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Kataja vs KTP Kotka Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 86-87
Projected total 172.9
Final 92-55
26-19 21-11 18-12 27-13
Position#7
Record4-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.6
Kataja 🏆
Finland
Vs
44%
56%
■ KAT 44%■ KTP 56%
Pythia win probability
KTP Kotka Basket
Finland
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game85.2
FinlandKorisliiga· Motonet Areena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket
17 Feb 2027
KAT v KTP
upcoming
14 Nov 2026
KAT92
KTP 55
06 Dec 2025
KAT83
KTP 94
26 Oct 2024
KAT107
KTP 94
09 Dec 2023
KAT76
KTP 77
12 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 65
08 Apr 2023
KAT93
KTP 70
26 Mar 2023
KAT91
KTP 81
18 Feb 2023
KAT102
KTP 114
03 Dec 2022
KAT97
KTP 87
18 Dec 2021
KAT72
KTP 82
27 Jan 2021
KAT109
KTP 83
04 Apr 2020
KAT v KTP
upcoming
30 Dec 2019
KAT91
KTP 86
25 Apr 2019
KAT92
KTP 100
19 Apr 2019
KAT109
KTP 72
09 Feb 2019
KAT88
KTP 69
04 Nov 2018
KAT87
KTP 84
12 Jan 2018
KAT96
KTP 70
04 Oct 2017
KAT109
KTP 70
26 Mar 2017
KAT97
KTP 66
27 Nov 2016
KAT93
KTP 74
18 Jan 2016
KAT104
KTP 72
11 Oct 2015
KAT89
KTP 80
06 Apr 2015
KAT82
KTP 68
29 Mar 2015
KAT89
KTP 100
15 Feb 2014
KAT91
KTP 77
21 Oct 2013
KAT88
KTP 74
29 Apr 2013
KAT77
KTP 67
25 Apr 2013
KAT67
KTP 81
05 Apr 2013
KAT81
KTP 74
28 Dec 2012
KAT84
KTP 71
18 Jan 2012
KAT72
KTP 70
14 Oct 2011
KAT95
KTP 67
19 Apr 2011
KAT81
KTP 68
14 Apr 2011
KAT77
KTP 69
16 Mar 2011
KAT91
KTP 102
11 Dec 2010
KAT89
KTP 70
24 Feb 2010
KAT96
KTP 71
20 Oct 2009
KAT0
KTP 40
17 Mar 2009
KAT91
KTP 67
03 Dec 2008
KAT84
KTP 79
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Kataja will host KTP Kotka Basket on 14 November 2026 in the Korisliiga, with the model favouring the visitors who sit second in the league; the projected score is 86-87 and the overall shape is a tight contest. Kataja's season record of 4-5 shows they have scored 86.3 points per game while allowing 85.6, and their home form of 3-2 with 93.6 points per game indicates a solid offensive output but a slightly higher allowance of 86.6; their last five games include a win over UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki 87-78 and losses to Pyrinto Tampere 79-84 and Karhu Basket 101-80. KTP Kotka Basket, meanwhile, are 8-2 overall, averaging 95.9 points and conceding 85.2, and are 4-1 on the road with 96.0 points per game and 88.2 allowed; their recent five games feature a win over Lahti Basketball 100-81 and two defeats to Kipina 99-104 and Honka 105-119. The teams have split their ten meetings, with the last encounter on 6 December 2025 ending 94-83 in favour of KTP Kotka Basket. Pythia gives KTP a 56% win probability versus Kataja's 44%, projects a total of 172.9 points, a 3.0 point line for Kataja with a 53% chance of covering, and an over probability of 43% on the 175.5 line, with a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Kataja can maintain their home scoring edge against a KTP side that has been consistently high-scoring on the road.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winWon
44.1%fair 2.27
Best odds2.32
Implied41.1%
Edge+3.0pp
KTP Kotka Basket winLost
55.9%fair 1.79
Best odds1.64
Implied58.9%
Edge-3.0pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
102-83
102
83
+19
94avg 77
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
W
86-71
86
71
+15
79avg 77
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
77avg 77
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
99-108
99
108
-9
91avg 77
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 77
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
62-80
62
80
-18
44avg 77
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 77
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
101-80
101
80
+21
100avg 77
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H11/11
Suomen Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
31-24
23-16
23-17
20-18
16-23
29-14
21-16
23-27
22-21
23-19
17-24
29-22
20-30
20-28
30-28
15-23
23-27
24-19
14-26
12-20
15-22
23-21
12-17
30-20
19-23
16-19
14-22
28-16
23-24
30-20
20-20
25-15
21-23
16-22
25-18
21-21
21-22
21-19
17-14
170.3Avg total
85.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.385.6171.9+0.844%
Season at home (5)93.686.6180.2+7.060%
Season away (4)77.284.2161.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)85.784.6170.3+1.150%
Last 5 (5)81.879.6161.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.579.8153.2-6.250%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.979.1162.0+3.856%
vs Weaker (13)86.380.0166.3+6.362%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketFinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
78avg 79
A03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
53avg 79
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
102-81
102
81
+21
89avg 79
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
100-89
100
89
+11
94avg 79
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
95-89
95
89
+6
92avg 79
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 79
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
105-119
105
119
-14
97avg 79
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
99-104
99
104
-5
no box
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
100-81
100
81
+19
no box
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
106-74
106
74
+32
no box
A11/11
Suomen Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
19-20
18-19
20-24
24-15
22-19
20-16
22-22
29-20
19-18
28-20
26-23
19-26
30-21
26-20
25-22
20-23
31-23
22-22
22-21
21-12
22-23
27-20
29-20
25-39
23-30
24-26
33-24
20-22
25-30
33-23
21-29
26-16
26-29
24-19
24-17
28-13
25-17
24-28
29-16
184.0Avg total
97.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)95.985.2181.1+10.780%
Season at home (5)95.882.2178.0+13.680%
Season away (5)96.088.2184.2+7.880%
Last 10 (10)97.886.2184.0+11.680%
Last 5 (5)101.890.6192.4+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.082.5161.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.183.8168.9+1.254%
vs Weaker (15)93.381.1174.4+12.187%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 170Actual: Under 170
Over 170
56.2%
Under 170
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 175 · main lineActual: Under 175
Over 175
43.9%
@ 1.92-5.8pp
Under 175
56.1%
@ 2.00+5.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.83
SBO
1.78
1xBet
1.72
Bet365
1.71
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.86
1xBet
1.77
Over/Under 180Actual: Under 180
Over 180
32.3%
@ 2.20-9.8pp
Under 180
67.7%
@ 1.60+9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Under
Bet365
1.60
Marathon Be
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

Kataja total 82.5Actual: Kataja over 82.5
Over 82.5
61.4%
@ 1.45-1.9pp
Under 82.5
38.6%
@ 2.65+1.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43
1xBet
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.31
Kataja total 86.5 · main lineActual: Kataja over 86.5
Over 86.5
46.2%
@ 1.88-3.0pp
Under 86.5
53.8%
@ 1.82+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.88
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.75
Under
Betano
1.82
Marathon Be
1.80
1xBet
1.69
Kataja total 90.5Actual: Kataja over 90.5
Over 90.5
31.6%
@ 2.55-4.8pp
Under 90.5
68.4%
@ 1.52+4.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.41
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.38
KTP Kotka Basket total 85.5Actual: KTP Kotka Basket under 85.5
Over 85.5
56.6%
@ 1.45-5.9pp
Under 85.5
43.4%
@ 2.52+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Under
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.27
KTP Kotka Basket total 89.5 · main lineActual: KTP Kotka Basket under 89.5
Over 89.5
41.2%
@ 1.87-8.3pp
Under 89.5
58.8%
@ 1.83+8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Under
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.81
1xBet
1.67
KTP Kotka Basket total 93.5Actual: KTP Kotka Basket under 93.5
Over 93.5
27.2%
@ 2.52-8.8pp
Under 93.5
72.8%
@ 1.44+8.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
1xBet
2.46
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Kataja +0.5Actual: Kataja +0.5
KAT +0.5
44.1%
KTP -0.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
KAT
No market prices yet.
KTP
No market prices yet.
Spread Kataja +3.5 · main lineActual: Kataja +3.5
KAT +3.5
54.7%
@ 1.89+4.4pp
KTP -3.5
45.3%
@ 1.95-4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
KAT
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.82
Betfair
1.80
SBO
1.77
KTP
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.92
Betfair
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
SBO
1.89
Spread Kataja +6.5Actual: Kataja +6.5
KAT +6.5
65.8%
@ 1.55+3.8pp
KTP -6.5
34.2%
@ 2.50-3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
KAT
Betano
1.55
Marathon Be
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.43
KTP
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.34
Betano
2.25

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
KatajaKTP Kotka Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsinki Seagulls
#4
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H29/09
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#12
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A07/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H10/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H31/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H07/11
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
Suomen Cup
88.6Avg total
43.9Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.5
Last 30 (30)43.241.684.8+1.753%33%
Last 30 at home (15)46.941.588.3+5.473%40%
Last 30 away (15)39.641.781.3-2.133%27%
Last 10 (10)43.944.788.6-0.840%50%
Last 5 (5)43.041.284.2+1.860%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.641.580.1-2.925%12%
vs Similar ◀ (9)46.239.485.7+6.889%44%
vs Weaker (13)44.043.187.1+0.946%38%
This opponent (KTP Kotka Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KTP Kotka BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Karhu Basket
#8
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A03/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H09/10
Korisliiga
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A14/10
Korisliiga
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A17/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A21/10
Korisliiga
Kouvot Kouvola
#11
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H23/10
Korisliiga
Honka
#3
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H30/10
Korisliiga
Kipina
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A04/11
Korisliiga
Lahti Basketball
#10
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H08/11
Korisliiga
Bisons Loimaa
#8
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A11/11
Suomen Cup
91.2Avg total
48.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 88.5
Last 30 (30)45.342.287.5+3.263%33%
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.485.3+2.560%27%
Last 30 away (15)46.742.989.7+3.867%40%
Last 10 (10)48.143.191.2+5.080%50%
Last 5 (5)48.246.294.4+2.060%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.041.579.5-3.550%0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.342.285.5+1.246%23%
vs Weaker (15)48.142.390.3+5.880%47%
This opponent (Kataja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Kataja win
KAT win
no forecast
@ 2.29
KTP win
no forecast
@ 1.71
1st half Spread Kataja +1.5 · main lineActual: Kataja +1.5
KAT +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.94
KTP -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 88.5 · main lineActual: Under 88.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Kataja 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Kataja over 43.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.98
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
KTP Kotka Basket 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: KTP Kotka Basket under 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.98
1st half: KAT + total 88.5
KAT & over
no forecast
@ 4.00
KAT & under
no forecast
@ 4.10
1st half: Draw + total 88.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 29.00
1st half: KTP + total 88.5
KTP & over
no forecast
@ 3.40
KTP & under
no forecast
@ 3.45
1st half Over/Under 87.25Actual: Under 87.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.79
1st half Spread Kataja +0.5Actual: Kataja +0.5
KAT +0.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
KTP -0.5
no forecast
@ 1.74
1st half Spread Kataja +2.5Actual: Kataja +2.5
KAT +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.79
KTP -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
1st half Over/Under 90.5Actual: Under 90.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.20
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Over/Under 86Actual: Under 86
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Spread Kataja +3.5Actual: Kataja +3.5
KAT +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
KTP -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
1st half Over/Under 84.5Actual: Under 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.50
Under
no forecast
@ 2.50
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Kataja (regulation)
KAT
no forecast
@ 2.22
Draw
no forecast
@ 17.00
KTP
no forecast
@ 1.76

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
KAT win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
KTP win + total 175.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KAT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: KTP leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (KAT:KTP ): KAT wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
KTP Kotka Basket under 96.581.4%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+10.0ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket under 98.586.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+9.9ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket under 94.575.9%1.35
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.31		---+9.2ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket under 93.572.8%1.40
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.36		---+8.8ppWon
Under 186.579.6%1.31
Bet365
1.31		----+8.6ppWon
Under 181.570.4%1.50
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.47		---+8.4ppWon
Kataja under 94.580.4%1.28
Bet365
1.28		----+8.0ppWon
Kataja +10.578.0%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+8.0ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket under 95.578.7%1.24
1xBet
1.24		----+8.0ppWon
Under 191.586.7%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+7.8ppWon
Kataja +9.575.3%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+7.8ppWon
Under 182.572.4%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+7.7ppWon
Kataja under 97.587.2%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+7.7ppWon
Kataja under 98.589.0%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+7.6ppWon
Kataja under 96.585.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		----+7.3ppWon
Kataja +12.582.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+6.6ppWon
Kataja +22.595.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+6.5ppWon
Kataja under 100.592.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+6.5ppWon
Kataja under 92.574.8%1.33
Bet365
1.38
1xBet
1.28		---+6.5ppWon
Kataja under 102.594.4%1.06
Bet365
1.06		----+6.4ppWon
Under 196.591.7%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+6.2ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket +22.597.6%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+6.1ppLost
Under 201.595.0%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+6.0ppWon
Kataja +17.591.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+5.7ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket +17.594.6%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+5.6ppLost
Kataja +8.572.3%1.35
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.29		---+5.5ppWon
Kataja under 91.571.7%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+5.0ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket +12.588.8%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+4.4ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket over 68.596.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+4.3ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket over 69.595.7%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.2ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket over 70.594.8%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+4.0ppLost
Overtime: no94.6%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+3.1ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket +7.578.4%1.23
Bet365
1.23		----+3.0ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket over 72.592.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+3.0ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket over 74.589.2%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+1.7ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket +5.572.6%1.28
Betano
1.28		----+0.8ppLost
Kataja over 74.585.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+0.7ppWon
Over 151.590.1%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+0.4ppLost
Kataja over 76.580.9%1.15
Bet365
1.15		----+0.4ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket over 76.585.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+0.1ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket over 78.580.2%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----0.4ppLost
Kataja over 77.578.1%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----0.7ppWon
Kataja over 78.575.1%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.0ppWon
KTP Kotka Basket over 79.577.3%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----1.5ppLost
KTP Kotka Basket over 80.574.3%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.9ppLost
Over 156.583.5%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----2.6ppLost
Over 161.574.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----4.7ppLost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.3
49.6%
54.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.6
34.4%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.714.7
78.6%
75.8%14.7
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KTP Kotka Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KTP Kotka Basket: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.7 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
54.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.6
38.7%
32.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws19.817.1
86.4%
75.8%17.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WWWLLLLLWW
KTP Kotka Basket
WWLLWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
-2.1
Net rating
+7.6
95.2
Offensive rating
101.8
97.3
Defensive rating
94.2
50.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
12.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.4%
3-point %
38.7%
55.0%
Assist %
53.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 101.8Defence97.3 · 94.2Shooting50.5% · 54.5%3-point %34.4% · 38.7%Ball care12.9% · 16.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Kataja   ■ KTP Kotka Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kataja wins
5
KTP Kotka Basket wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket83-94
03/10/25KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja74-77
28/12/24KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja94-72
26/10/24Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket107-94
09/12/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket76-77
08/10/23KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja67-68
12/04/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket93-65
10/04/23KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja94-66
08/04/23Kataja v KTP Kotka Basket93-70
02/04/23KTP Kotka Basket v Kataja77-70
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HKouvot Kouvola80-76
07/11/26HUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki87-78
31/10/26HKarhu Basket101-80
24/10/26HPyrinto Tampere79-84
21/10/26APyrinto Tampere62-80
16/10/26AKouvot Kouvola76-95
10/10/26HHonka99-108
07/10/26ALahti Basketball85-91
03/10/26ABisons Loimaa86-71
29/09/26HHelsinki Seagulls102-83
KTP Kotka Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABisons Loimaa106-74
08/11/26HLahti Basketball100-81
04/11/26AKipina99-104
30/10/26HHonka105-119
23/10/26HKouvot Kouvola99-75
21/10/26AKouvot Kouvola95-89
17/10/26AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki100-89
14/10/26ASalon Vilpas102-81
09/10/26HPyrinto Tampere88-72
03/10/26AKarhu Basket84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game86.393.677.2
Allowed / game85.686.684.2
Point differential+0.8+7.0-7.0
Avg total171.9180.2161.5
Over 17544%60%25%
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
KTP Kotka Basket
Korisliiga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%80%80%
Points / game95.995.896.0
Allowed / game85.282.288.2
Point differential+10.7+13.6+7.8
Avg total181.1178.0184.2
Over 17560%40%80%
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kipina119282%95.689.5+6.2
2 KTP Kotka Basket108280%95.985.2+10.7
3 Honka117464%98.7100.4-1.6
4 Pyrinto Tampere106460%87.386.7+0.6
5 Helsinki Seagulls116555%83.483.1+0.3
6 Salon Vilpas105550%87.281.8+5.4
7 Kataja94544%86.385.6+0.8
8 Karhu Basket104640%86.684.7+1.9
9 Lahti Basketball104640%81.887.9-6.1
10 UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki103730%86.791.5-4.8
11 Kouvot Kouvola113827%86.991.3-4.4
12 Bisons Loimaa113827%78.886.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2621182792
KTP Kotka Basket1911121355
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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