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Rapla vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-94
25-24 19-20 21-20 21-30
Position#10
Record7-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game76.9
vs
Position#12
Record7-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone (Rapla)
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Keila KK
15 Oct 2024
RAPL100
KEIL73
20 Jan 2024
RAPL86
KEIL94
29 Nov 2022
RAPL67
KEIL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
67avg 66
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
77avg 66
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
71-85
71
85
-14
68avg 66
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
73avg 66
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
68-89
68
89
-21
58avg 66
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
61-71
61
71
-10
45avg 66
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 66
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 66
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 66
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 66
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
14-24
21-17
24-28
16-26
24-15
16-19
17-13
15-22
13-22
17-16
26-25
20-15
24-18
13-23
25-20
18-27
12-28
16-14
22-20
15-22
11-17
13-12
22-20
21-17
30-22
18-19
17-17
12-21
20-22
22-14
26-22
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
153.5Avg total
75.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.476.9151.3-2.537%
Season at home (8)74.477.2151.6-2.938%
Season away (11)74.476.6151.0-2.336%
Last 10 (10)75.378.2153.5-2.940%
Last 5 (5)74.671.0145.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.481.7153.1-10.320%
vs Similar ◀ (11)75.578.1153.5-2.636%
vs Weaker (9)79.868.9148.7+10.978%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
101-91
101
91
+10
88avg 67
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
71-115
71
115
-44
56avg 67
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
66avg 67
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
75-86
75
86
-11
65avg 67
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
92avg 67
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
59avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
72-83
72
83
-11
63avg 67
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
70avg 67
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
87-116
87
116
-29
71avg 67
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
72avg 67
A17/01
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
32-18
30-33
22-22
19-28
17-33
18-32
17-22
14-18
17-18
17-22
25-19
17-21
22-30
19-18
17-17
20-20
29-20
20-18
24-15
23-28
15-15
25-21
19-16
14-23
20-17
19-17
19-26
20-27
21-28
23-25
15-27
20-38
29-27
21-32
17-19
21-19
20-19
22-23
17-19
174.7Avg total
82.4Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.786.0165.7-6.337%
Season at home (9)81.286.1167.3-4.944%
Season away (10)78.385.9164.2-7.630%
Last 10 (10)82.492.3174.7-9.930%
Last 5 (5)82.296.2178.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)73.088.0160.9-15.010%
vs Similar ◀ (3)84.388.3172.7-4.033%
vs Weaker (7)93.181.0174.1+12.1100%
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
RaplaKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H11/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
30-55
30
55
-25
H05/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
75.2Avg total
34.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.540.175.6-4.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.942.477.3-7.421%-
Last 30 away (16)36.138.174.2-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)34.840.475.2-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.637.672.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.743.073.7-12.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.140.777.8-3.636%-
vs Weaker (9)39.036.175.1+2.978%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
36-61
36
61
-25
H08/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H15/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Brno
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A18/12
ENBL
Viimsi
#15
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Siauliai
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/01
ENBL
87.2Avg total
40.7Scored
46.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.542.882.2-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.143.182.2-4.042%-
Last 30 away (18)39.742.682.3-2.839%-
Last 10 (10)40.746.587.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.648.288.8-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)36.343.179.4-6.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.746.387.0-5.733%-
vs Weaker (7)48.040.188.1+7.971%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.7
49.6%
50.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.3
30.5%
32.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.611.0
66.3%
70.5%11.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.4
47.5%
50.5%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.9
32.4%
32.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
70.5%17.7
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LWWWLLWLLL
Keila KK
LLLLWWLLLW
#10
League position
#12
-4.1
Net rating
-13.4
97.6
Offensive rating
100.9
101.6
Defensive rating
114.3
48.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
20.7%
Turnover %
16.9%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.5%
3-point %
32.4%
66.1%
Assist %
64.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 100.9Defence101.6 · 114.3Shooting48.2% · 48.0%3-point %30.5% · 32.4%Ball care20.7% · 16.9%Off. rebounds32.1% · 25.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Rapla   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Rapla wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
15/12/23Keila KK v Rapla75-86
13/01/23Keila KK v Rapla71-85
29/11/22Rapla v Keila KK67-59
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AParnu61-66
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
22/12/23HTal Tech80-79
15/12/23AKeila KK86-75
09/12/23ATartu Ulikool61-71
05/12/23HRigas Zelli68-89
28/11/23ATallinna Kalev82-76
17/11/23HVEF Riga71-85
11/11/23HParnu81-89 OT
03/11/23AVentspils78-88
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/24AZielona Gora91-95 OT
12/01/24AVentspils87-116
10/01/24ASiauliai79-107
06/01/24ATal Tech72-83
22/12/23HViimsi82-80
18/12/23ABrno93-73
15/12/23HRapla75-86
12/12/23ATartu Ulikool73-77
08/12/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-115
03/12/23ATallinna Kalev101-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL37%
HomeLLLWW38%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %37%38%36%
Points / game74.474.474.4
Allowed / game76.977.276.6
Point differential-2.5-2.9-2.3
Avg total151.3151.6151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %16%12%18%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL37%
HomeWLLLW44%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %37%44%30%
Points / game79.781.278.3
Allowed / game86.086.185.9
Point differential-6.3-4.9-7.6
Avg total165.7167.3164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%11%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2019195%87.770.1+17.6
2 Prometey1816289%91.668.0+23.6
3 VEF Riga2015575%86.070.8+15.2
4 Tartu Ulikool1913668%77.770.1+7.6
5 Rigas Zelli2114767%80.472.2+8.2
6 Ventspils1812667%92.786.2+6.6
7 BK Ogre1910953%79.277.2+2.0
8 Tal Tech1910953%78.678.1+0.5
9 BK Liepaja189950%79.679.8-0.2
10 Parnu1871139%75.677.5-1.9
11 Rapla1971237%74.476.9-2.5
12 Keila KK1971237%79.786.0-6.3
13 Viimsi2151624%66.584.8-18.3
14 Valmiera Glass Via1841422%75.085.8-10.8
15 Latvijas Universitate2131814%67.785.8-18.1
16 Tallinna Kalev1821611%67.189.2-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla2519212186
Keila KK2420203094
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