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Keila KK vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 24 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 71-78
17-18 15-22 20-24 19-14
Position#12
Record8-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game86.0
vs
Position#6
Record14-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)
Other2023
Meetings · Keila KK v Rigas Zelli
09 Feb 2027
KEIL v RZE
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
KEIL69
RZE91
10 Dec 2024
KEIL42
RZE89
24 Jan 2024
KEIL71
RZE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-115
71
115
-44
56avg 68
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 68
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 68
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 68
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
59avg 68
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 68
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
70avg 68
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
87-116
87
116
-29
71avg 68
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
72avg 68
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
85avg 68
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
17-33
18-32
17-22
14-18
17-18
17-22
25-19
17-21
22-30
19-18
17-17
20-20
29-20
20-18
24-15
23-28
15-15
25-21
19-16
14-23
20-17
19-17
19-26
20-27
21-28
23-25
15-27
20-38
29-27
21-32
17-19
21-19
20-19
22-23
17-19
24-25
20-19
20-21
30-21
173.5Avg total
81.7Scored
91.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.486.0166.4-5.640%
Season at home (9)81.286.1167.3-4.944%
Season away (11)79.785.9165.6-6.236%
Last 10 (10)81.791.8173.5-10.130%
Last 5 (5)84.697.4182.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.888.3162.1-14.411%
vs Similar (4)86.887.8174.5-1.050%
vs Weaker (7)93.181.0174.1+12.1100%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 74
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
81-84 OT
81
84
-3
68avg 74
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-75
71
75
-4
60avg 74
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
93-86
93
86
+7
84avg 74
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 74
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
no box
H06/01
Latvian Cup
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
89-64
89
64
+25
85avg 74
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
53avg 74
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
90avg 74
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
A19/01
Latvian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
28-12
14-16
20-22
18-17
27-18
14-24
14-14
18-17
18-22
18-16
17-20
24-27
29-18
11-26
29-15
20-22
21-14
24-16
22-23
19-20
24-20
18-26
18-19
22-18
24-20
19-14
24-12
20-24
18-17
13-29
14-21
24-18
22-22
26-22
17-10
14-19
27-18
22-18
21-17
159.9Avg total
82.7Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.472.2152.6+8.267%
Season at home (10)81.371.6152.9+9.780%
Season away (11)79.572.7152.3+6.855%
Last 10 (10)82.777.2159.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)81.276.8158.0+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.683.4158.0-8.820%
vs Similar (3)77.374.7152.0+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.168.8151.9+14.380%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +5.7+5.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
Keila KKRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-61
36
61
-25
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
87.5Avg total
40.2Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.882.8-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.143.182.2-4.042%-
Last 30 away (18)40.642.683.2-1.939%-
Last 10 (10)40.247.387.5-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.848.490.2-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.743.179.8-6.432%-
vs Similar (4)41.545.887.2-4.225%-
vs Weaker (7)48.040.188.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rapla
#10
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H27/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A29/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H06/01
Latvian Cup
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A10/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/01
Latvian Cup
82.5Avg total
44.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)40.835.075.7+5.865%-
Last 30 at home (11)38.635.073.6+3.645%-
Last 30 away (12)42.834.977.7+7.883%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.182.5+6.380%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.282.0+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.840.280.0-0.420%-
vs Similar (3)37.335.072.3+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.833.275.0+8.680%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.0
47.6%
50.5%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.0
33.1%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.617.3
70.3%
70.5%17.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
50.5%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.510.2
34.6%
32.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.810.6
63.1%
70.5%10.6
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
WLLLLWWLLL
Rigas Zelli
WWLWLWWLLW
#12
League position
#6
-14.1
Net rating
+5.4
100.9
Offensive rating
104.9
114.9
Defensive rating
99.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.7%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.1%
3-point %
34.6%
64.1%
Assist %
65.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 104.9Defence114.9 · 99.6Shooting48.5% · 51.7%3-point %33.1% · 34.6%Ball care17.7% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.9%Free throws0.38 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Keila KK   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
1
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
30/09/23Rigas Zelli v Keila KK77-56
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24ARapla94-86
17/01/24AZielona Gora91-95 OT
12/01/24AVentspils87-116
10/01/24ASiauliai79-107
06/01/24ATal Tech72-83
22/12/23HViimsi82-80
18/12/23ABrno93-73
15/12/23HRapla75-86
12/12/23ATartu Ulikool73-77
08/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-115
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AValmiera Glass Via84-72
17/01/24ATal Tech89-72
13/01/24HPrometey65-91
10/01/24ATallinna Kalev89-64
06/01/24HValmiera Glass Via79-85
29/12/23ABK Ogre87-75
27/12/23HVEF Riga93-86
23/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-75
12/12/23ABK Liepaja81-84 OT
05/12/23ARapla89-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%44%36%
Points / game80.481.279.7
Allowed / game86.086.185.9
Point differential-5.6-4.9-6.2
Avg total166.4167.3165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%11%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWLWL80%
AwayWLWWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %67%80%55%
Points / game80.481.379.5
Allowed / game72.271.672.7
Point differential+8.2+9.7+6.8
Avg total152.6152.9152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%40%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2019195%87.770.1+17.6
2 Prometey1917289%92.168.2+23.9
3 VEF Riga2116576%86.370.5+15.8
4 Tartu Ulikool1913668%77.770.1+7.6
5 Ventspils1913668%92.685.3+7.3
6 Rigas Zelli2114767%80.472.2+8.2
7 BK Ogre2011955%79.076.6+2.4
8 Tal Tech20101050%78.279.2-1.1
9 BK Liepaja1991047%79.180.3-1.3
10 Parnu1981142%76.277.4-1.2
11 Keila KK2081240%80.486.0-5.6
12 Rapla2071335%75.077.8-2.8
13 Viimsi2251723%66.984.9-18.0
14 Valmiera Glass Via1941521%74.585.3-10.8
15 Latvijas Universitate2131814%67.785.8-18.1
16 Tallinna Kalev1921711%67.089.4-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1715201971
Rigas Zelli1822241478
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