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Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
6.1/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game102.3
IcelandPremier leagueRound 16· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v IR Reykjavik
11 Feb 2027
KEFL v IR R
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
KEFL92
IR R83
06 Feb 2025
KEFL81
IR R90
15 Dec 2022
KEFL108
IR R88
27 Jan 2022
KEFL77
IR R94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
IR Reykjavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 88
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 88
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 88
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 88
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 88
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 88
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 88
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 88
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReykjavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
93-82
93
82
+11
92avg 85
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
99-108
99
108
-9
99avg 85
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 85
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
87-125
87
125
-38
77avg 85
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
97avg 85
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
88-119
88
119
-31
75avg 85
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
96-108
96
108
-12
88avg 85
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
96-102
96
102
-6
81avg 85
A29/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
L
90-100
90
100
-10
no box
H05/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
A09/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
23-25
24-20
22-20
24-26
23-28
30-24
22-30
25-21
14-26
18-23
33-28
22-29
26-23
11-43
28-30
32-19
24-25
28-22
13-25
25-31
27-29
19-31
17-28
25-28
29-27
18-27
24-26
22-21
15-23
26-37
33-21
22-24
28-16
17-29
23-31
20-19
23-23
18-27
26-25
195.0Avg total
92.3Scored
102.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.3102.3194.7-10.017%
Season at home (2)89.0109.5198.5-20.50%
Season away (4)94.098.8192.8-4.825%
Last 10 (10)92.3102.7195.0-10.420%
Last 5 (5)91.4104.6196.0-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)91.0102.7193.7-11.719%
vs Similar (7)91.785.7177.4+6.071%
vs Weaker (6)92.285.7177.8+6.550%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
KeflavikIR Reykjavik
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A26/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H07/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A11/04
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A08/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H15/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A22/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A29/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H05/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A09/11
Premier league
95.3Avg total
47.3Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.148.394.4-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.448.194.4-1.743%-
Last 30 away (16)45.848.594.3-2.731%-
Last 10 (10)47.348.095.3-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)47.248.295.4-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)45.950.896.7-4.925%-
vs Similar (7)49.944.494.3+5.486%-
vs Weaker (6)42.546.388.8-3.817%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 93.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.322.5
54.5%
56.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.911.6
41.6%
33.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
73.9%13.9
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
IR Reykjavik
LLLLLWLLLW
#5
League position
#10
+2.1
Net rating
-9.0
98.9
Offensive rating
100.4
96.7
Defensive rating
109.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
57.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
11.7%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
29.5%
3-point %
41.6%
55.9%
Assist %
60.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 100.4Defence96.7 · 109.4Shooting50.7% · 57.7%3-point %29.5% · 41.6%Ball care11.7% · 15.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Keflavik   ■ IR Reykjavik
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
4
IR Reykjavik wins
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26ATindastoll87-94
05/11/26HKeflavik90-100
29/10/26AStjarnan96-102
22/10/26AHottur96-108
15/10/26HAlftanes88-119
08/10/26ASindri97-91
11/04/26ATindastoll87-125
07/04/26HTindastoll90-98
02/04/26ATindastoll99-108
26/03/26AValur93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
IR Reykjavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%0%25%
Points / game92.389.094.0
Allowed / game102.3109.598.8
Point differential-10.0-20.5-4.8
Avg total194.7198.5192.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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