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Kastela vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 74-73
16-24 19-15 23-22 16-12
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game69.8
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Hermes
Croatia
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game72.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 5· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kastela v Hermes
08 Nov 2026
KAST74
HERM73
07 Dec 2024
KAST127
HERM64
28 Oct 2023
KAST80
HERM86
15 Jan 2023
KAST83
HERM77
24 Mar 2022
KAST84
HERM78
20 Nov 2021
KAST82
HERM92
11 Nov 2017
KAST73
HERM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
61avg 82
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
60avg 82
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
87-81
87
81
+6
86avg 82
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
58avg 82
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 82
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 82
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#4
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
L
65-66
65
66
-1
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
82-70
82
70
+12
no box
A31/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
11-12
15-14
14-22
20-17
16-25
13-18
16-15
31-21
19-20
22-18
15-22
19-17
22-24
8-26
19-24
15-29
18-16
7-21
21-31
23-39
29-18
13-31
17-13
12-23
16-16
18-19
21-14
17-22
18-12
19-16
14-21
17-14
21-16
11-19
16-17
19-18
25-18
19-23
19-11
149.1Avg total
70.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.569.8140.2+0.825%
Season at home (2)66.069.0135.0-3.00%
Season away (2)75.070.5145.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)70.878.3149.1-7.530%
Last 5 (5)72.876.0148.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.280.2151.3-9.017%
vs Weaker (21)86.065.4151.5+20.681%
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
no box
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
H23/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
A30/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
64-90
64
90
-26
no box
H06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
92-111
92
111
-19
no box
H16/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
A17/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
67-59
67
59
+8
no box
H25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
89-81 OT
89
81
+8
no box
H31/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
19-11
21-15
25-16
12-19
25-15
17-20
17-25
18-19
22-33
21-17
24-19
20-24
12-23
17-22
15-21
25-17
16-25
21-11
7-16
29-29
18-28
26-30
19-24
18-17
23-17
23-18
18-13
19-14
9-20
9-27
23-23
20-9
20-23
11-12
16-15
17-17
13-24
24-18
21-16
157.4Avg total
78.0Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.572.2146.8+2.275%
Season at home (3)79.368.3147.7+11.0100%
Season away (1)60.084.0144.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)78.079.4157.4-1.450%
Last 5 (5)78.080.0158.0-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)76.591.3167.8-14.810%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.979.7161.6+2.157%
vs Weaker (3)69.769.3139.0+0.367%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -6.0-6.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
KastelaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#3
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/10
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A17/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A31/10
Prva Liga
77.9Avg total
39.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.777.6+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.535.581.0+10.173%-
Last 30 away (15)38.335.974.3+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)39.138.877.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.439.278.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.084.7-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.539.576.0-3.033%-
vs Weaker (21)44.133.077.1+11.190%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dakovo
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H16/03
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/03
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A30/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H06/04
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A12/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H16/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H11/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#10
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A17/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#13
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H25/10
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H31/10
Prva Liga
78.4Avg total
38.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.543.380.9-5.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.841.280.0-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)36.145.881.9-9.714%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.378.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.676.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.247.384.5-10.015%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.936.375.1+2.657%-
vs Weaker (3)36.333.369.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.9 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
53.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.0
36.0%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws10.46.9
66.3%
71.6%6.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.515.2
51.5%
53.0%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.912.0
35.4%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws14.210.7
75.4%
71.6%10.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WLLLLLLWLW
Hermes
WWLWLWLLLW
#7
League position
#5
+1.7
Net rating
-6.7
93.6
Offensive rating
99.1
91.9
Defensive rating
105.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
21.5%
0.16
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.0%
3-point %
35.4%
74.5%
Assist %
73.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 99.1Defence91.9 · 105.8Shooting55.2% · 52.4%3-point %36.0% · 35.4%Ball care18.5% · 21.5%Off. rebounds- · 24.7%Free throws0.16 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Kastela   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kastela wins
4
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
23/03/25Hermes v Kastela71-79
07/12/24Kastela v Hermes127-64
04/02/24Hermes v Kastela71-98
28/10/23Kastela v Hermes80-86
15/01/23Kastela v Hermes83-77
16/10/22Hermes v Kastela60-89
18/04/22Hermes v Kastela86-69
24/03/22Kastela v Hermes84-78
19/02/22Hermes v Kastela88-71
20/11/21Kastela v Hermes82-92
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ASonik Puntamika82-70
25/10/26HOmis65-66
17/10/26ANovi Zagreb68-71
11/10/26HGKK Sibenka67-72
20/05/26HDinamo Zagreb82-101
16/05/26ADinamo Zagreb61-97
09/05/26ASkrljevo68-91
06/05/26HSkrljevo87-81
02/05/26ASkrljevo65-75
26/04/26AMladost63-59
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDakovo89-81 OT
25/10/26HGorica67-59
17/10/26ASonik Puntamika60-84
11/10/26HOmis82-65
16/04/25HSonik Puntamika92-111
12/04/25ACrikvenica79-76 OT
06/04/25HMladost64-90
30/03/25AKK Zagreb85-88
23/03/25HKastela71-79
16/03/25HDakovo91-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game70.566.075.0
Allowed / game69.869.070.5
Point differential+0.8-3.0+4.5
Avg total140.2135.0145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game74.579.360.0
Allowed / game72.268.384.0
Point differential+2.2+11.0-24.0
Avg total146.8147.7144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 GKK Sibenka550100%81.071.6+9.4
2 KK Zagreb54180%79.671.4+8.2
3 Novi Zagreb54180%79.074.6+4.4
4 Hermes43175%74.572.2+2.2
5 Dakovo53260%90.084.6+5.4
6 Jazine53260%85.680.6+5.0
7 Crikvenica53260%71.672.2-0.6
8 Radnik Krizevci52340%79.876.2+3.6
9 Sonik Puntamika52340%81.085.2-4.2
10 Kastela41325%70.569.8+0.8
11 Marsonia41325%73.278.2-5.0
12 Gorica51420%80.082.8-2.8
13 Omis51420%71.478.2-6.8
14 Mladost4040%65.090.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela1619231674
Hermes2415221273
← all games of the day
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