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Jurbarkas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 68-79
23-15 13-18 15-19 17-27
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#10
Record9-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game74.1
LithuaniaNKL· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
17 Dec 2026
JURB v ZALG
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
JURB64
ZALG71
01 Mar 2025
JURB82
ZALG74
14 Jan 2025
JURB80
ZALG82
18 Jan 2024
JURB78
ZALG76
30 Nov 2023
JURB68
ZALG79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
90-78
90
78
+12
92avg 77
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
80-82
80
82
-2
76avg 77
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
77-79
77
79
-2
68avg 77
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
86-89
86
89
-3
81avg 77
A04/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
100avg 77
H09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
57-73
57
73
-16
45avg 77
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
79avg 77
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
87-92
87
92
-5
78avg 77
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
88-75
88
75
+13
83avg 77
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
76-62
76
62
+14
73avg 77
A26/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
22-20
24-26
21-10
17-26
20-15
20-25
23-16
18-16
17-23
24-21
18-19
17-26
27-24
20-23
22-16
22-19
26-23
29-20
17-18
7-12
21-17
10-22
19-22
24-14
22-18
20-19
16-27
17-31
27-27
25-16
18-18
18-12
27-18
20-18
23-27
19-14
17-21
16-10
24-17
160.5Avg total
81.7Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.678.0159.6+3.662%
Season at home (8)81.477.5158.9+3.962%
Season away (8)81.978.5160.4+3.462%
Last 10 (10)81.778.8160.5+2.950%
Last 5 (5)78.076.0154.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.777.7153.3-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.976.1158.0+5.875%
vs Weaker (5)84.881.2166.0+3.660%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 73
H21/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
98-77
98
77
+21
103avg 73
A26/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
74avg 73
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
83-75
83
75
+8
74avg 73
A02/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
76-63
76
63
+13
77avg 73
H07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 73
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
69avg 73
A11/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
73avg 73
A18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
96-69
96
69
+27
100avg 73
A23/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
62-88
62
88
-26
51avg 73
H25/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
27-16
25-21
10-18
22-14
26-18
25-16
25-29
17-17
12-17
25-22
21-21
25-17
12-22
23-19
23-17
21-13
17-21
20-8
18-21
17-19
13-9
22-14
23-32
16-23
22-19
29-21
21-14
24-17
21-19
16-12
18-13
21-14
24-23
26-11
25-21
15-21
12-15
22-30
13-22
155.0Avg total
81.7Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.474.1152.5+4.360%
Season at home (8)73.873.2147.0+0.550%
Season away (7)83.775.0158.7+8.771%
Last 10 (10)81.773.3155.0+8.480%
Last 5 (5)80.073.8153.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.077.0148.0-6.033%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.273.9155.1+7.370%
vs Weaker (14)78.267.1145.4+11.186%
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
JurbarkasZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/10
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H28/10
NKL
Silute
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H02/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H09/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A11/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H16/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A18/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A26/11
NKL
80.6Avg total
40.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)40.639.980.5+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.437.877.1+1.650%-
Last 30 away (8)41.942.083.9-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.880.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.737.374.0-0.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.940.580.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (5)44.240.484.6+3.860%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A26/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A18/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A23/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H25/11
NKL
73.8Avg total
38.7Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.736.674.3+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.534.972.4+2.671%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.176.0-0.238%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.173.8+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.038.073.0-3.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.136.874.9+1.360%-
vs Weaker (14)38.635.974.4+2.757%-
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 81.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.5
54.5%
51.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.1
31.9%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.112.8
70.7%
70.3%12.8
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.7
51.4%
51.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.714.4
69.6%
70.3%14.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWLWLWLLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
LWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#10
+4.0
Net rating
+11.0
105.1
Offensive rating
108.3
101.1
Defensive rating
97.3
51.7%
Effective FG%
52.0%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
21.9%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
40.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.9%
3-point %
35.5%
74.7%
Assist %
57.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 108.3Defence101.1 · 97.3Shooting51.7% · 52.0%3-point %31.9% · 35.5%Ball care18.3% · 21.9%Off. rebounds28.6% · 40.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jurbarkas wins
0
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Jurbarkas72-75
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/23AKauno Atletas76-62
25/11/23HNeptunas 288-75
18/11/23ARytas 287-92
16/11/23HRytas 282-78
11/11/23ABC Olimpas Palanga57-73
09/11/23HKretinga94-80
04/11/23AVilkaviskis86-89
02/11/23HSilute77-79
28/10/23HTelsiai80-82
25/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga90-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/23HBC Olimpas Palanga62-88
23/11/23ARytas 296-69
18/11/23AUkmerges Stekas79-61
11/11/23ASilute88-77
09/11/23HVilkaviskis75-74
07/11/23HTelsiai76-63
02/11/23AVytis VDU83-75
28/10/23HKauno Atletas75-77
26/10/23AKretinga98-77
21/10/23HNeptunas 285-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLLWWW62%
AwayWLLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game81.681.481.9
Allowed / game78.077.578.5
Point differential+3.6+3.9+3.4
Avg total159.6158.9160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL60%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %60%50%71%
Points / game78.473.883.7
Allowed / game74.173.275.0
Point differential+4.3+0.5+8.7
Avg total152.5147.0158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%38%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1311285%84.373.5+10.8
2 Telsiai1613381%82.872.8+10.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1712571%80.571.5+9.1
4 Vytis VDU149564%88.683.6+5.1
5 Jurbarkas1610662%81.678.0+3.6
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2159660%78.474.1+4.3
7 Vilkaviskis159660%83.380.0+3.3
8 Delikatesas Joniskis157847%77.984.9-7.1
9 Ukmerges Stekas146843%73.979.1-5.1
10 Rytas 21551033%82.387.2-4.9
11 Kretinga1651131%77.582.4-4.9
12 Silute1751229%79.183.5-4.5
13 Kauno Atletas1641225%74.782.3-7.6
14 Neptunas 21731418%76.686.5-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2313151768
Zalgiris Kaunas 21518192779
← all games of the day
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