Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 19:15

Final 92-83

26-16 20-25 22-23 24-19

Position#5

Record-

FormLWLLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Keflavik 🏆

IR Reykjavik

Position#7

Record-

FormWLLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Premier leagueRound 1· Blue-hollin

Other2025-26

Meetings · Keflavik v IR Reykjavik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

IR Reykjavik winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keflavik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKeflavik

Date

Competition

IR Reykjavik

81-90

-9

66avg 84

H06/02

Premier league

Haukar

#12

104-95

104

98avg 84

A13/02

Premier league

Grindavik

91-101

101

-10

80avg 84

A28/02

Premier league

Tindastoll

77-116

116

-39

59avg 84

A06/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

107-98

107

98avg 84

H14/03

Premier league

Valur

67-91

-24

52avg 84

H19/03

Icelandic Cup

Thorl

119-114

119

114

112avg 84

A27/03

Premier league

Tindastoll

87-94

-7

86avg 84

A02/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

93-96

-3

87avg 84

H06/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

75-100

100

-25

59avg 84

A10/04

Premier league

21-29

21-20

22-20

17-21

34-23

20-22

24-27

26-23

22-28

28-31

20-18

21-24

9-32

18-30

27-27

23-27

30-23

31-25

23-21

23-29

19-21

16-30

14-26

18-14

24-25

31-30

36-29

28-30

23-25

29-23

17-25

18-21

25-23

20-25

26-22

22-26

14-22

20-30

19-23

22-25

189.6Avg total

90.1Scored

99.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	90.1	99.5	189.6	-9.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	99.0	187.2	-10.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	91.0	97.2	188.2	-6.2	27%
vs Similar (14)	90.5	94.9	185.4	-4.4	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	112.0	99.5	211.5	+12.5	75%

This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IR Reykjavik Iceland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormReykjavik

Date

Competition

Keflavik

#10

90-81

84avg 80

A06/02

Premier league

Njardvik

91-95

-4

78avg 80

H14/02

Premier league

Valur

87-90

-3

80avg 80

A01/03

Premier league

KR Basket

97-96

87avg 80

H06/03

Premier league

Hottur

#11

84-83

85avg 80

H14/03

Premier league

Haukar

#12

91-80

+11

91avg 80

A27/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

83-101

101

-18

76avg 80

A03/04

Premier league

Stjarnan

82-90

-8

72avg 80

H07/04

Premier league

Stjarnan

89-87

84avg 80

A11/04

Premier league

Stjarnan

74-80

-6

70avg 80

H15/04

Premier league

29-21

20-21

20-22

21-17

20-29

31-22

20-22

27-22

24-29

19-20

17-19

23-31

25-13

24-25

25-27

22-18

17-16

30-26

15-23

21-17

28-23

23-18

19-22

22-30

25-25

19-19

17-27

19-16

23-26

19-29

21-19

27-23

23-21

12-20

18-22

18-26

18-16

20-16

175.1Avg total

86.8Scored

88.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	86.8	88.3	175.1	-1.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	87.6	171.4	-3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	88.2	93.4	181.6	-5.1	41%
vs Similar (10)	85.9	89.0	174.9	-3.1	60%
vs Weaker (3)	88.7	87.0	175.7	+1.7	33%

This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KeflavikIR Reykjavik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.6	23.9	48.5	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.4	23.6	48.9	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	25.1	47.2	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	23.2	44.2	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	23.5	23.1	46.5	+0.4	64%	-
vs Similar (14)	24.9	23.6	48.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	27.5	26.8	54.2	+0.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	22.7	42.8	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.4	44.5	-0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.9	45.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.6	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.4	23.0	44.4	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	25.1	49.8	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.8	23.8	48.6	+1.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.6	26.6	51.3	-2.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	26.6	50.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	27.6	50.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	23.3	27.1	50.4	-3.8	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	24.3	24.9	49.2	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	29.8	21.2	51.0	+8.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	24.4	46.5	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.6	48.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.6	24.3	46.9	-1.7	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.9	22.0	43.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	23.0	48.3	+2.3	67%	-

KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

IR Reykjavik

42-49

-7

H06/02

Premier league

Haukar

#12

54-45

A13/02

Premier league

Grindavik

50-59

-9

A28/02

Premier league

Tindastoll

27-62

-35

A06/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

61-48

+13

H14/03

Premier league

Valur

35-51

-16

H19/03

Icelandic Cup

Thorl

55-55

A27/03

Premier league

Tindastoll

52-48

A02/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

45-48

-3

H06/04

Premier league

Tindastoll

34-52

-18

A10/04

Premier league

97.2Avg total

45.5Scored

51.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.4	49.0	98.3	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.2	47.3	97.5	+2.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	48.4	50.9	99.3	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.5	51.7	97.2	-6.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	50.8	95.0	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	46.7	50.2	96.9	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	49.1	48.6	97.7	+0.6	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	57.2	48.0	105.2	+9.2	100%	-

This opponent (IR Reykjavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

IR ReykjavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keflavik

#10

49-42

A06/02

Premier league

Njardvik

51-51

H14/02

Premier league

Valur

51-51

A01/03

Premier league

KR Basket

48-44

H06/03

Premier league

Hottur

#11

39-34

H14/03

Premier league

Haukar

#12

49-40

A27/03

Premier league

Stjarnan

47-55

-8

A03/04

Premier league

Stjarnan

42-42

H07/04

Premier league

Stjarnan

54-46

A11/04

Premier league

Stjarnan

36-48

-12

H15/04

Premier league

91.9Avg total

46.6Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	45.9	89.7	-2.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.3	45.1	88.4	-1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.1	46.8	90.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	45.3	91.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	46.2	91.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	43.3	46.6	89.9	-3.4	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.3	45.0	88.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	47.7	45.0	92.7	+2.7	67%	-

This opponent (Keflavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.6	44.8	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	20.2	43.4	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.0	25.4	46.4	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	25.0	47.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.2	23.3	45.5	-1.1	45%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.9	22.4	43.3	-1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	28.0	23.0	51.0	+5.0	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	22.1	44.5	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	21.5	42.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.5	22.7	46.2	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.2	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.8	23.5	48.3	+1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	20.0	39.3	-0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	21.8	42.3	-1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	24.9	46.1	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	24.0	45.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	23.2	44.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.1	23.7	45.8	-1.6	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.6	23.6	43.1	-4.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.9	41.7	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	21.7	41.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.9	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	45.8	88.9	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	41.9	85.7	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	50.2	92.5	-7.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	47.8	92.4	-3.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	48.2	92.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	44.3	47.0	91.3	-2.7	18%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.5	45.9	86.4	-5.4	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)	51.8	47.2	99.0	+4.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	44.0	86.2	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.5	43.3	83.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	44.7	88.6	-0.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	43.0	83.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	41.4	79.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	42.2	44.3	86.5	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.6	44.0	86.6	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	42.0	83.0	-1.0	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 89.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀37%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.3	16.7	51.7%	54.6%	33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.8	12.0	32.6%	34.0%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	24.6	19.7	80.1%	74.2%	19.7

They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

IR Reykjaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

IR Reykjavik: 86.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game

47%

36%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.5	20.4	49.2%	54.6%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	10.3	38.7%	34.0%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	16.9	14.3	84.6%	74.2%	14.3

They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	23.4	62.9%	54.6%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.7	11.3	35.6%	34.0%	33.9
🏀 Free throws	23.4	18.2	77.8%	74.2%	18.2

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	20.8	51.0%	54.6%	41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.0	31.7%	34.0%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	25.6	18.7	73.0%	74.2%	18.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.7	17.7	52.6%	54.6%	35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	38.5	13.1	33.9%	34.0%	39.2
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.7	78.9%	74.2%	17.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.3	20.5	50.7%	54.6%	40.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.6	37.6%	34.0%	31.7
🏀 Free throws	17.7	14.0	79.2%	74.2%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	23.3	57.7%	54.6%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.1	11.0	34.4%	34.0%	33.1
🏀 Free throws	19.7	15.0	76.1%	74.2%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	22.1	52.6%	54.6%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.7	33.4%	34.0%	29.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.5	73.7%	74.2%	17.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Keflavik

LLLWLWLLWL

IR Reykjavik

LWLLWWWLLW

League position

-12.2

Net rating

-1.7

110.8

Offensive rating

112.1

123.0

Defensive rating

113.7

50.2%

Effective FG%

52.6%

58.6%

Opp. effective FG%

49.6%

14.0%

Turnover %

15.5%

25.7%

Off. rebound %

28.0%

0.36

Free-throw rate

0.25

32.6%

3-point %

38.7%

55.4%

Assist %

62.5%

30%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Keflavik ■ IR Reykjavik

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keflavik wins

IR Reykjavik wins

Date	Game	Score
06/02/25	Keflavik v IR Reykjavik	81-90
08/11/24	IR Reykjavik v Keflavik	79-91
23/03/23	IR Reykjavik v Keflavik	92-85
15/12/22	Keflavik v IR Reykjavik	108-88
27/01/22	Keflavik v IR Reykjavik	77-94
21/10/21	IR Reykjavik v Keflavik	73-89

Keflaviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/04/25	A	Tindastoll	75-100
06/04/25	H	Tindastoll	93-96
02/04/25	A	Tindastoll	87-94
27/03/25	A	Thorl	119-114
19/03/25	H	Valur	67-91
14/03/25	H	Stjarnan	107-98
06/03/25	A	Tindastoll	77-116
28/02/25	A	Grindavik	91-101
13/02/25	A	Haukar	104-95
06/02/25	H	IR Reykjavik	81-90

IR Reykjaviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/25	H	Stjarnan	74-80
11/04/25	A	Stjarnan	89-87
07/04/25	H	Stjarnan	82-90
03/04/25	A	Stjarnan	83-101
27/03/25	A	Haukar	91-80
14/03/25	H	Hottur	84-83
06/03/25	H	KR Basket	97-96
01/03/25	A	Valur	87-90
14/02/25	H	Njardvik	91-95
06/02/25	A	Keflavik	90-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

IR Reykjavik

Premier league 2025-26

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keflavik	26	20	22	24	92
IR Reykjavik	16	25	23	19	83

← all games of the day

Keflavik vs IR Reykjavik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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