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Kastela vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 127-64
38-19 29-12 29-11 31-22
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game70.2
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game94.2
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 9· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kastela v Hermes
07 Dec 2024
KAST127
HERM64
28 Oct 2023
KAST80
HERM86
15 Jan 2023
KAST83
HERM77
24 Mar 2022
KAST84
HERM78
20 Nov 2021
KAST82
HERM92
11 Nov 2017
KAST73
HERM79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
L
65-81
65
81
-16
56avg 76
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
65-72
65
72
-7
62avg 76
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
W
68-64
68
64
+4
63avg 76
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 76
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
75-65
75
65
+10
76avg 76
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
88-64
88
64
+24
88avg 76
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
83-63
83
63
+20
91avg 76
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
99-80
99
80
+19
102avg 76
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
90avg 76
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
102-72
102
72
+30
104avg 76
H01/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
17-22
9-29
15-13
9-16
13-17
21-20
22-19
13-11
12-14
24-14
19-25
5-17
26-23
26-18
19-24
18-17
18-20
20-15
19-13
18-11
21-9
24-23
25-21
18-8
17-18
20-17
28-20
28-30
20-9
31-21
20-20
26-21
20-17
20-18
22-17
20-20
23-21
26-18
33-13
152.5Avg total
80.9Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.070.2152.2+11.875%
Season at home (4)82.066.0148.0+16.0100%
Season away (4)82.074.5156.5+7.550%
Last 10 (10)80.971.6152.5+9.370%
Last 5 (5)92.070.4162.4+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.074.0137.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)74.172.3146.4+1.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.472.5156.8+11.994%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
W
98-85
98
85
+13
100avg 81
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
80avg 81
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 81
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 81
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
90avg 81
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
75avg 81
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
70-86
70
86
-16
66avg 81
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
80-129
80
129
-49
70avg 81
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
66avg 81
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 81
A30/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
30-22
29-14
20-21
23-17
25-18
21-9
21-25
27-21
24-19
18-17
15-19
26-27
10-25
22-14
21-17
33-28
19-11
17-22
26-30
18-26
25-28
24-20
13-21
25-21
14-19
12-25
19-21
8-30
16-34
23-29
33-36
22-16
16-27
15-28
18-22
20-22
12-14
33-35
15-30
173.5Avg total
82.7Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.994.2174.1-14.425%
Season at home (4)80.086.5166.5-6.550%
Season away (4)79.8102.0181.8-22.20%
Last 10 (10)82.790.8173.5-8.140%
Last 5 (5)76.2100.8177.0-24.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)81.994.8176.6-12.921%
vs Similar (5)90.092.6182.6-2.640%
vs Weaker (11)93.586.1179.5+7.455%
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -4.1-4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -4.1-4.1
KastelaHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A06/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#11
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H20/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H02/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A10/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H16/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A23/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H27/11
Croatian Cup
Samobor
#1
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H01/12
Prva Liga
70.4Avg total
36.6Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.635.274.8+4.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.874.1+2.553%-
Last 30 away (15)40.934.675.5+6.360%-
Last 10 (10)36.633.870.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.232.875.0+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.339.771.0-8.30%-
vs Similar (9)36.734.871.4+1.944%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.234.576.7+7.871%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jazine
#7
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A26/03
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A06/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/11
Prva Liga
86.5Avg total
41.2Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.543.889.3+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.242.990.1+4.362%-
Last 30 away (14)43.544.988.4-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)41.245.386.5-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.482.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)42.248.190.4-5.921%-
vs Similar (5)44.842.287.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker (11)49.939.088.9+10.991%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.1
53.1%
52.0%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.7
36.1%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.913.1
77.5%
70.4%13.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.0
51.1%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.0
38.9%
33.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.610.8
69.2%
70.4%10.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWWWWWLWLL
Hermes
LLLLLWLWWW
#3
League position
#14
+12.2
Net rating
-11.2
106.5
Offensive rating
104.4
94.3
Defensive rating
115.7
53.5%
Effective FG%
54.2%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.1%
3-point %
38.9%
75.7%
Assist %
68.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 104.4Defence94.3 · 115.7Shooting53.5% · 54.2%3-point %36.1% · 38.9%Ball care19.5% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.2% · 25.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Kastela   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kastela wins
5
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
04/02/24Hermes v Kastela71-98
28/10/23Kastela v Hermes80-86
15/01/23Kastela v Hermes83-77
16/10/22Hermes v Kastela60-89
18/04/22Hermes v Kastela86-69
24/03/22Kastela v Hermes84-78
19/02/22Hermes v Kastela88-71
20/11/21Kastela v Hermes82-92
17/03/18Hermes v Kastela73-83
11/11/17Kastela v Hermes73-79
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24HSamobor102-72
27/11/24HOsijek88-73
23/11/24ADakovo99-80
16/11/24HOmis83-63
10/11/24AMarsonia88-64
02/11/24HSonik Puntamika75-65
27/10/24AJazine76-82
20/10/24HCrikvenica68-64
12/10/24ASkrljevo65-72
06/04/24AKK Zagreb65-81
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ADakovo80-101
23/11/24HMarsonia71-93
17/11/24AJazine80-129
10/11/24HSkrljevo70-86
02/11/24AGorica80-95
27/10/24HBosco95-91
22/10/24ASamobor79-83
12/10/24HOmis84-76
06/04/24ACrikvenica90-69
26/03/24AJazine98-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game82.082.082.0
Allowed / game70.266.074.5
Point differential+11.8+16.0+7.5
Avg total152.2148.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game79.980.079.8
Allowed / game94.286.5102.0
Point differential-14.4-6.5-22.2
Avg total174.1166.5181.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor98189%87.680.0+7.6
2 Skrljevo86275%88.275.8+12.5
3 Kastela86275%82.070.2+11.8
4 Jazine86275%96.586.0+10.5
5 Mladost86275%83.077.4+5.6
6 Marsonia85362%83.679.2+4.4
7 Gorica85362%81.485.5-4.1
8 Sonik Puntamika83538%68.866.5+2.2
9 Omis83538%72.973.1-0.2
10 KK Zagreb83538%74.476.1-1.8
11 Dakovo82625%79.990.0-10.1
12 Hermes82625%79.994.2-14.4
13 Crikvenica81712%68.981.0-12.1
14 Bosco91811%74.886.1-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela38292931127
Hermes1912112264
← all games of the day
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