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Ukmerges Stekas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 61-79
17-24 19-21 12-16 13-18
Position#5
Record5-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game78.7
vs
Position#10
Record7-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game74.4
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
08 Oct 2026
UKME108
ZALG87
03 Jan 2026
UKME64
ZALG71
03 Oct 2024
UKME81
ZALG71
18 Nov 2023
UKME61
ZALG79
22 Oct 2022
UKME67
ZALG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
70avg 66
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
68-83
68
83
-15
55avg 66
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
67-72
67
72
-5
60avg 66
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
79-62
79
62
+17
68avg 66
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
58avg 66
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
82-64
82
64
+18
82avg 66
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-89
72
89
-17
65avg 66
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
89-96
89
96
-7
80avg 66
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 66
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
58-75
58
75
-17
51avg 66
A11/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
18-16
21-14
14-32
19-25
20-15
15-21
14-22
10-22
19-10
24-15
14-25
22-12
16-19
15-17
26-14
17-20
14-16
11-24
21-22
21-20
26-13
18-13
17-18
23-27
12-17
14-18
23-27
28-17
25-22
11-26
25-31
17-19
26-8
21-23
16-27
11-20
19-23
19-18
9-14
150.1Avg total
73.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.878.7152.5-4.842%
Season at home (4)82.574.8157.2+7.875%
Season away (8)69.580.6150.1-11.125%
Last 10 (10)73.177.0150.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)76.280.2156.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.582.4158.9-5.938%
vs Weaker (19)84.876.4161.3+8.463%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
72avg 73
H09/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 73
A12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
72-75
72
75
-3
69avg 73
H14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 73
H21/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
98-77
98
77
+21
103avg 73
A26/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
74avg 73
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
83-75
83
75
+8
74avg 73
A02/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
76-63
76
63
+13
77avg 73
H07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
75-74
75
74
+1
71avg 73
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
88-77
88
77
+11
69avg 73
A11/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
16-23
17-19
22-22
22-23
18-22
17-18
13-16
20-20
23-22
17-17
12-16
23-17
27-16
25-21
10-18
22-14
26-18
25-16
25-29
17-17
12-17
25-22
21-21
25-17
12-22
23-19
23-17
21-13
17-21
20-8
18-21
17-19
13-9
22-14
23-32
16-23
22-19
29-21
21-14
154.6Avg total
79.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.274.4152.7+3.858%
Season at home (7)75.471.1146.6+4.357%
Season away (5)82.279.0161.2+3.260%
Last 10 (10)79.575.1154.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)79.473.2152.6+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.874.8147.6-2.040%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.274.5153.7+4.760%
vs Weaker (15)77.367.9145.3+9.480%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: -1.8-1.8
Ukmerges StekasZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jurbarkas
#4
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A19/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H21/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A26/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A02/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H04/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H09/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/11
NKL
73.2Avg total
38.3Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.177.7+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.034.980.9+11.192%-
Last 30 away (17)36.438.875.2-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)38.334.973.2+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.278.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.339.773.0-6.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.138.675.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker (19)43.236.179.3+7.179%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H09/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H21/10
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A26/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H28/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/11
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#9
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H09/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A11/11
NKL
75.7Avg total
38.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.173.7+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.534.773.2+3.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.837.574.3-0.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.075.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.469.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.638.475.0-1.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.235.772.9+1.560%-
vs Weaker (15)38.335.673.9+2.753%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.215.4
49.4%
51.9%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.8
32.8%
33.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.012.1
67.2%
70.3%12.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.221.1
53.8%
51.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.9
33.9%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
70.3%12.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLLWLWLLW
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WWWWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#10
-5.7
Net rating
+6.0
101.1
Offensive rating
103.3
106.9
Defensive rating
97.3
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
25.2%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
39.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
33.9%
73.0%
Assist %
56.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.1 · 103.3Defence106.9 · 97.3Shooting49.3% · 52.7%3-point %32.8% · 33.9%Ball care17.5% · 25.2%Off. rebounds27.4% · 39.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ukmerges Stekas wins
2
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ATelsiai58-75
09/11/23HSilute80-77
04/11/23HVytis VDU89-96
02/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis72-89
28/10/23HKretinga82-64
26/10/23ABC Olimpas Palanga63-82
21/10/23HKauno Atletas79-62
19/10/23ANeptunas 267-72
14/10/23ASuduva-Mantinga68-83
12/10/23AJurbarkas73-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23ASilute88-77
09/11/23HVilkaviskis75-74
07/11/23HTelsiai76-63
02/11/23AVytis VDU83-75
28/10/23HKauno Atletas75-77
26/10/23AKretinga98-77
21/10/23HNeptunas 285-72
14/10/23HJurbarkas72-75
12/10/23ADelikatesas Joniskis70-79
09/10/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL42%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %42%75%25%
Points / game73.882.569.5
Allowed / game78.774.880.6
Point differential-4.8+7.8-11.1
Avg total152.5157.2150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%57%60%
Points / game78.275.482.2
Allowed / game74.471.179.0
Point differential+3.8+4.3+3.2
Avg total152.7146.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%85.572.5+13.0
2 Suduva-Mantinga119282%84.673.3+11.4
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%81.772.1+9.6
4 Jurbarkas138562%81.278.4+2.8
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 2127558%78.274.4+3.8
6 Vilkaviskis127558%82.279.2+3.1
7 Vytis VDU105550%88.285.6+2.6
8 Delikatesas Joniskis126650%78.184.5-6.4
9 Ukmerges Stekas125742%73.878.7-4.8
10 Rytas 2124833%82.586.4-3.9
11 Silute134931%78.483.1-4.7
12 Kretinga134931%77.383.5-6.2
13 Kauno Atletas1431121%74.982.9-8.1
14 Neptunas 21321115%77.588.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1719121361
Zalgiris Kaunas 22421161879
← all games of the day
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