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Novi Zagreb vs Kastela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 71-68
22-17 12-18 16-19 21-14
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game72.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 2· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Novi Zagreb v Kastela
17 Oct 2026
NOVI71
KAST68
12 Apr 2026
NOVI66
KAST91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Novi Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kastela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Novi ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
L
57-74
57
74
-17
41avg 70
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
103-89
103
89
+14
101avg 70
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 70
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
81-77
81
77
+4
79avg 70
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
85-82
85
82
+3
82avg 70
H21/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
70-92
70
92
-22
61avg 70
A28/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
72-85
72
85
-13
70avg 70
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
57avg 70
H12/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
84-98
84
98
-14
81avg 70
A18/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A10/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
11-21
24-18
10-17
26-28
25-21
24-24
28-16
19-17
13-21
27-18
19-17
17-13
19-25
22-16
23-23
19-13
20-20
22-20
24-29
16-26
18-22
18-29
18-15
23-17
16-25
13-26
20-17
14-33
18-15
18-19
16-24
23-25
27-27
20-35
14-11
21-20
24-22
22-26
16-9
161.7Avg total
77.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.983.8161.7-5.950%
Last 5 (5)75.088.6163.6-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.685.4155.0-15.820%
vs Similar ◀ (11)73.575.5149.0-1.945%
vs Weaker (6)93.067.2160.2+25.883%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
91-66
91
66
+25
100avg 82
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
119-82
119
82
+37
130avg 82
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
64-58
64
58
+6
65avg 82
H23/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
63-59
63
59
+4
61avg 82
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
65-75
65
75
-10
60avg 82
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
87-81
87
81
+6
86avg 82
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
58avg 82
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
61-97
61
97
-36
42avg 82
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 82
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
H11/10
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-14
15-18
19-18
24-16
37-21
26-14
39-21
17-26
20-16
14-16
13-17
17-9
23-11
11-12
15-14
14-22
20-17
16-25
13-18
16-15
31-21
19-20
22-18
15-22
19-17
22-24
8-26
19-24
15-29
18-16
7-21
21-31
23-39
29-18
13-31
17-13
12-23
16-16
18-19
21-14
154.9Avg total
76.7Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)67.072.0139.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.778.2154.9-1.550%
Last 5 (5)73.088.4161.4-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.090.0160.0-20.00%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.882.0153.8-10.220%
vs Weaker (22)88.165.2153.3+23.086%
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
Novi ZagrebKastela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Novi ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
L
23-39
23
39
-16
H14/02
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A21/02
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H07/03
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/03
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H21/03
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A28/03
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/04
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H12/04
Prva Liga
Gorica
#5
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A18/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/10
Prva Liga
81.0Avg total
38.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)37.439.777.1-2.241%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.436.174.5+2.354%-
Last 30 away (14)36.643.079.6-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.981.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.486.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.243.077.2-8.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)36.139.775.8-3.636%-
vs Weaker (6)45.334.079.3+11.383%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A12/04
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#10
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H18/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H23/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A26/04
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A02/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H06/05
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/05
Prva Liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A16/05
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H20/05
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#1
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H11/10
Prva Liga
80.6Avg total
41.9Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.835.578.2+7.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.735.781.5+10.073%-
Last 30 away (15)39.835.275.0+4.667%-
Last 10 (10)41.938.780.6+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.844.685.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.747.084.7-9.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.840.677.4-3.820%-
vs Weaker (22)44.832.777.5+12.191%-
This opponent (Novi Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Novi Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Novi Zagreb: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.2
51.0%
53.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.9
36.2%
32.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.811.6
69.0%
71.6%11.6
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.9 pts a game · 9% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
53.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.312.0
36.0%
32.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws10.46.9
66.3%
71.6%6.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Novi Zagreb
WLLLLWWWWL
Kastela
LLLLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#7
-8.3
Net rating
+1.7
88.2
Offensive rating
93.6
96.4
Defensive rating
91.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
55.2%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.16
36.2%
3-point %
36.0%
65.7%
Assist %
74.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 93.6Defence96.4 · 91.9Shooting52.3% · 55.2%3-point %36.2% · 36.0%Ball care19.2% · 18.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.16Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Novi Zagreb   ■ Kastela
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Novi Zagreb wins
2
Kastela wins
DateGameScore
12/04/26Novi Zagreb v Kastela66-91
10/01/26Kastela v Novi Zagreb99-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26ADakovo83-77
18/04/26AGorica84-98
12/04/26HKastela66-91
01/04/26HSkrljevo72-85
28/03/26AMladost70-92
21/03/26HOmis85-82
14/03/26AJazine81-77
07/03/26HMarsonia78-73
21/02/26ADakovo103-89
14/02/26HKK Zagreb57-74
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HGKK Sibenka67-72
20/05/26HDinamo Zagreb82-101
16/05/26ADinamo Zagreb61-97
09/05/26ASkrljevo68-91
06/05/26HSkrljevo87-81
02/05/26ASkrljevo65-75
26/04/26AMladost63-59
23/04/26HMladost64-58
18/04/26HDakovo119-82
12/04/26ANovi Zagreb91-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Novi Zagreb
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game77.0-77.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total160.0-160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Kastela
Prva Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game67.067.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total139.0139.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crikvenica110100%75.053.0+22.0
2 Hermes110100%82.065.0+17.0
3 Sonik Puntamika110100%84.074.0+10.0
4 Jazine110100%70.064.0+6.0
5 Novi Zagreb110100%83.077.0+6.0
6 GKK Sibenka110100%72.067.0+5.0
7 KK Zagreb110100%70.065.0+5.0
8 Kastela1010%67.072.0-5.0
9 Marsonia1010%65.070.0-5.0
10 Dakovo1010%77.083.0-6.0
11 Radnik Krizevci1010%64.070.0-6.0
12 Gorica1010%74.084.0-10.0
13 Omis1010%65.082.0-17.0
14 Mladost1010%53.075.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Novi Zagreb2212162171
Kastela1718191468
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