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Keflavik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 85-88
20-16 16-31 26-20 23-21
Position#5
Record11-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game92.3
vs
Valur 🏆
Iceland
Position#4
Record13-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game90.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 21· Blue-hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keflavik v Valur
10 Dec 2026
KEFL v VALU
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
KEFL88
VALU81
07 Apr 2026
KEFL82
VALU87
19 Mar 2026
KEFL85
VALU88
19 Mar 2025
KEFL67
VALU91
24 Jan 2025
KEFL70
VALU81
19 Oct 2023
KEFL87
VALU86
10 Mar 2023
KEFL80
VALU111
19 Nov 2021
KEFL79
VALU78
07 May 2021
KEFL101
VALU82
31 Oct 2019
KEFL92
VALU82
10 Mar 2019
KEFL101
VALU77
05 Oct 2017
KEFL117
VALU86
30 Jan 2014
KEFL106
VALU92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
W
94-93
94
93
+1
94avg 89
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
98-116
98
116
-18
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 89
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
98-81
98
81
+17
95avg 89
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
98-78
98
78
+20
95avg 89
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
96avg 89
H03/02
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#1
L
99-105
99
105
-6
100avg 89
H13/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
96-97
96
97
-1
94avg 89
A19/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
106-96
106
96
+10
106avg 89
A06/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
105-107
105
107
-2
96avg 89
A12/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
25-21
23-25
23-20
15-36
35-33
21-27
27-20
19-28
24-27
28-24
22-23
26-9
21-28
28-24
23-20
24-29
18-22
23-12
33-15
24-27
21-20
29-27
21-21
24-23
18-36
30-26
27-20
27-31
28-14
22-29
19-23
17-20
28-16
39-33
22-27
27-26
19-27
25-33
34-21
197.9Avg total
99.4Scored
98.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)95.792.3188.1+3.455%
Season at home (10)95.485.4180.8+10.080%
Season away (10)96.099.3195.3-3.330%
Last 10 (10)99.498.5197.9+0.940%
Last 5 (5)102.6103.0205.6-0.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)87.596.4183.9-8.930%
vs Similar ◀ (11)101.099.8200.8+1.255%
vs Weaker (8)94.287.1181.4+7.162%
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
101avg 83
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
106avg 83
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
82avg 83
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
70avg 83
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 83
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
98avg 83
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
108-87
108
87
+21
108avg 83
A20/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
85avg 83
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
78-110
78
110
-32
65avg 83
A12/03
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-14
17-30
13-22
28-23
21-35
19-26
26-18
36-26
27-23
21-25
25-23
20-23
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
18-19
12-16
23-13
12-17
16-23
15-19
18-19
18-17
21-17
24-28
26-17
31-23
26-23
23-18
34-24
25-22
19-18
26-23
25-25
14-18
19-25
15-35
18-29
26-21
182.0Avg total
90.7Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.190.0181.1+1.065%
Season at home (10)90.786.8177.5+3.970%
Season away (10)91.593.3184.8-1.860%
Last 10 (10)90.791.3182.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)89.490.0179.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)83.191.6174.7-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (14)90.787.7178.4+3.064%
vs Weaker (8)92.884.5177.2+8.288%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
KeflavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/01
Icelandic Cup
Stjarnan
#3
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A15/01
Premier league
Armann
#10
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H22/01
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H26/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H03/02
Icelandic Cup
Grindavik
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H13/02
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A19/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A06/03
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A12/03
Premier league
96.3Avg total
46.3Scored
50.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.748.395.0-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.945.192.1+1.857%-
Last 30 away (16)46.551.197.6-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)46.350.096.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)46.648.094.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)44.750.795.4-6.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)47.348.796.0-1.527%-
vs Weaker (8)48.146.494.5+1.862%-
This opponent (Valur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H22/01
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A29/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/02
Premier league
Alftanes
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A20/02
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H07/03
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A12/03
Premier league
87.1Avg total
40.4Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.287.9-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.143.988.0+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)43.244.687.8-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)40.446.787.1-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.886.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.649.688.1-11.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.243.789.9+2.557%-
vs Weaker (8)43.240.583.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 98.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.223.5
54.4%
54.6%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.4
35.0%
34.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.719.8
83.5%
74.2%19.8
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.524.9
53.5%
54.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.9
31.8%
34.0%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.411.6
75.3%
74.2%11.6
They take 77.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWLLLWWLLW
Valur
LWWWLWLLLW
#5
League position
#4
+2.3
Net rating
+1.2
104.5
Offensive rating
97.8
102.1
Defensive rating
96.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.0%
3-point %
31.8%
65.2%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 97.8Defence102.1 · 96.6Shooting53.6% · 51.2%3-point %35.0% · 31.8%Ball care13.4% · 12.6%Off. rebounds31.1% · 26.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keflavik wins
7
Valur wins
DateGameScore
12/01/26Valur v Keflavik93-94
11/12/25Valur v Keflavik111-91
19/03/25Keflavik v Valur67-91
24/01/25Keflavik v Valur70-81
24/10/24Valur v Keflavik104-80
18/01/24Valur v Keflavik105-82
19/10/23Keflavik v Valur87-86
10/03/23Keflavik v Valur80-111
02/12/22Valur v Keflavik75-100
05/03/22Valur v Keflavik88-74
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26AKR Basket105-107
06/03/26AAlftanes106-96
19/02/26AAkranes IA96-97
13/02/26HGrindavik99-105
03/02/26HStjarnan107-110 OT
30/01/26AThorl98-78
26/01/26HTindastoll98-81
22/01/26HArmann93-102
15/01/26AStjarnan98-116
12/01/26AValur94-93
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/26ANjardvik78-110
07/03/26HKR Basket92-90 OT
20/02/26AAlftanes108-87
12/02/26HAkranes IA102-85
29/01/26AGrindavik67-78
22/01/26HThorl80-71 OT
15/01/26AArmann77-94
12/01/26HKeflavik93-94
08/01/26HStjarnan102-105
03/01/26ATindastoll108-99 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL55%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%80%30%
Points / game95.795.496.0
Allowed / game92.385.499.3
Point differential+3.4+10.0-3.3
Avg total188.1180.8195.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %65%70%60%
Points / game91.190.791.5
Allowed / game90.086.893.3
Point differential+1.1+3.9-1.8
Avg total181.2177.5184.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik2017385%93.488.2+5.2
2 Tindastoll2015575%101.890.8+11.1
3 Stjarnan2014670%104.393.2+11.2
4 Valur2013765%91.190.0+1.1
5 KR Basket2012860%99.895.0+4.8
6 Keflavik2011955%95.792.3+3.4
7 IR Reykjavik2091145%90.591.2-0.6
8 Njardvik2081240%97.196.6+0.5
9 Alftanes2071335%90.891.0-0.3
10 Thorl2051525%87.897.2-9.4
11 Armann2051525%86.2100.0-13.9
12 Akranes IA2041620%87.2100.0-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik2016262385
Valur1631202188
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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