76-79
10/05/25	A	Al-Riyadi	58-93
12/04/25	H	Zenit Petersburg	67-101
08/04/25	H	Unics Kazan	65-105
05/04/25	H	Parma Perm	56-87
02/04/25	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	82-102
30/03/25	A	MBA Moscow	61-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LL	0%
Home	-	-
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	59.0	-	59.0
Allowed / game	100.0	-	100.0
Point differential	-41.0	-	-41.0
Avg total	159.0	-	159.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Astana

National League 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WW	100%
Home	-	-
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	2	-	2
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	93.0	-	93.0
Allowed / game	62.5	-	62.5
Point differential	+30.5	-	+30.5
Avg total	155.5	-	155.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	2	2	0	100%	93.0	62.5	+30.5
2	Almaty	3	3	0	100%	93.3	63.0	+30.3
3	Atyrau	4	2	2	50%	73.8	85.0	-11.2
4	Kaspiy Aktau	3	0	3	0%	75.0	83.3	-8.3
5	Tobol Kostanay	2	0	2	0%	59.0	100.0	-41.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	16	15	16	9	56
Astana	26	14	26	22	88

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Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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