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Kauno Atletas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 12 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-69
15-18 17-22 22-15 19-14
Position#11
Record7-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#10
Record12-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game73.9
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras (Garliava)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kauno Atletas v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
07 Jan 2027
KAUN v ZALG
upcoming
12 Dec 2023
KAUN73
ZALG69
09 Mar 2023
KAUN63
ZALG86
01 Dec 2022
KAUN68
ZALG72
12 Feb 2022
KAUN70
ZALG44
21 Oct 2021
KAUN78
ZALG91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kauno Atletas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kauno AtletasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAtletas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
68avg 68
A04/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-90
69
90
-21
48avg 68
A09/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 68
H11/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 68
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 68
H16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
62-76
62
76
-14
56avg 68
H26/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 68
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
102-58
102
58
+44
103avg 68
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
82-70
82
70
+12
82avg 68
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
57avg 68
A09/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
18-18
18-20
25-17
15-23
23-24
12-19
19-24
19-23
23-21
18-19
17-20
15-16
15-26
27-19
16-16
10-16
24-19
19-25
15-25
14-19
21-17
10-16
17-24
22-27
19-19
26-12
18-22
17-23
39-13
20-14
26-8
14-14
26-17
18-17
24-22
13-11
19-17
22-14
16-24
153.0Avg total
76.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.379.5155.8-3.337%
Season at home (9)77.783.0160.7-5.333%
Season away (10)75.076.4151.4-1.440%
Last 10 (10)76.176.9153.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)80.270.0150.2+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.082.1153.1-11.120%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.879.1156.8-1.344%
vs Weaker (2)96.070.0166.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
W
76-63
76
63
+13
77avg 72
H07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 72
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
69avg 72
A11/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
73avg 72
A18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 72
A23/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 72
H25/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
82-72
82
72
+10
83avg 72
H02/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
69-68
69
68
+1
60avg 72
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
65-85
65
85
-20
51avg 72
A09/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
17-21
20-8
18-21
17-19
13-9
22-14
23-32
16-23
22-19
29-21
21-14
24-17
21-19
16-12
18-13
21-14
24-23
26-11
25-21
15-21
12-15
22-30
13-22
15-23
18-13
19-15
27-17
17-18
18-25
25-13
22-16
19-18
13-16
16-14
21-20
15-28
19-22
18-16
13-19
149.6Avg total
77.1Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.473.9151.3+3.563%
Season at home (9)74.773.1147.8+1.656%
Season away (10)79.974.6154.5+5.370%
Last 10 (10)77.172.5149.6+4.680%
Last 5 (5)71.476.2147.6-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.879.5150.3-8.733%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.573.1153.6+7.573%
vs Weaker (13)78.267.2145.4+11.185%
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.0-5.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.6+0.6
Kauno AtletasZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Kauno AtletasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#8
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A04/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A09/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H11/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A14/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H16/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H26/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H30/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/12
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H06/12
NKL
Silute
#14
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A09/12
NKL
77.0Avg total
37.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.139.778.9-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.781.5+0.040%-
Last 30 away (15)37.538.776.3-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)37.839.277.0-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.476.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.641.077.6-4.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.139.478.5-0.439%-
vs Weaker (2)52.536.088.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A23/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A30/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H02/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A07/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A09/12
NKL
73.3Avg total
35.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.274.7+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.935.673.6+2.371%-
Last 30 away (16)37.238.575.7-1.331%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.673.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.239.872.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.040.275.2-5.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.237.274.4+0.045%-
vs Weaker (13)39.035.874.8+3.262%-
This opponent (Kauno Atletas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kauno Atletastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kauno Atletas: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.8
52.0%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.0%
33.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.2
69.7%
70.3%12.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.8
48.5%
51.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.7
32.4%
33.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.714.4
66.4%
70.3%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kauno Atletas
WWWWLLLLLL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWWWLWWWWW
#11
League position
#10
-1.0
Net rating
+5.9
102.4
Offensive rating
102.9
103.4
Defensive rating
97.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.5%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
44.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
21.9%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
40.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.0%
3-point %
32.4%
58.6%
Assist %
53.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 102.9Defence103.4 · 97.0Shooting49.4% · 48.5%3-point %30.0% · 32.4%Ball care17.6% · 21.9%Off. rebounds29.6% · 40.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Kauno Atletas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASilute70-66
06/12/23HUkmerges Stekas82-70
02/12/23ARytas 2102-58
30/11/23HVilkaviskis85-80
26/11/23HJurbarkas62-76
16/11/23HTelsiai68-85
14/11/23ATelsiai73-77
11/11/23HNeptunas 277-83
09/11/23ASuduva-Mantinga69-90
04/11/23AKretinga73-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23ASuduva-Mantinga65-85
07/12/23ANeptunas 269-68
02/12/23HDelikatesas Joniskis82-72
30/11/23AJurbarkas79-68
25/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga62-88
23/11/23ARytas 296-69
18/11/23AUkmerges Stekas79-61
11/11/23ASilute88-77
09/11/23HVilkaviskis75-74
07/11/23HTelsiai76-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kauno Atletas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW37%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%33%40%
Points / game76.377.775.0
Allowed / game79.583.076.4
Point differential-3.3-5.3-1.4
Avg total155.8160.7151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL63%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %63%56%70%
Points / game77.474.779.9
Allowed / game73.973.174.6
Point differential+3.5+1.6+5.3
Avg total151.3147.8154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%44%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1715288%84.571.8+12.6
2 Telsiai1915479%83.272.8+10.4
3 BC Olimpas Palanga2015575%81.072.0+9.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 21912763%77.473.9+3.5
5 Vytis VDU1610662%87.783.8+3.9
6 Jurbarkas2012860%80.076.7+3.2
7 Vilkaviskis1911858%82.980.8+2.1
8 Ukmerges Stekas1881044%72.976.8-3.9
9 Delikatesas Joniskis1871139%76.284.2-8.0
10 Kauno Atletas1971237%76.379.5-3.3
11 Kretinga2061430%77.381.7-4.3
12 Silute2061430%77.683.0-5.4
13 Rytas 21951426%79.988.8-8.9
14 Neptunas 22031715%75.885.2-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kauno Atletas1517221973
Zalgiris Kaunas 21822151469
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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