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Kataja vs KTP Kotka Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#7
Record5-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.2/10
Below normal
6.0/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record8-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game85.8
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket
17 Feb 2027
KAT v KTP
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
KAT92
KTP 55
06 Dec 2025
KAT83
KTP 94
26 Oct 2024
KAT107
KTP 94
09 Dec 2023
KAT76
KTP 77
12 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 65
08 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 70
26 Mar 2023
KAT91
KTP 81
18 Feb 2023
KAT102
KTP 114
03 Dec 2022
KAT97
KTP 87
18 Dec 2021
KAT72
KTP 82
27 Jan 2021
KAT109
KTP 83
04 Apr 2020
KAT v KTP
upcoming
30 Dec 2019
KAT91
KTP 86
25 Apr 2019
KAT92
KTP 100
19 Apr 2019
KAT109
KTP 72
09 Feb 2019
KAT88
KTP 69
04 Nov 2018
KAT87
KTP 84
12 Jan 2018
KAT96
KTP 70
04 Oct 2017
KAT109
KTP 70
26 Mar 2017
KAT97
KTP 66
27 Nov 2016
KAT93
KTP 74
18 Jan 2016
KAT104
KTP 72
11 Oct 2015
KAT89
KTP 80
06 Apr 2015
KAT82
KTP 68
29 Mar 2015
KAT89
KTP 100
15 Feb 2014
KAT91
KTP 77
21 Oct 2013
KAT88
KTP 74
29 Apr 2013
KAT77
KTP 67
25 Apr 2013
KAT67
KTP 81
05 Apr 2013
KAT81
KTP 74
28 Dec 2012
KAT84
KTP 71
18 Jan 2012
KAT72
KTP 70
14 Oct 2011
KAT95
KTP 67
19 Apr 2011
KAT81
KTP 68
14 Apr 2011
KAT77
KTP 69
16 Mar 2011
KAT91
KTP 102
11 Dec 2010
KAT89
KTP 70
24 Feb 2010
KAT96
KTP 71
20 Oct 2009
KAT0
KTP 40
17 Mar 2009
KAT91
KTP 67
03 Dec 2008
KAT84
KTP 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
KTP Kotka Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 75
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 75
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 75
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 75
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 75
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 75
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 75
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
92-55
92
55
+37
no box
H14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
26-19
21-11
18-12
27-13
166.5Avg total
84.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.982.5169.4+4.450%
Season at home (6)93.381.3174.7+12.067%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)84.781.8166.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.876.7160.5+7.160%
vs Weaker (12)85.381.0166.3+4.358%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 79
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 79
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 79
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 79
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 79
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 79
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
55-92
55
92
-37
no box
A14/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
20-22
25-30
33-23
21-29
26-16
26-29
24-19
24-17
28-13
25-17
24-28
29-16
19-26
11-21
12-18
13-27
182.5Avg total
94.9Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.285.8178.0+6.473%
Season at home (5)95.882.2178.0+13.680%
Season away (6)89.288.8178.0+0.367%
Last 10 (10)94.987.6182.5+7.370%
Last 5 (5)93.094.0187.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.984.4167.4-1.550%
vs Weaker (14)94.180.6174.8+13.593%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
KatajaKTP Kotka Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#2
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H14/11
Korisliiga
85.7Avg total
43.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.241.484.6+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.940.887.6+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.042.181.1-3.129%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.785.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.885.8+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.338.584.8+7.890%-
vs Weaker (12)43.743.787.3+0.042%-
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Kataja
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A14/11
Korisliiga
90.8Avg total
46.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.742.487.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.641.485.0+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)45.743.288.9+2.562%-
Last 10 (10)46.544.390.8+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.648.694.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.442.584.9-0.143%-
vs Weaker (14)48.042.490.4+5.679%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
75.8%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWWWLLLLLW
KTP Kotka Basket
LWWLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
-2.1
Net rating
+7.6
95.2
Offensive rating
101.8
97.3
Defensive rating
94.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
38.7%
55.0%
Assist %
53.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 101.8Defence97.3 · 94.2Shooting50.5% · 54.5%3-point %34.4% · 38.7%Ball care12.9% · 16.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Kataja   ■ KTP Kotka Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kataja wins
4
KTP Kotka Basket wins
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKTP Kotka Basket92-55
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AKataja55-92
11/11/26ABisons Loimaa106-74
08/11/26HLahti Basketball100-81
04/11/26AKipina99-104
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game86.993.377.2
Allowed / game82.581.384.2
Point differential+4.4+12.0-7.0
Avg total169.4174.7161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL73%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game92.295.889.2
Allowed / game85.882.288.8
Point differential+6.4+13.6+0.3
Avg total178.0178.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket118373%92.285.8+6.4
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
5 Pyrinto Tampere116555%85.985.8+0.1
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja105550%86.982.5+4.4
8 Karhu Basket115645%85.783.5+2.2
9 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki114736%87.691.2-3.5
10 Lahti Basketball114736%82.488.7-6.4
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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