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Ukmerges Stekas vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-77
16-18 21-26 25-23 22-10
Position#8
Record16-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game77.8
Ukmerges Stekas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 2
Lithuania
Position#10
Record16-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game80.4
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2
03 Nov 2026
UKME64
NEPT87
11 Oct 2025
UKME70
NEPT91
20 Feb 2025
UKME84
NEPT77
11 Jan 2025
UKME91
NEPT74
01 Feb 2024
UKME79
NEPT75
09 Dec 2023
UKME78
NEPT64
26 Jan 2023
UKME102
NEPT65
12 Nov 2022
UKME83
NEPT71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
W
76-58
76
58
+18
77avg 71
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
71-60
71
60
+11
58avg 71
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 71
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 71
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 71
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 71
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 71
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 71
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
109-60
109
60
+49
111avg 71
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 71
A13/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
17-12
21-19
17-14
10-9
21-20
22-12
18-19
18-18
13-28
21-18
25-19
24-15
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-22
29-22
16-15
18-30
18-20
23-26
23-11
20-12
20-24
20-26
22-13
13-19
20-18
13-24
23-18
21-15
34-15
24-17
22-17
29-11
23-29
23-15
20-27
28-16
157.3Avg total
83.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.877.8156.6+1.048%
Season at home (16)81.774.6156.3+7.169%
Season away (17)76.180.8156.9-4.629%
Last 10 (10)83.673.7157.3+9.970%
Last 5 (5)87.874.6162.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (23)75.078.0153.0-2.939%
vs Weaker (5)91.475.0166.4+16.480%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
75-99
75
99
-24
59avg 72
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 72
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
61avg 72
A11/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
78avg 72
H16/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
92-98
92
98
-6
83avg 72
A18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
80-91
80
91
-11
72avg 72
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
61-65
61
65
-4
46avg 72
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 72
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 72
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
111-78
111
78
+33
117avg 72
H13/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
11-24
24-22
24-25
13-21
19-16
16-25
30-21
15-24
23-21
21-26
15-20
21-25
25-18
27-23
14-15
16-24
25-24
19-27
32-23
19-31
23-22
18-15
20-23
14-12
14-16
16-19
17-18
17-26
28-17
12-27
20-25
20-17
24-18
18-26
19-29
34-19
30-20
22-23
25-16
168.7Avg total
81.6Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)80.180.4160.5-0.348%
Season at home (17)82.678.7161.3+3.959%
Season away (16)77.582.2159.8-4.838%
Last 10 (10)81.687.1168.7-5.520%
Last 5 (5)82.083.8165.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.285.8157.0-14.50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.280.3159.6-1.150%
vs Weaker (6)89.783.5173.2+6.250%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
Ukmerges StekasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NKL
80.7Avg total
41.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.877.4-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.335.874.1+2.557%-
Last 30 away (16)36.943.480.3-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.680.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.642.886.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)36.440.677.0-4.235%-
vs Weaker (5)44.435.079.4+9.480%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A04/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H16/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H21/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H25/01
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H08/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A11/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H13/02
NKL
83.0Avg total
40.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.781.8-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.838.880.5+3.044%-
Last 30 away (14)38.145.183.2-6.921%-
Last 10 (10)40.742.383.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.684.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.039.869.8-9.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.142.282.3-2.130%-
vs Weaker (6)46.741.388.0+5.350%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.2
52.0%
52.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.3
32.9%
32.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.112.5
59.2%
70.5%12.5
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.3
49.4%
52.5%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.410.2
32.5%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.815.6
68.4%
70.5%15.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
WWWLWLWLWW
Neptunas 2
WLLLLLWLLL
#8
League position
#10
+13.0
Net rating
-6.7
108.9
Offensive rating
105.5
95.9
Defensive rating
112.1
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.1%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.9%
3-point %
32.5%
54.4%
Assist %
62.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 105.5Defence95.9 · 112.1Shooting50.9% · 49.1%3-point %32.9% · 32.5%Ball care17.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds37.3% · 29.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ukmerges Stekas wins
4
Neptunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 291-74
12/10/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas85-67
24/02/24Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas78-75
01/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 279-75
09/12/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 278-64
19/10/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas72-67
23/02/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas90-89 OT
26/01/23Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 2102-65
14/01/23Neptunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas53-62
12/11/22Ukmerges Stekas v Neptunas 283-71
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25ASilute94-87
08/02/25HAlytaus Alytus109-60
06/02/25AKretinga77-75
25/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-82
18/01/25HJurbarkas84-69
16/01/25AVilkaviskis82-89
11/01/25HNeptunas 291-74
09/01/25AVytis VDU77-83
04/01/25HPlunges Olimpas71-60
21/12/24HKretinga76-58
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/25HAlytaus Alytus111-78
11/02/25ARytas 281-90
08/02/25HDelikatesas Joniskis77-95
25/01/25HRytas 261-65
21/01/25HZalgiris Kaunas 280-91
18/01/25ADelikatesas Joniskis92-98
16/01/25HOmega-Tauras87-81
11/01/25AUkmerges Stekas74-91
09/01/25HBC Olimpas Palanga78-83
04/01/25ASuduva-Mantinga75-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW48%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %48%69%29%
Points / game78.881.776.1
Allowed / game77.874.680.8
Point differential+1.0+7.1-4.6
Avg total156.6156.3156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeWLLLW59%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %48%59%38%
Points / game80.182.677.5
Allowed / game80.478.782.2
Point differential-0.3+3.9-4.8
Avg total160.5161.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)20% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai34241071%86.078.8+7.3
2 BC Olimpas Palanga34231168%81.473.3+8.1
3 Vytis VDU34231168%90.085.2+4.8
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 234231168%80.075.9+4.1
5 Jurbarkas33221167%82.079.3+2.8
6 Vilkaviskis34211362%83.478.9+4.5
7 Suduva-Mantinga34201459%81.476.9+4.6
8 Omega-Tauras35181751%81.281.8-0.6
9 Ukmerges Stekas33161748%78.877.8+1.0
10 Neptunas 233161748%80.180.4-0.3
11 Rytas 234161847%80.782.4-1.6
12 Silute34122235%80.884.0-3.2
13 Kretinga33112233%78.782.9-4.2
14 Plunges Olimpas33102330%77.882.1-4.3
15 Alytaus Alytus3392427%77.889.2-11.4
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3352815%79.692.0-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas1621252284
Neptunas 21826231077
← all games of the day
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