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Keflavik vs Tindastoll Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Projected 91-92
Projected total 182.6
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
Vs
44%
56%
■ KEFL 44%■ TIND 56%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game83.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 7· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v Tindastoll
20 Nov 2026
KEFL v TIND
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
KEFL98
TIND81
06 Apr 2025
KEFL93
TIND96
09 Dec 2024
KEFL81
TIND70
06 Dec 2024
KEFL120
TIND93
10 Jan 2024
KEFL99
TIND86
12 Apr 2023
KEFL100
TIND78
05 Apr 2023
KEFL107
TIND114
07 Oct 2022
KEFL82
TIND80
14 Apr 2022
KEFL91
TIND76
08 Apr 2022
KEFL92
TIND75
10 Dec 2021
KEFL93
TIND84
22 May 2021
KEFL87
TIND83
15 May 2021
KEFL79
TIND71
07 Feb 2021
KEFL107
TIND81
06 Jan 2020
KEFL95
TIND84
20 Dec 2018
KEFL78
TIND92
09 Nov 2017
KEFL88
TIND97
24 Mar 2017
KEFL83
TIND73
19 Mar 2017
KEFL86
TIND80
03 Nov 2016
KEFL101
TIND79
23 Mar 2016
KEFL95
TIND71
17 Mar 2016
KEFL90
TIND100
26 Feb 2016
KEFL82
TIND86
15 Feb 2015
KEFL93
TIND104
22 Feb 2013
KEFL93
TIND78
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Keflavik host Tindastoll in the Premier league. Pythia makes Tindastoll the favourite at 56% and projects 91-92, about 183 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Keflavik are 4-2 this season (105.0 scored, 102.0 allowed a game), form WLWWL; Tindastoll are 5-1 this season (91.8 scored, 83.7 allowed a game), form WLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
44.5%fair 2.25
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tindastoll win
55.5%fair 1.80
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 90
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 90
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 90
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 90
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 90
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 90
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 90
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 90
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTindastoll
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
92-69
92
69
+23
92avg 96
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 96
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
90avg 96
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
85avg 96
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
109-86
109
86
+23
104avg 96
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 96
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
105-108 OT
105
108
-3
96avg 96
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
94-87
94
87
+7
no box
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
79-69
79
69
+10
no box
H12/11
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
29-19
12-17
30-15
22-14
14-23
22-21
19-13
22-20
23-8
23-19
17-21
26-15
18-27
21-19
20-16
22-17
32-20
25-21
30-28
20-21
19-24
25-20
14-6
27-19
23-25
36-33
10-19
23-22
23-17
24-18
10-16
19-20
23-23
27-18
25-26
24-22
17-14
18-19
20-14
166.3Avg total
88.4Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.883.7175.5+8.283%
Season at home (3)102.793.7196.3+9.067%
Season away (3)81.073.7154.7+7.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.477.9166.3+10.590%
Last 5 (5)87.281.6168.8+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0108.0213.0-3.00%
vs Similar (5)100.895.4196.2+5.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)95.685.7181.3+10.083%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 179.5
Over 179.5
56.3%
Under 179.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 184.5
Over 184.5
44.3%
Under 184.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 189.5
Over 189.5
33.0%
Under 189.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Keflavik total 90
Over 90
51.4%
Under 90
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik total 94
Over 94
35.9%
Under 94
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Keflavik total 98
Over 98
22.7%
Under 98
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tindastoll total 86.5
Over 86.5
70.2%
Under 86.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tindastoll total 90.5
Over 90.5
55.7%
Under 90.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tindastoll total 94.5
Over 94.5
40.4%
Under 94.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Keflavik -3
KEFL -3
35.5%
TIND +3
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
KEFL
No market prices yet.
TIND
No market prices yet.
Spread Keflavik 0
KEFL 0
44.5%
TIND 0
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
KEFL
No market prices yet.
TIND
No market prices yet.
Spread Keflavik +3
KEFL +3
53.6%
TIND -3
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
KEFL
No market prices yet.
TIND
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
KeflavikTindastoll
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (Tindastoll) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TindastollLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BK Liepaja
#15
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A23/09
ENBL
Jonava
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/09
ENBL
Bristol Flyers
#10
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A30/09
ENBL
Njardvik
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A09/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H15/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A23/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H29/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A05/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H09/11
Premier league
Lausanne Basket
#18
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
ENBL
83.5Avg total
44.7Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.944.091.9+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.145.294.3+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)46.442.789.1+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.883.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.485.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.044.094.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (5)52.843.496.2+9.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.844.290.9+2.658%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tindastolltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tindastoll: 91.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
56.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.110.7
31.4%
33.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.019.1
79.6%
73.9%19.1
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
Tindastoll
WWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+2.1
Net rating
+8.5
98.9
Offensive rating
98.5
96.7
Defensive rating
89.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.7%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
11.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.35
29.5%
3-point %
31.4%
55.9%
Assist %
70.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 98.5Defence96.7 · 89.9Shooting50.7% · 51.7%3-point %29.5% · 31.4%Ball care11.7% · 14.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Keflavik   ■ Tindastoll
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
5
Tindastoll wins
DateGameScore
26/01/26Keflavik v Tindastoll98-81
09/10/25Tindastoll v Keflavik101-81
10/04/25Tindastoll v Keflavik100-75
06/04/25Keflavik v Tindastoll93-96
02/04/25Tindastoll v Keflavik94-87
06/03/25Tindastoll v Keflavik116-77
09/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll81-70
06/12/24Keflavik v Tindastoll120-93
23/03/24Tindastoll v Keflavik79-92
10/01/24Keflavik v Tindastoll99-86
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
Tindastolllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HLausanne Basket79-69
09/11/26HIR Reykjavik94-87
05/11/26AHottur80-73
29/10/26HAlftanes105-108 OT
23/10/26ASindri78-71
15/10/26HArmann109-86
09/10/26ANjardvik85-77
30/09/26ABristol Flyers85-68
27/09/26AJonava77-71
23/09/26ABK Liepaja92-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tindastoll
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game91.8102.781.0
Allowed / game83.793.773.7
Point differential+8.2+9.0+7.3
Avg total175.5196.3154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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