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Ukmerges Stekas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 70-91
19-21 22-19 7-28 22-23
Position#16
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game87.5
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#4
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game81.3
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2
03 Nov 2026
UKME64
NEPT87
11 Oct 2025
UKME70
NEPT91
20 Feb 2025
UKME84
NEPT77
11 Jan 2025
UKME91
NEPT74
01 Feb 2024
UKME79
NEPT75
09 Dec 2023
UKME78
NEPT64
26 Jan 2023
UKME102
NEPT65
12 Nov 2022
UKME83
NEPT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 71
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 71
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 71
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 71
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
93avg 71
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
100-98
100
98
+2
98avg 71
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
76avg 71
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
75-85
75
85
-10
67avg 71
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
72-94
72
94
-22
65avg 71
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
66-81
66
81
-15
49avg 71
A09/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
23-15
20-27
28-16
16-18
21-26
25-23
22-10
26-18
23-26
32-23
16-17
16-20
14-18
20-22
15-17
31-14
16-31
25-12
25-15
34-30
23-24
18-22
25-22
17-21
27-25
14-25
21-19
13-16
24-26
19-23
19-20
22-23
21-27
16-21
13-23
17-28
15-17
11-19
23-17
167.4Avg total
82.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.087.5156.5-18.50%
Season at home (1)72.094.0166.0-22.00%
Season away (1)66.081.0147.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)82.984.5167.4-1.650%
Last 5 (5)78.489.6168.0-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)66.781.0147.7-14.30%
vs Similar (23)78.379.4157.7-1.148%
vs Weaker (4)96.573.8170.2+22.875%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
111-78
111
78
+33
117avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
62avg 72
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
82-85
82
85
-3
75avg 72
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 72
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
90-79
90
79
+11
83avg 72
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 72
A07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
80-83
80
83
-3
74avg 72
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 72
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-71
98
71
+27
94avg 72
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
81-82
81
82
-1
70avg 72
H09/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
30-20
22-23
25-16
18-16
26-21
23-25
10-22
22-17
15-26
21-18
24-24
24-27
24-13
25-16
22-20
19-17
21-31
29-22
21-9
19-21
15-17
19-24
16-19
16-19
22-24
22-26
20-14
21-30
18-23
25-23
17-15
18-19
17-13
29-17
34-22
17-19
25-18
22-21
17-24
167.4Avg total
86.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.781.3168.0+5.333%
Season at home (2)89.576.5166.0+13.050%
Season away (1)81.091.0172.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)86.481.0167.4+5.440%
Last 5 (5)81.881.6163.4+0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.790.0163.7-16.30%
vs Similar (20)80.581.5162.0-1.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.983.4171.3+4.443%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
Ukmerges StekasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H01/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A06/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H02/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A09/10
NKL
87.4Avg total
42.2Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.479.0+2.253%-
Last 30 away (15)38.944.483.3-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)42.245.287.4-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.647.490.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.047.085.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (23)38.941.780.5-2.835%-
vs Weaker (4)46.235.882.0+10.5100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H13/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H22/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A01/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A07/03
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H09/03
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A02/10
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H09/10
NKL
83.1Avg total
42.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.942.282.1-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.940.080.9+0.944%-
Last 30 away (14)38.744.883.5-6.121%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.083.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.678.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.343.772.0-15.30%-
vs Similar (20)40.541.782.2-1.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.043.186.1-0.143%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.321.0
54.8%
54.5%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.9
31.0%
32.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.413.0
67.0%
69.3%13.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.121.4
54.7%
54.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.6
32.3%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
69.3%17.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLLLWWLWWW
Neptunas 2
LWLLLWWLLW
#16
League position
#4
-2.6
Net rating
+7.7
106.5
Offensive rating
114.6
109.1
Defensive rating
106.8
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
32.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.0%
3-point %
32.3%
64.5%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 114.6Defence109.1 · 106.8Shooting51.3% · 52.2%3-point %31.0% · 32.3%Ball care15.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds27.9% · 32.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
4
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
20/02/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 284-77
11/01/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 291-74
12/10/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas85-67
24/02/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas78-75
01/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 279-75
09/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 278-64
19/10/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas72-67
23/02/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas90-89 OT
26/01/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2102-65
14/01/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas53-62
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25AVytis VDU66-81
02/10/25HVilkaviskis72-94
11/03/25AOmega-Tauras75-85
09/03/25HOmega-Tauras79-90
06/03/25AOmega-Tauras100-98
01/03/25HDelikatesas Joniskis97-72
27/02/25APlunges Olimpas65-77
22/02/25ARytas 297-84
20/02/25HNeptunas 284-77
13/02/25ASilute94-87
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/25HVilkaviskis81-82
04/10/25HKretinga98-71
02/10/25AOmega-Tauras81-91
09/03/25HVilkaviskis80-83
07/03/25AVilkaviskis69-81
01/03/25AKretinga90-79
27/02/25HSilute95-76
22/02/25HPlunges Olimpas82-85
20/02/25AUkmerges Stekas77-84
13/02/25HAlytaus Alytus111-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.072.066.0
Allowed / game87.594.081.0
Point differential-18.5-22.0-15.0
Avg total156.5166.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game86.789.581.0
Allowed / game81.376.591.0
Point differential+5.3+13.0-10.0
Avg total168.0166.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vytis VDU220100%85.072.0+13.0
2 Vilkaviskis440100%84.571.8+12.8
3 Suduva-Mantinga110100%81.080.0+1.0
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 243175%81.878.8+3.0
5 Telsiai32167%88.080.3+7.7
6 Omega-Tauras32167%92.788.7+4.0
7 Kedainiu SC32167%94.090.3+3.7
8 Jurbarkas21150%86.583.5+3.0
9 Neptunas 231233%86.781.3+5.3
10 Mazeikiai31233%82.082.3-0.3
11 Kretinga31233%85.086.0-1.0
12 Rytas 231233%86.087.7-1.7
13 BC Olimpas Palanga31233%76.380.3-4.0
14 Plunges Olimpas31233%82.087.3-5.3
15 Silute31233%79.790.3-10.7
16 Alytaus Alytus3030%74.792.0-17.3
17 Ukmerges Stekas2020%69.087.5-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas192272270
Neptunas 22119282391
← all games of the day
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