Kedainiu SC vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 105-94

23-22 30-17 28-19 24-36

Position#6

Record3-1

FormWWLW

Points / game95.2

Allowed / game89.8

Kedainiu SC 🏆

Ukmerges Stekas

Position#16

Record0-3

FormLLLLL

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game88.7

NKL· Kedainiu arena

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kedainiu SC winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ukmerges Stekas winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kedainiu SC Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSC

Date

Competition

Jurbarkas

94-93

88avg 90

H02/10

NKL

Silute

#12

90-72

+18

83avg 90

A04/10

NKL

Omega-Tauras

#13

98-106 OT

106

-8

89avg 90

A09/10

NKL

Kretinga

99-88

+11

99avg 90

H11/10

NKL

14-20

25-13

34-30

21-30

15-18

26-16

28-20

21-18

22-17

24-30

28-26

18-19

25-23

29-24

17-27

28-14

185.0Avg total

95.2Scored

89.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	95.2	89.8	185.0	+5.5	75%
Season at home (2)	96.5	90.5	187.0	+6.0	100%
Season away (2)	94.0	89.0	183.0	+5.0	50%
Last 10 (4)	95.2	89.8	185.0	+5.5	75%
Last 5 (4)	95.2	89.8	185.0	+5.5	75%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	94.3	84.3	178.7	+10.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	98.0	106.0	204.0	-8.0	0%

This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ukmerges Stekas Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormStekas

Date

Competition

Neptunas 2

#10

84-77

76avg 71

H20/02

NKL

Rytas 2

#11

97-84

+13

98avg 71

A22/02

NKL

Plunges Olimpas

#14

65-77

-12

49avg 71

A27/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

#16

97-72

+25

93avg 71

H01/03

NKL

Omega-Tauras

100-98

100

98avg 71

A06/03

NKL

Omega-Tauras

79-90

-11

76avg 71

H09/03

NKL

Omega-Tauras

75-85

-10

67avg 71

A11/03

NKL

Vilkaviskis

72-94

-22

65avg 71

H02/10

NKL

Vytis VDU

66-81

-15

49avg 71

A09/10

NKL

Neptunas 2

70-91

-21

55avg 71

H11/10

NKL

16-18

21-26

25-23

22-10

26-18

23-26

32-23

16-17

16-20

14-18

20-22

15-17

31-14

16-31

25-12

25-15

34-30

23-24

18-22

25-22

17-21

27-25

14-25

21-19

13-16

24-26

19-23

19-20

22-23

21-27

16-21

13-23

17-28

15-17

11-19

23-17

19-21

22-19

7-28

22-23

165.4Avg total

80.5Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	69.3	88.7	158.0	-19.3	0%
Season at home (2)	71.0	92.5	163.5	-21.5	0%
Season away (1)	66.0	81.0	147.0	-15.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	84.9	165.4	-4.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	88.2	160.6	-15.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	67.5	83.5	151.0	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (22)	78.9	79.2	158.1	-0.4	50%
vs Weaker (4)	96.5	73.8	170.2	+22.8	75%

This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Kedainiu SCUkmerges Stekas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (4)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.1	40.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	22.5	42.5	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.9	42.0	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.0	23.5	42.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.8	14.8	40.5	+11.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	26.0	20.8	46.8	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	27.0	18.5	45.5	+8.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	25.0	23.0	48.0	+2.0	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	26.0	20.8	46.8	+5.2	75%	-
Last 5 (4)	26.0	20.8	46.8	+5.2	75%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	26.7	17.7	44.3	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	24.0	30.0	54.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.4	41.1	-1.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	20.9	41.4	-0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-2.9	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.9	44.5	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.8	21.8	41.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	32%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	75%	-

Kedainiu SCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Jurbarkas

39-33

H02/10

NKL

Silute

#12

41-34

A04/10

NKL

Omega-Tauras

#13

46-47

-1

A09/10

NKL

Kretinga

54-47

H11/10

NKL

85.2Avg total

45.0Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	45.0	40.2	85.2	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	46.5	40.0	86.5	+6.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (2)	43.5	40.5	84.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	45.0	40.2	85.2	+4.8	75%	-
Last 5 (4)	45.0	40.2	85.2	+4.8	75%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	44.7	38.0	82.7	+6.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	46.0	47.0	93.0	-1.0	0%	-

This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neptunas 2

#10

37-44

-7

H20/02

NKL

Rytas 2

#11

49-44

A22/02

NKL

Plunges Olimpas

#14

30-38

-8

A27/02

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

#16

47-45

H01/03

NKL

Omega-Tauras

57-54

A06/03

NKL

Omega-Tauras

44-46

-2

H09/03

NKL

Omega-Tauras

37-42

-5

A11/03

NKL

Vilkaviskis

43-50

-7

H02/10

NKL

Vytis VDU

32-45

-13

A09/10

NKL

Neptunas 2

41-40

H11/10

NKL

86.5Avg total

41.7Scored

44.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	41.5	81.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	38.6	80.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	44.4	83.3	-5.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	44.8	86.5	-3.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	44.6	84.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.8	45.2	84.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	39.4	41.9	81.3	-2.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.2	35.8	82.0	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Kedainiu SC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	26.8	25.8	52.5	+1.0	75%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	25.5	28.5	54.0	-3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	28.0	23.0	51.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 10 (4)	26.8	25.8	52.5	+1.0	75%	-
Last 5 (4)	26.8	25.8	52.5	+1.0	75%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	26.3	25.7	52.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	28.0	26.0	54.0	+2.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.5	37.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.8	40.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	23.2	36.6	-9.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	10.5	19.5	30.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (22)	20.4	19.4	39.8	+1.0	59%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.0	17.2	42.2	+7.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	24.5	22.0	46.5	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	19.5	18.5	38.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (4)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (4)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	18.9	38.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (22)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.2	20.8	46.0	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (4)	48.8	46.0	94.8	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	50.0	50.5	100.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (2)	47.5	41.5	89.0	+6.0	100%	-
Last 10 (4)	48.8	46.0	94.8	+2.8	75%	-
Last 5 (4)	48.8	46.0	94.8	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	49.7	46.3	96.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	46.0	45.0	91.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	37.6	77.0	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.9	36.8	77.7	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	38.3	76.4	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	40.1	78.9	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	43.6	76.6	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	28.8	38.2	67.0	-9.5	25%	-
vs Similar (22)	39.5	37.4	76.8	+2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	50.2	38.0	88.2	+12.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Kedainiu SCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kedainiu SC: 94.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀30%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers49.5 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	24.8	59.6%	54.5%	49.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.0	9.5	29.7%	32.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	25.0	16.2	65.0%	69.3%	16.2

They take 73.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 79.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀32%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

52%

31%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.4	53.0%	54.5%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.5	30.0%	32.3%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.2	67.3%	69.3%	13.2

They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	23.5	51.1%	54.5%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.0	31.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	27.8	17.8	64.0%	69.3%	17.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	22.1	50.8%	54.5%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.0	32.9%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	20.9	15.7	75.1%	69.3%	15.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.8	52.1%	54.5%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.2	31.7%	32.3%	27.5
🏀 Free throws	18.1	11.7	64.5%	69.3%	11.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.0	23.5	51.1%	54.5%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.0	31.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	27.8	17.8	64.0%	69.3%	17.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.2	20.1	50.0%	54.5%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	7.9	31.6%	32.3%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	20.2	14.2	70.6%	69.3%	14.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Kedainiu SC

WLWW

Ukmerges Stekas

LLLLLWWLWW

League position

#16

+7.0

Net rating

-5.8

119.5

Offensive rating

104.2

112.5

Defensive rating

109.9

53.1%

Effective FG%

49.6%

49.7%

Opp. effective FG%

50.3%

14.9%

Turnover %

15.9%

42.2%

Off. rebound %

28.0%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.29

29.7%

3-point %

30.0%

69.3%

Assist %

65.7%

75%

Form (last 4/10)

40%

Profile

■ Kedainiu SC ■ Ukmerges Stekas

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kedainiu SC wins

Ukmerges Stekas wins

No previous meetings.

Kedainiu SClast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/25	H	Kretinga	99-88
09/10/25	A	Omega-Tauras	98-106 OT
04/10/25	A	Silute	90-72
02/10/25	H	Jurbarkas	94-93

Ukmerges Stekaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/10/25	H	Neptunas 2	70-91
09/10/25	A	Vytis VDU	66-81
02/10/25	H	Vilkaviskis	72-94
11/03/25	A	Omega-Tauras	75-85
09/03/25	H	Omega-Tauras	79-90
06/03/25	A	Omega-Tauras	100-98
01/03/25	H	Delikatesas Joniskis	97-72
27/02/25	A	Plunges Olimpas	65-77
22/02/25	A	Rytas 2	97-84
20/02/25	H	Neptunas 2	84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kedainiu SC

NKL 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Losses (last 4)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLW	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	95.2	96.5	94.0
Allowed / game	89.8	90.5	89.0
Point differential	+5.5	+6.0	+5.0
Avg total	185.0	187.0	183.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	25%	0%	50%

Ukmerges Stekas

NKL 2025-26

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	LL	0%
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	2	1
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	69.3	71.0	66.0
Allowed / game	88.7	92.5	81.0
Point differential	-19.3	-21.5	-15.0
Avg total	158.0	163.5	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Vilkaviskis	5	4	1	80%	84.6	75.6	+9.0
2	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	5	4	1	80%	84.6	79.8	+4.8
3	Telsiai	4	3	1	75%	88.8	82.2	+6.5
4	Kedainiu SC	4	3	1	75%	95.2	89.8	+5.5
5	Suduva-Mantinga	3	2	1	67%	79.7	77.7	+2.0
6	Omega-Tauras	5	3	2	60%	91.4	83.4	+8.0
7	Rytas 2	5	3	2	60%	82.2	81.4	+0.8
8	Silute	5	3	2	60%	83.4	85.4	-2.0
9	Neptunas 2	4	2	2	50%	87.8	78.5	+9.2
10	Vytis VDU	4	2	2	50%	80.5	79.0	+1.5
11	Plunges Olimpas	5	2	3	40%	87.6	85.8	+1.8
12	Mazeikiai	5	2	3	40%	79.8	84.8	-5.0
13	Jurbarkas	3	1	2	33%	80.7	85.3	-4.7
14	Kretinga	4	1	3	25%	85.8	89.2	-3.5
15	Alytaus Alytus	5	1	4	20%	75.0	84.4	-9.4
16	BC Olimpas Palanga	5	1	4	20%	76.6	86.8	-10.2
17	Ukmerges Stekas	3	0	3	0%	69.3	88.7	-19.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kedainiu SC	23	30	28	24	105
Ukmerges Stekas	22	17	19	36	94

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Kedainiu SC vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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