Keilor Thunder vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Jul 2022

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 87-82

18-15 24-19 20-25 25-23

Position#14

Record2-10

FormLLWLL

Points / game73.5

Allowed / game81.4

Keilor Thunder 🏆

Kilsyth

Position#3

Record8-5

FormWLWLW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game79.3

NBL1 SouthRound 10

Other2022

Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kilsyth winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

62-77

-15

A30/04

NBL1 South

Geelong

76-84

-8

A07/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

88-96

-8

H15/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

77-80

-3

H21/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

81-90

-9

A22/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

80-83

-3

H28/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

74-77

-3

A29/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

66-62

H04/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

53-88

-35

A18/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

61-89

-28

H26/06

NBL1 South

13-18

8-14

23-21

18-24

25-30

16-17

16-21

19-16

29-20

14-19

19-28

26-29

22-17

23-26

12-10

20-27

23-28

13-25

23-19

22-18

25-22

22-20

21-19

12-22

20-18

19-23

22-18

13-18

14-14

14-18

19-15

19-23

11-16

11-13

12-36

15-24

17-24

10-18

19-23

154.4Avg total

71.8Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	73.5	81.4	154.9	-7.9	17%
Season at home (6)	75.5	78.7	154.2	-3.2	33%
Season away (6)	71.5	84.2	155.7	-12.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	82.6	154.4	-10.8	10%
Last 5 (5)	66.8	79.8	146.6	-13.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	78.2	84.0	162.2	-5.8	25%
vs Similar (6)	71.0	83.2	154.2	-12.2	0%
vs Weaker (2)	71.5	71.0	142.5	+0.5	50%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

82-78

A06/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#13

100-73

100

+27

A07/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

68-74

-6

H14/05

NBL1 South

Knox

72-98

-26

A21/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

79-64

+15

H22/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

91-85

A28/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

66-89

-23

A04/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

86-78

H05/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

79-97

-18

A18/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

82-78

H25/06

NBL1 South

20-17

26-23

20-23

16-15

17-21

29-22

25-14

29-16

14-28

27-12

17-13

10-21

20-39

21-17

17-19

14-23

44-42

23-6

7-12

5-4

26-22

21-24

21-18

23-21

19-15

15-25

21-26

11-23

21-11

20-33

22-14

23-20

14-26

24-22

24-28

17-21

21-16

23-28

15-17

23-17

161.9Avg total

80.5Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	78.2	79.3	157.5	-1.2	62%
Season at home (6)	75.7	70.7	146.3	+5.0	83%
Season away (7)	80.3	86.7	167.0	-6.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	81.4	161.9	-0.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	85.4	166.2	-4.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	73.6	83.4	157.0	-9.9	44%
vs Similar (11)	77.3	78.9	156.2	-1.6	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	81.2	75.6	156.8	+5.6	70%

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Keilor ThunderKilsyth

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (6)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	21.5	21.0	42.5	+0.5	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	23.2	44.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	15.5	33.5	+2.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.7	21.3	41.0	-1.6	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	21.5	42.1	-0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.7	45.3	-2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.9	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.8	21.3	40.1	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	16.8	20.2	36.9	-3.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.2	21.7	39.8	-3.5	17%	-
Last 30 away (6)	15.3	18.7	34.0	-3.3	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.7	20.2	35.9	-4.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.2	36.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	18.8	20.8	39.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	14.8	19.2	34.0	-4.3	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	21.3	40.8	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	22.1	41.8	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	21.2	44.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	26.4	47.0	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	22.3	40.4	-4.2	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	30%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.9	20.9	42.8	+1.0	40%	-

Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#13

21-32

-11

A30/04

NBL1 South

Geelong

41-47

-6

A07/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

43-39

H15/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

45-43

H21/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

36-53

-17

A22/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

47-42

H28/05

NBL1 South

Waverley

39-41

-2

A29/05

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

28-32

-4

H04/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#11

30-39

-9

A18/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

32-48

-16

H26/06

NBL1 South

77.8Avg total

36.2Scored

41.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	37.3	41.3	78.7	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	39.2	41.2	80.3	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (6)	35.5	41.5	77.0	-6.0	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	41.6	77.8	-5.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	40.4	75.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	40.2	41.8	82.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.7	42.3	78.0	-6.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	37.5	74.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hobart Chargers

46-40

A06/05

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#13

46-43

A07/05

NBL1 South

Ballarat

#12

41-40

H14/05

NBL1 South

Knox

41-56

-15

A21/05

NBL1 South

Dandenong

#19

67-48

+19

H22/05

NBL1 South

Nunawading

#16

47-46

A28/05

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#10

34-40

-6

A04/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

41-44

-3

H05/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

38-48

-10

A18/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#18

44-44

H25/06

NBL1 South

89.4Avg total

44.5Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.2	42.6	81.8	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	42.1	82.1	-2.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.3	43.2	81.5	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.5	44.9	89.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	44.4	85.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.7	43.8	79.4	-8.1	22%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.2	42.0	79.2	-4.8	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	44.4	42.1	86.5	+2.3	70%	-

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	18.1	18.4	36.5	-0.3	58%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	16.7	16.8	33.5	-0.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (6)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	16.6	33.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.5	21.2	38.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	15.5	12.5	28.0	+3.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.5	18.4	38.0	+1.1	52%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	17.8	37.1	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	44%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.4	17.1	35.5	+1.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	18.1	21.7	39.8	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	19.7	20.7	40.3	-1.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (6)	16.5	22.7	39.2	-6.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	22.8	37.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.0	22.3	38.3	-6.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	18.3	37.0	+0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	18.6	37.3	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.1	35.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.6	18.7	35.2	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.4	16.4	34.8	+2.0	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (12)	36.2	40.1	76.2	-3.9	25%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	36.3	37.5	73.8	-1.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (6)	36.0	42.7	78.7	-6.7	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	41.0	76.6	-5.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	39.4	71.0	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	38.0	42.2	80.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.3	40.8	76.2	-5.5	17%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	33.5	68.5	+1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.2	36.8	75.0	+1.5	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.1	36.3	74.4	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.5	37.3	75.8	+1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	36.5	72.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.0	81.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.9	39.7	77.6	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.0	37.4	77.4	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	36.8	33.5	70.3	+3.3	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keilor Thunder wins

Kilsyth wins

No previous meetings.

Keilor Thunderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/06/22	H	Hobart Chargers	61-89
18/06/22	A	Ringwood	53-88
04/06/22	H	Melbourne Tigers	66-62
29/05/22	A	Waverley	74-77
28/05/22	H	Ballarat	80-83
22/05/22	A	Nunawading	81-90
21/05/22	H	Dandenong	77-80
15/05/22	H	Mt Gambier	88-96
07/05/22	A	Geelong	76-84
30/04/22	A	NW Tasmania	62-77

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/06/22	H	Melbourne Tigers	82-78
18/06/22	A	Mt Gambier	79-97
05/06/22	H	Sandringham Sabres	86-78
04/06/22	A	Diamond Valley	66-89
28/05/22	A	Nunawading	91-85
22/05/22	H	Dandenong	79-64
21/05/22	A	Knox	72-98
14/05/22	H	Ballarat	68-74
07/05/22	A	NW Tasmania	100-73
06/05/22	A	Hobart Chargers	82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	17%
Home	LLLWL	33%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	17%	33%	0%
Points / game	73.5	75.5	71.5
Allowed / game	81.4	78.7	84.2
Point differential	-7.9	-3.2	-12.7
Avg total	154.9	154.2	155.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kilsyth

NBL1 South 2022

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	62%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	WLWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	62%	83%	43%
Points / game	78.2	75.7	80.3
Allowed / game	79.3	70.7	86.7
Point differential	-1.2	+5.0	-6.4
Avg total	157.5	146.3	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	17%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	12	10	2	83%	99.4	84.0	+15.4
2	Hobart Chargers	13	10	3	77%	86.1	78.2	+7.8
3	Sandringham Sabres	14	9	5	64%	82.3	83.7	-1.4
4	Frankston	13	8	5	62%	91.5	84.9	+6.5
5	Geelong	13	8	5	62%	83.8	78.8	+5.0
6	Kilsyth	13	8	5	62%	78.2	79.3	-1.2
7	Waverley	12	7	5	58%	83.5	81.7	+1.8
8	Knox	14	8	6	57%	84.4	76.0	+8.4
9	Ballarat	14	8	6	57%	80.8	78.5	+2.3
10	Ringwood	14	8	6	57%	78.0	80.6	-2.6
11	Bendigo Braves	13	7	6	54%	79.4	73.8	+5.5
12	Diamond Valley	12	6	6	50%	84.2	82.2	+1.9
13	NW Tasmania	13	6	7	46%	73.3	79.0	-5.7
14	Nunawading	14	6	8	43%	77.7	81.4	-3.7
15	Dandenong	14	4	10	29%	78.3	87.5	-9.2
16	Casey Cavaliers	12	3	9	25%	80.0	86.8	-6.8
17	Melbourne Tigers	12	3	9	25%	72.8	81.2	-8.5
18	Keilor Thunder	12	2	10	17%	73.5	81.4	-7.9
19	Eltham	12	2	10	17%	73.7	81.8	-8.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keilor Thunder	18	24	20	25	87
Kilsyth	15	19	25	23	82

← all games of the day

Keilor Thunder vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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