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Omega-Tauras vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:10
Final 98-100
30-34 24-23 22-18 22-25
Position#9
Record18-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#8
Record19-18
FormWWWLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game77.8
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2024-25
Meetings · Omega-Tauras v Ukmerges Stekas
07 Jan 2027
OMEG v UKME
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
OMEG85
UKME90
11 Mar 2025
OMEG85
UKME75
06 Mar 2025
OMEG98
UKME100
23 Nov 2024
OMEG92
UKME77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omega-Tauras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Omega-TaurasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmega-Tauras
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
90-83
90
83
+7
82avg 73
A18/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
97-103
97
103
-6
87avg 73
H23/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
80-89
80
89
-9
71avg 73
A25/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
74-95
74
95
-21
62avg 73
H06/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
63-94
63
94
-31
54avg 73
A08/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
86avg 73
H13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
85-89
85
89
-4
80avg 73
H15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
67avg 73
A20/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
83-90
83
90
-7
76avg 73
H22/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
69-88
69
88
-19
54avg 73
A01/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
27-27
21-28
15-14
28-25
17-25
31-22
21-31
19-24
14-31
32-17
15-17
22-29
16-20
21-23
15-23
17-25
11-18
12-20
23-31
22-15
27-16
13-25
26-23
30-24
18-23
23-24
14-18
19-21
26-25
18-16
14-19
23-35
25-5
17-32
18-18
22-13
15-31
14-19
18-25
169.7Avg total
80.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)80.982.2163.1-1.249%
Season at home (19)85.181.2166.3+3.963%
Season away (18)76.683.3159.8-6.733%
Last 10 (10)80.689.1169.7-8.520%
Last 5 (5)80.485.4165.8-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.587.0158.5-15.525%
vs Similar ◀ (19)83.683.3166.9+0.347%
vs Weaker (3)87.378.7166.0+8.767%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 72
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 72
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 72
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 72
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
109-60
109
60
+49
111avg 72
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 72
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 72
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 72
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 72
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
93avg 72
H01/03
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
29-22
16-15
18-30
18-20
23-26
23-11
20-12
20-24
20-26
22-13
13-19
20-18
13-24
23-18
21-15
34-15
24-17
22-17
29-11
23-29
23-15
20-27
28-16
16-18
21-26
25-23
22-10
26-18
23-26
32-23
16-17
16-20
14-18
20-22
15-17
31-14
16-31
25-12
25-15
163.6Avg total
86.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)79.677.8157.3+1.851%
Season at home (18)82.774.6157.3+8.172%
Season away (19)76.680.7157.4-4.132%
Last 10 (10)86.477.2163.6+9.270%
Last 5 (5)87.479.4166.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)62.068.0130.0-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)75.876.9152.7-1.046%
vs Weaker (5)94.674.4169.0+20.280%
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +4.5+4.5
Omega-TaurasUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Omega-TaurasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A18/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H23/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A25/01
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H06/02
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A08/02
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H13/02
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H15/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A20/02
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H22/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/03
NKL
87.1Avg total
42.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.083.0-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.539.582.0+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.444.583.9-5.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.687.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.441.876.1-7.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)43.441.985.3+1.568%-
vs Weaker (3)43.043.386.3-0.367%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/02
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A27/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H01/03
NKL
85.8Avg total
42.9Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.578.2-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.436.776.1+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.985.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.843.084.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.046.085.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)36.939.976.8-3.038%-
vs Weaker (5)47.236.483.6+10.8100%-
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Omega-Taurastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omega-Tauras: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.8
52.1%
52.5%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.111.0
64.3%
70.5%11.0
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.5
53.4%
52.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.5
33.1%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.012.9
61.4%
70.5%12.9
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Omega-Tauras
LLLLWLLLLW
Ukmerges Stekas
WLWWWWWLWL
#9
League position
#8
-11.4
Net rating
+11.2
104.0
Offensive rating
108.7
115.3
Defensive rating
97.5
51.2%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.2%
3-point %
33.1%
67.8%
Assist %
61.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 108.7Defence115.3 · 97.5Shooting51.2% · 51.7%3-point %33.2% · 33.1%Ball care16.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds26.8% · 32.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Omega-Tauras   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Omega-Tauras wins
1
Ukmerges Stekas wins
Omega-Tauraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ABC Olimpas Palanga69-88
22/02/25HVytis VDU83-90
20/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas 277-81
15/02/25HVilkaviskis85-89
13/02/25HJurbarkas88-79
08/02/25ASuduva-Mantinga63-94
06/02/25HTelsiai74-95
25/01/25ADelikatesas Joniskis80-89
23/01/25HVytis VDU97-103
18/01/25AAlytaus Alytus90-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HDelikatesas Joniskis97-72
27/02/25APlunges Olimpas65-77
22/02/25ARytas 297-84
20/02/25HNeptunas 284-77
13/02/25ASilute94-87
08/02/25HAlytaus Alytus109-60
06/02/25AKretinga77-75
25/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-82
18/01/25HJurbarkas84-69
16/01/25AVilkaviskis82-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Omega-Tauras
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL49%
HomeLLWLL63%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %49%63%33%
Points / game80.985.176.6
Allowed / game82.281.283.3
Point differential-1.2+3.9-6.7
Avg total163.1166.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%32%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %5%5%6%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW51%
HomeWWWWW72%
AwayLWWWL32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %51%72%32%
Points / game79.682.776.6
Allowed / game77.874.680.7
Point differential+1.8+8.1-4.1
Avg total157.3157.3157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%44%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai37261170%85.178.0+7.1
2 Jurbarkas37251268%81.378.3+3.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga37241365%81.374.2+7.1
4 Vytis VDU37241365%89.785.7+3.9
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 237241365%80.176.4+3.7
6 Suduva-Mantinga37231462%82.276.8+5.4
7 Vilkaviskis37221559%82.578.9+3.6
8 Ukmerges Stekas37191851%79.677.8+1.8
9 Neptunas 237181949%80.880.5+0.3
10 Omega-Tauras37181949%80.982.2-1.2
11 Rytas 237172046%80.982.8-1.8
12 Silute37142338%81.483.8-2.3
13 Kretinga37142338%80.382.7-2.4
14 Plunges Olimpas37132435%79.282.0-2.8
15 Alytaus Alytus3792824%78.090.6-12.6
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3763116%80.893.5-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Omega-Tauras3024222298
Ukmerges Stekas34231825100
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