PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keflavik vs Valur Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 10 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game78.8
IcelandPremier leagueRound 9· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v Valur
10 Dec 2026
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
KEFL88
VALU81
07 Apr 2026
KEFL82
VALU87
19 Mar 2026
KEFL85
VALU88
19 Mar 2025
KEFL67
VALU91
24 Jan 2025
KEFL70
VALU81
19 Oct 2023
KEFL87
VALU86
10 Mar 2023
KEFL80
VALU111
19 Nov 2021
KEFL79
VALU78
07 May 2021
KEFL101
VALU82
31 Oct 2019
KEFL92
VALU82
10 Mar 2019
KEFL101
VALU77
05 Oct 2017
KEFL117
VALU86
30 Jan 2014
KEFL106
VALU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valur win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 89
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 89
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 89
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 89
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 89
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 89
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 89
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 89
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
W
79-72
79
72
+7
72avg 80
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
65avg 80
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
85-79
85
79
+6
80avg 80
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
82-109
82
109
-27
78avg 80
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
90-77
90
77
+13
81avg 80
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
W
81-74
81
74
+7
71avg 80
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-85
93
85
+8
85avg 80
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
82avg 80
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
22-22
19-16
19-15
20-26
20-22
12-18
15-27
23-18
24-21
22-24
16-16
28-20
12-30
23-31
19-28
22-22
24-19
23-18
21-18
29-26
16-28
17-14
19-6
25-18
21-20
26-24
21-23
23-21
29-18
18-26
17-19
25-19
23-25
13-12
25-17
9-21
32-20
15-18
12-21
164.4Avg total
81.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.278.8163.0+5.383%
Season at home (4)81.578.8160.2+2.875%
Season away (2)89.579.0168.5+10.5100%
Last 10 (10)81.882.6164.4-0.870%
Last 5 (5)83.079.2162.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.188.6170.7-6.433%
vs Similar ◀ (14)86.485.3171.6+1.164%
vs Weaker (6)87.582.0169.5+5.583%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
KeflavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grindavik
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H26/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A30/04
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/05
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/05
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#6
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H16/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H30/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A06/11
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/11
Premier league
88.1Avg total
44.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.443.385.7-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.042.985.9+0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)41.743.985.6-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.588.1+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)46.443.289.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.843.984.7-3.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.143.686.6-0.550%-
vs Weaker (6)42.541.884.3+0.750%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.6
52.2%
56.2%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.0
32.5%
33.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
73.9%13.2
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
Valur
LWWWWWLWLW
#5
League position
#4
+2.1
Net rating
+0.3
98.9
Offensive rating
91.9
96.7
Defensive rating
91.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.5%
3-point %
32.5%
55.9%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 91.9Defence96.7 · 91.5Shooting50.7% · 50.8%3-point %29.5% · 32.5%Ball care11.7% · 13.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Keflavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keflavik wins
7
Valur wins
DateGameScore
19/04/26Valur v Keflavik90-76
15/04/26Keflavik v Valur88-81
11/04/26Valur v Keflavik79-78
07/04/26Keflavik v Valur82-87
02/04/26Valur v Keflavik75-78
19/03/26Keflavik v Valur85-88
12/01/26Valur v Keflavik93-94
11/12/25Valur v Keflavik111-91
19/03/25Keflavik v Valur67-91
24/01/25Keflavik v Valur70-81
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAlftanes68-80
06/11/26ASindri86-73
30/10/26HArmann87-84
22/10/26ANjardvik93-85
16/10/26HGrindavik81-74
08/10/26HStjarnan90-77
06/05/26AGrindavik82-109
04/05/26HGrindavik85-79
30/04/26AGrindavik67-93
26/04/26HGrindavik79-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game84.281.589.5
Allowed / game78.878.879.0
Point differential+5.3+2.8+10.5
Avg total163.0160.2168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.