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Kataja vs Legia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-89
22-25 27-16 20-29 16-19
Position#39
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Legia 🏆
Position#6
Record3-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game72.7
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 4· Motonet Areena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kataja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Legia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KatajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKataja
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#23
W
96-85
96
85
+11
86avg 66
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
W
68-67
68
67
+1
52avg 66
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 66
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 66
A14/10
Korisliiga
Legia
#6
L
62-85
62
85
-23
52avg 66
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Nokia
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
79avg 66
H21/10
Korisliiga
CSM Oradea
#17
L
73-87
73
87
-14
63avg 66
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 66
A28/10
Korisliiga
Levice
#32
L
55-68
55
68
-13
40avg 66
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
89-74
89
74
+15
83avg 66
A05/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
24-27
22-18
21-23
14-14
22-22
16-16
16-15
17-13
23-17
12-11
25-30
15-26
20-18
27-20
18-24
15-22
14-23
10-17
23-23
20-13
32-25
18-28
11-19
23-21
20-24
18-25
12-17
16-26
12-20
20-16
27-18
15-18
19-18
11-21
10-11
19-10
23-17
29-27
18-20
154.6Avg total
75.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)71.480.6152.0-9.220%
Season at home (2)72.082.5154.5-10.50%
Season away (3)71.079.3150.3-8.333%
Last 10 (10)75.679.0154.6-3.440%
Last 5 (5)74.678.8153.4-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.787.8161.5-14.20%
vs Similar (18)85.680.8166.4+4.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLegia
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#3
L
66-74
66
74
-8
60avg 72
H28/09
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
73avg 72
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
61-62
61
62
-1
44avg 72
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 72
A14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
W
85-62
85
62
+23
88avg 72
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
53-71
53
71
-18
38avg 72
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 72
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
80avg 72
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#17
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 72
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
91-84 OT
91
84
+7
no box
H04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
19-10
11-19
15-23
18-18
28-30
18-17
16-17
14-10
14-19
20-15
13-18
21-23
20-15
18-20
28-23
22-15
23-14
17-10
23-23
9-21
17-22
15-11
12-17
31-25
26-13
14-15
15-24
24-19
24-8
19-25
20-15
23-19
22-19
21-19
24-22
27-13
16-18
16-30
15-13
152.5Avg total
78.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.072.7159.7+14.3100%
Season at home (2)87.570.5158.0+17.0100%
Season away (1)86.077.0163.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.673.9152.5+4.760%
Last 5 (5)81.475.6157.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.074.0140.0-8.00%
vs Similar (16)76.874.7151.5+2.156%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)94.582.1176.5+12.492%
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.4-1.4
KatajaLegia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KatajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#23
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KTP Kotka Basket
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A08/10
Korisliiga
Pyrinto Tampere
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H11/10
Korisliiga
Karhu Basket
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A14/10
Korisliiga
Legia
#6
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Nokia
#2
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H21/10
Korisliiga
CSM Oradea
#17
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Salon Vilpas
#6
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A28/10
Korisliiga
Levice
#32
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/10
FIBA Europe Cup
UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki
#4
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A05/11
Korisliiga
78.3Avg total
39.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.783.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.742.186.8+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)37.941.379.3-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.178.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.478.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.543.380.8-5.833%-
vs Similar (18)43.840.784.5+3.256%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Legia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#3
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/09
Champions League
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A14/10
Energa Basket Liga
Kataja
#39
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Levice
#32
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Gdynia
#14
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
CSM Oradea
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Torun
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/11
Energa Basket Liga
77.2Avg total
41.9Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.381.7+5.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.534.978.4+8.683%-
Last 30 away (12)43.243.486.6-0.242%-
Last 10 (10)41.935.377.2+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.479.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (16)38.138.977.0-0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)50.138.188.2+12.092%-
This opponent (Kataja) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Katajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kataja: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.514.3
50.2%
52.2%28.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.311.4
33.2%
33.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws14.611.2
76.7%
73.0%11.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 55% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Legiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Legia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.6
47.6%
52.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.0
38.9%
33.8%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.310.5
73.4%
73.0%10.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kataja
WLLLLLLWWW
Legia
WWWWLWWLLL
#39
League position
#6
-6.2
Net rating
+7.6
102.0
Offensive rating
104.0
108.2
Defensive rating
96.5
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
20.2%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
30.3%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.2%
3-point %
38.9%
52.9%
Assist %
58.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 104.0Defence108.2 · 96.5Shooting50.0% · 52.0%3-point %33.2% · 38.9%Ball care18.6% · 20.2%Off. rebounds27.3% · 30.3%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Kataja   ■ Legia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Kataja wins
1
Legia wins
DateGameScore
18/10/23Legia v Kataja85-62
Katajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23AUU-Korihait Uusikaupunki89-74
31/10/23ALevice55-68
28/10/23ASalon Vilpas75-80
25/10/23HCSM Oradea73-87
21/10/23HBC Nokia81-85
18/10/23ALegia62-85
14/10/23AKarhu Basket80-88
11/10/23HPyrinto Tampere77-71
08/10/23AKTP Kotka Basket68-67
05/10/23AChernomorets96-85
Legialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HTorun91-84 OT
01/11/23HCSM Oradea90-79
28/10/23HGdynia87-67
25/10/23ALevice86-77
21/10/23AOstrow Wielkopolski53-71
18/10/23HKataja85-62
14/10/23ASpojnia Stargard87-81
11/10/23HDziki Warszawa61-62
06/10/23ACzarni Slupsk80-82
28/09/23HObradoiro CAB66-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kataja
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game71.472.071.0
Allowed / game80.682.579.3
Point differential-9.2-10.5-8.3
Avg total152.0154.5150.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Legia
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.087.586.0
Allowed / game72.770.577.0
Point differential+14.3+17.0+9.0
Avg total159.7158.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao330100%92.767.0+25.7
2 Leiden330100%60.341.0+19.3
3 Chemnitz330100%86.368.0+18.3
4 Nymburk330100%87.370.3+17.0
5 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
6 Legia330100%87.072.7+14.3
7 Balkan220100%84.574.0+10.5
8 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
9 Basket Zaragoza440100%86.078.0+8.0
10 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
11 FC Porto54180%84.476.0+8.4
12 Varese32167%94.384.7+9.7
13 Jonava32167%89.380.0+9.3
14 Bahcesehir Kol.32167%83.075.0+8.0
15 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
16 Levice32167%79.377.3+2.0
17 AEK Larnaca32167%77.077.0+0.0
18 Peja32167%84.787.0-2.3
19 Caledonia Gladiators32167%68.079.0-11.0
20 Rostock53260%85.674.6+11.0
21 Sabah Baku74357%75.779.4-3.7
22 Gravelines-Dunkerque21150%76.063.0+13.0
23 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
24 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
25 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
26 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
27 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
28 Sporting CP21150%76.580.0-3.5
29 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
30 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
31 Anwil Wloclawek31233%73.763.3+10.3
32 CSM Oradea31233%85.785.3+0.3
33 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
34 Spojnia Stargard31233%79.085.3-6.3
35 Norrkoping31233%66.075.7-9.7
36 Karhu Basket31233%76.087.7-11.7
37 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
38 TSU41325%78.085.2-7.2
39 Keravnos51420%78.480.2-1.8
40 Kataja51420%71.480.6-9.2
41 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
42 Brindisi2020%78.583.5-5.0
43 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
44 Bakken Bears4040%75.882.8-7.0
45 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
46 Den Bosch3030%79.789.3-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu3030%57.782.7-25.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kataja2227201685
Legia2516291989
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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