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Plunges Olimpas vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-65
20-16 18-14 22-20 17-15
Position#14
Record12-23
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#8
Record18-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game77.9
LithuaniaNKL· Lauryno Ivinskio gimnazija
Other2024-25
Meetings · Plunges Olimpas v Ukmerges Stekas
14 Nov 2026
PLUN v UKME
upcoming
26 Feb 2026
PLUN98
UKME82
11 Jan 2026
PLUN81
UKME84
27 Feb 2025
PLUN77
UKME65
05 Oct 2024
PLUN73
UKME93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Plunges Olimpas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Plunges OlimpasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpas
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
W
78-69
78
69
+9
71avg 71
A11/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
59avg 71
H16/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
65avg 71
A18/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
71avg 71
H21/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
68-73
68
73
-5
56avg 71
H23/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
114avg 71
A06/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
97-100
97
100
-3
88avg 71
H08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 71
A13/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
131-95
131
95
+36
133avg 71
H20/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
85-82
85
82
+3
72avg 71
A22/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
14-18
19-13
27-17
18-22
13-33
17-21
27-11
23-19
18-22
19-19
16-28
20-19
18-20
16-25
20-19
17-15
15-18
17-18
19-22
27-13
22-15
27-19
27-28
20-15
27-28
39-21
11-36
8-32
14-21
26-23
24-17
32-32
25-16
36-19
38-28
17-22
26-15
18-21
24-24
170.4Avg total
85.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.582.4161.9-2.934%
Season at home (17)83.283.8166.9-0.641%
Season away (18)76.181.2157.2-5.128%
Last 10 (10)85.984.5170.4+1.440%
Last 5 (5)97.689.0186.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.582.2156.8-7.817%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.081.2160.2-2.246%
vs Weaker (5)102.281.8184.0+20.480%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
60avg 71
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
85avg 71
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 71
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 71
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
69avg 71
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 71
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
109-60
109
60
+49
111avg 71
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 71
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 71
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
97-84
97
84
+13
98avg 71
A22/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
13-28
21-18
25-19
24-15
21-23
26-21
20-15
19-22
29-22
16-15
18-30
18-20
23-26
23-11
20-12
20-24
20-26
22-13
13-19
20-18
13-24
23-18
21-15
34-15
24-17
22-17
29-11
23-29
23-15
20-27
28-16
16-18
21-26
25-23
22-10
26-18
23-26
32-23
16-17
165.0Avg total
87.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)79.577.9157.4+1.551%
Season at home (17)81.874.8156.6+7.171%
Season away (18)77.380.9158.2-3.733%
Last 10 (10)87.078.0165.0+9.070%
Last 5 (5)92.276.6168.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.0158.0-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (24)76.777.9154.5-1.246%
vs Weaker (4)94.075.0169.0+19.075%
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +4.4+4.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
Plunges OlimpasUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Plunges OlimpasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kretinga
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A11/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H16/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A18/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H21/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H23/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A06/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H08/02
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A13/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H20/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A22/02
NKL
80.8Avg total
39.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.041.480.4-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.942.184.0-0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.877.2-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.680.8-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.885.4+1.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.841.178.9-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.842.281.1-3.438%-
vs Weaker (5)42.439.882.2+2.660%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A09/01
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/01
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A16/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H18/01
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A25/01
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A06/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H08/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A13/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A22/02
NKL
85.8Avg total
42.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.178.4-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.236.374.5+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.882.3-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.085.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.285.8+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.043.077.0-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)37.240.878.0-3.638%-
vs Weaker (4)47.234.281.5+13.0100%-
This opponent (Plunges Olimpas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Plunges Olimpastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Plunges Olimpas: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.7
57.0%
52.5%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.1
35.3%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
70.5%12.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.3
53.5%
52.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.2
35.2%
32.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.112.8
60.7%
70.5%12.8
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Plunges Olimpas
WWLLWLLLLW
Ukmerges Stekas
WWWWWLWLWL
#14
League position
#8
+1.8
Net rating
+11.2
109.2
Offensive rating
112.2
107.4
Defensive rating
101.0
55.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.3%
3-point %
35.2%
57.2%
Assist %
56.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 112.2Defence107.4 · 101.0Shooting55.4% · 53.2%3-point %35.3% · 35.2%Ball care16.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds23.6% · 34.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Plunges Olimpas   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Plunges Olimpas wins
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ANeptunas 285-82
20/02/25HDelikatesas Joniskis131-95
13/02/25AKretinga72-93
08/02/25HRytas 297-100
06/02/25AAlytaus Alytus103-75
23/01/25HBC Olimpas Palanga68-73
21/01/25HJurbarkas74-83
18/01/25ASuduva-Mantinga76-88
16/01/25HRytas 275-87
11/01/25AKretinga78-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ARytas 297-84
20/02/25HNeptunas 284-77
13/02/25ASilute94-87
08/02/25HAlytaus Alytus109-60
06/02/25AKretinga77-75
25/01/25AZalgiris Kaunas 275-82
18/01/25HJurbarkas84-69
16/01/25AVilkaviskis82-89
11/01/25HNeptunas 291-74
09/01/25AVytis VDU77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Plunges Olimpas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW34%
HomeLLLLW41%
AwayWLWLW28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %34%41%28%
Points / game79.583.276.1
Allowed / game82.483.881.2
Point differential-2.9-0.6-5.1
Avg total161.9166.9157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%24%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW51%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %51%71%33%
Points / game79.581.877.3
Allowed / game77.974.880.9
Point differential+1.5+7.1-3.7
Avg total157.4156.6158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai36261072%85.377.9+7.4
2 Vytis VDU36241267%90.085.6+4.4
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 236241267%80.276.2+4.0
4 Jurbarkas36241267%81.378.4+2.8
5 BC Olimpas Palanga36231364%81.174.3+6.8
6 Suduva-Mantinga36221461%82.076.8+5.2
7 Vilkaviskis36211558%82.679.0+3.6
8 Ukmerges Stekas35181751%79.577.9+1.5
9 Omega-Tauras36181850%81.382.0-0.8
10 Neptunas 236171947%80.580.5-0.0
11 Rytas 235161946%80.882.8-2.0
12 Kretinga35132237%80.082.8-2.7
13 Silute36132336%81.484.1-2.7
14 Plunges Olimpas35122334%79.582.4-2.9
15 Alytaus Alytus3692725%78.290.6-12.4
16 Delikatesas Joniskis3663017%81.093.4-12.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Plunges Olimpas2018221777
Ukmerges Stekas1614201565
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