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Keflavik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 70-81
22-16 22-21 9-19 17-25
Position#10
Record7-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game100.3
Allowed / game95.7
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#5
Record6-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game90.5
IcelandPremier leagueRound 15· Blue-hollin
Other2024-25
Meetings · Keflavik v Valur
10 Dec 2026
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
KEFL88
VALU81
07 Apr 2026
KEFL82
VALU87
19 Mar 2026
KEFL85
VALU88
19 Mar 2025
KEFL67
VALU91
24 Jan 2025
KEFL70
VALU81
19 Oct 2023
KEFL87
VALU86
10 Mar 2023
KEFL80
VALU111
19 Nov 2021
KEFL79
VALU78
07 May 2021
KEFL101
VALU82
31 Oct 2019
KEFL92
VALU82
10 Mar 2019
KEFL101
VALU77
05 Oct 2017
KEFL117
VALU86
30 Jan 2014
KEFL106
VALU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
117-85
117
85
+32
111avg 87
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
96-104
96
104
-8
56avg 87
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
120-93
120
93
+27
126avg 87
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
81-70
81
70
+11
78avg 87
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
L
93-97
93
97
-4
78avg 87
A12/12
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
105-86
105
86
+19
96avg 87
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
76avg 87
H02/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
112-98
112
98
+14
110avg 87
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
L
98-107
98
107
-9
88avg 87
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
W
96-88
96
88
+8
89avg 87
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
31-19
34-22
26-21
24-26
23-34
32-18
17-26
28-20
31-30
32-19
29-24
23-24
27-21
16-17
15-8
28-20
22-30
17-22
26-25
31-31
30-19
20-19
24-17
23-22
20-21
20-30
24-16
23-29
37-24
33-23
19-22
29-23
25-31
22-28
22-25
23-20
22-27
23-20
28-21
192.2Avg total
100.5Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)100.395.7196.0+4.650%
Season at home (8)102.491.5193.9+10.962%
Season away (6)97.5101.3198.8-3.833%
Last 10 (10)100.591.7192.2+8.860%
Last 5 (5)99.693.6193.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)99.094.8193.8+4.240%
vs Similar ◀ (18)91.493.6185.0-2.156%
vs Weaker (6)109.594.2203.7+15.383%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
W
101-94
101
94
+7
92avg 79
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 79
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
L
97-104
97
104
-7
91avg 79
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 79
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
L
90-97
90
97
-7
85avg 79
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
89-80
89
80
+9
86avg 79
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
W
83-79
83
79
+4
70avg 79
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
69-94
69
94
-25
60avg 79
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
93avg 79
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
99-77
99
77
+22
100avg 79
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
23-17
31-16
27-34
22-19
14-27
28-13
19-25
31-17
21-35
23-23
22-29
21-29
20-15
18-13
29-20
26-30
25-18
15-31
24-18
18-20
31-16
24-20
16-24
19-18
23-31
23-13
18-17
10-23
17-24
17-26
25-21
25-23
21-23
17-18
24-17
25-19
28-22
25-13
21-23
175.3Avg total
88.6Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.590.5179.0-2.043%
Season at home (7)92.787.6180.3+5.171%
Season away (7)84.393.4177.7-9.114%
Last 10 (10)88.686.7175.3+1.960%
Last 5 (5)85.482.2167.6+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.384.7169.0-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (16)87.484.6172.0+2.862%
vs Weaker (10)87.486.7174.1+0.740%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.3-0.3
KeflavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Haukar
#12
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H14/11
Premier league
Grindavik
#4
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H29/11
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H06/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#12
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H09/12
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#2
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A12/12
Premier league
Thorl
#9
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H19/12
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H02/01
Premier league
Hottur
#11
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H09/01
Premier league
Njardvik
#3
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A16/01
Premier league
Haukar
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/01
Icelandic Cup
102.0Avg total
52.6Scored
49.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.246.196.3+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.446.397.7+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)48.945.994.8+3.143%-
Last 10 (10)52.649.4102.0+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)52.649.4102.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.048.6100.6+3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)48.645.894.4+2.750%-
vs Weaker (6)53.845.098.8+8.883%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H14/11
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A29/11
Premier league
Haukar
#12
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H05/12
Premier league
Grindavik
#11
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H08/12
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A13/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/12
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H05/01
Premier league
Thorl
#9
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A10/01
Premier league
Alftanes
#6
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H16/01
Premier league
Sindri
#7
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A20/01
Icelandic Cup
89.3Avg total
44.0Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.486.0-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.342.886.1+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)41.744.185.9-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.389.3-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.443.887.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.741.783.3+0.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.044.087.0-1.044%-
vs Weaker (10)42.343.085.3-0.750%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 100.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.2
56.0%
53.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.915.4
39.6%
34.4%46.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.5
77.1%
75.6%15.5
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 91.2 points a game
47%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.8
56.2%
53.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.011.6
35.2%
34.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws19.913.4
67.3%
75.6%13.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WLWLWLWWLW
Valur
WWLWWLWLLW
#10
League position
#5
+12.0
Net rating
+2.6
120.1
Offensive rating
109.7
108.1
Defensive rating
107.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.6%
3-point %
35.2%
57.8%
Assist %
67.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 109.7Defence108.1 · 107.1Shooting57.8% · 54.5%3-point %39.6% · 35.2%Ball care16.2% · 15.4%Off. rebounds30.1% · 24.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Keflavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keflavik wins
5
Valur wins
DateGameScore
24/10/24Valur v Keflavik104-80
18/01/24Valur v Keflavik105-82
19/10/23Keflavik v Valur87-86
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
02/12/22Valur v Keflavik75-100
05/03/22Valur v Keflavik88-74
19/11/21Keflavik v Valur79-78
07/05/21Keflavik v Valur101-82
12/02/21Valur v Keflavik85-72
29/01/20Valur v Keflavik68-96
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25HHaukar96-88
16/01/25ANjardvik98-107
09/01/25HHottur112-98
02/01/25HAlftanes87-89
19/12/24HThorl105-86
12/12/24AStjarnan93-97
09/12/24HTindastoll81-70
06/12/24HTindastoll120-93
29/11/24HGrindavik96-104
14/11/24HHaukar117-85
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25ASindri99-77
16/01/25HAlftanes87-81
10/01/25AThorl69-94
05/01/25HStjarnan83-79
20/12/24HTindastoll89-80
13/12/24AGrindavik90-97
08/12/24HGrindavik88-77
05/12/24HHaukar97-104
29/11/24AIR Reykjavik83-84
14/11/24HKR Basket101-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%62%33%
Points / game100.3102.497.5
Allowed / game95.791.5101.3
Point differential+4.6+10.9-3.8
Avg total196.0193.9198.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Valur
Premier league 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game88.592.784.3
Allowed / game90.587.693.4
Point differential-2.0+5.1-9.1
Avg total179.0180.3177.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stjarnan1512380%98.886.7+12.1
2 Tindastoll1511473%97.087.6+9.4
3 Njardvik1510567%92.990.1+2.8
4 Grindavik158753%92.888.7+4.1
5 Keflavik147750%100.395.7+4.6
6 KR Basket157847%93.395.0-1.7
7 Thorl157847%89.992.8-2.9
8 IR Reykjavik157847%88.794.0-5.3
9 Valur146843%88.590.5-2.0
10 Alftanes156940%89.291.7-2.5
11 Hottur1541127%86.593.0-6.5
12 Haukar1541127%84.996.9-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik222291770
Valur1621192581
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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