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Keilor Thunder vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 May 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 80-83
25-22 22-20 21-19 12-22
Position#14
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#12
Record5-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game79.8
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 6
Other2022
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Ballarat
14 Jun 2025
KEIL77
BALL66
04 May 2024
KEIL83
BALL113
14 Apr 2023
KEIL95
BALL92
28 May 2022
KEIL80
BALL83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
81-62
81
62
+19
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A22/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
19-23
19-11
22-8
21-20
25-17
22-28
15-24
13-18
8-14
23-21
18-24
25-30
16-17
16-21
19-16
29-20
14-19
19-28
26-29
22-17
23-26
12-10
20-27
23-28
13-25
23-19
22-18
160.9Avg total
78.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.382.6160.9-4.314%
Season at home (3)82.079.3161.3+2.733%
Season away (4)75.585.0160.5-9.50%
Last 10 (7)78.382.6160.9-4.314%
Last 5 (5)76.885.4162.2-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.082.3166.3+1.733%
vs Similar ◀ (3)73.083.7156.7-10.70%
vs Weaker (1)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H15/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H21/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-11
22-28
18-20
16-17
14-22
18-29
19-14
20-19
21-26
23-29
19-17
24-15
16-21
30-18
29-12
24-28
19-28
26-30
19-12
20-19
24-28
24-24
19-15
24-15
28-14
12-27
13-17
21-10
22-26
18-15
24-21
25-14
30-21
23-16
11-25
22-10
18-20
16-22
16-22
17-10
164.1Avg total
84.3Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.879.8165.5+6.062%
Season at home (4)92.581.2173.8+11.275%
Season away (4)79.078.2157.2+0.850%
Last 10 (10)84.379.8164.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)81.474.4155.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.678.2156.8+0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.279.7159.9+0.540%
vs Weaker (15)85.976.3162.2+9.573%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +5.6+5.6
Keilor ThunderBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H23/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#13
L
21-32
21
32
-11
A30/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A22/05
NBL1 South
80.9Avg total
38.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)38.942.080.9-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (3)42.741.784.3+1.067%-
Last 30 away (4)36.042.278.2-6.225%-
Last 10 (7)38.942.080.9-3.143%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.880.0-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.039.782.7+3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)32.744.076.7-11.30%-
vs Weaker (1)45.043.088.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A01/08
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H30/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A01/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H21/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/05
NBL1 South
88.9Avg total
43.4Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.382.6-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.040.983.9+2.150%-
Last 30 away (12)38.841.980.7-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)43.445.588.9-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.685.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.639.878.4-1.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.042.980.9-4.930%-
vs Weaker (15)44.440.885.2+3.660%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keilor Thunder wins
0
Ballarat wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22ANunawading81-90
21/05/22HDandenong77-80
15/05/22HMt Gambier88-96
07/05/22AGeelong76-84
30/04/22ANW Tasmania62-77
29/04/22AHobart Chargers83-89
23/04/22HBendigo Braves81-62
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/05/22AWaverley67-74
21/05/22HMelbourne Tigers86-72
15/05/22HCasey Cavaliers89-76
14/05/22AKilsyth74-68
07/05/22ABendigo Braves91-82
01/05/22ASandringham Sabres84-89
30/04/22HEltham99-79
23/04/22HGeelong96-98 OT
01/08/21ABendigo Braves71-84
31/07/21HEltham86-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game78.382.075.5
Allowed / game82.679.385.0
Point differential-4.3+2.7-9.5
Avg total160.9161.3160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game85.892.579.0
Allowed / game79.881.278.2
Point differential+6.0+11.2+0.8
Avg total165.5173.8157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston76186%94.481.6+12.9
2 Mt Gambier76186%100.688.0+12.6
3 Geelong86275%87.077.5+9.5
4 Waverley75271%85.681.0+4.6
5 Kilsyth96367%78.176.6+1.6
6 Nunawading85362%80.874.2+6.5
7 Ballarat85362%85.879.8+6.0
8 Hobart Chargers74357%83.079.6+3.4
9 NW Tasmania74357%71.774.9-3.1
10 Ringwood74357%77.785.0-7.3
11 Knox84450%82.976.6+6.2
12 Sandringham Sabres84450%77.483.8-6.4
13 Diamond Valley62433%83.789.2-5.5
14 Dandenong72529%77.681.9-4.3
15 Melbourne Tigers72529%75.984.0-8.1
16 Bendigo Braves82625%73.577.5-4.0
17 Casey Cavaliers82625%78.489.1-10.8
18 Keilor Thunder71614%78.382.6-4.3
19 Eltham6060%72.085.7-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2522211280
Ballarat2220192283
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