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Ballarat vs Keilor Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Jul 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 68-88
15-19 18-19 17-24 18-26
Position#12
Record8-6
FormWLWLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game78.5
vs
Position#14
Record3-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game81.5
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 11
Other2022
Meetings · Ballarat v Keilor Thunder
11 Jul 2025
BALL79
KEIL69
09 Jul 2022
BALL68
KEIL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#3
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H15/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H21/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A28/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A04/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A19/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
75-85
75
85
-10
H25/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A02/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
12-27
13-17
21-10
22-26
18-15
24-21
25-14
30-21
23-16
11-25
22-10
18-20
16-22
16-22
17-10
22-25
20-22
19-21
22-12
12-17
20-13
26-11
20-22
22-16
17-20
19-26
17-20
18-19
25-13
16-15
13-23
13-22
20-17
21-24
21-22
14-14
15-28
19-18
14-21
151.2Avg total
76.1Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.878.5159.3+2.357%
Season at home (6)86.782.0168.7+4.750%
Season away (8)76.475.9152.2+0.562%
Last 10 (10)76.175.1151.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.476.2148.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.779.1154.9-3.443%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.878.8158.7+1.046%
vs Weaker (10)83.774.4158.1+9.380%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
H15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A22/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A29/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
66-62
66
62
+4
H04/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
53-88
53
88
-35
A18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
61-89
61
89
-28
H26/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H02/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-30
16-17
16-21
19-16
29-20
14-19
19-28
26-29
22-17
23-26
12-10
20-27
23-28
13-25
23-19
22-18
25-22
22-20
21-19
12-22
20-18
19-23
22-18
13-18
14-14
14-18
19-15
19-15
19-23
11-16
11-13
12-36
15-24
17-24
10-18
19-23
18-15
24-19
20-25
25-23
157.4Avg total
74.3Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)74.581.5156.0-6.923%
Season at home (7)77.179.1156.3-2.043%
Season away (6)71.584.2155.7-12.70%
Last 10 (10)74.383.1157.4-8.820%
Last 5 (5)68.279.6147.8-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.083.6163.6-3.640%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.083.2154.2-12.20%
vs Weaker (2)71.571.0142.5+0.550%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
BallaratKeilor Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A14/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#15
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H15/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H21/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A22/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A28/05
NBL1 South
Geelong
#8
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A04/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A19/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H25/06
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A02/07
NBL1 South
77.2Avg total
38.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.179.8-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.180.7+2.457%-
Last 30 away (16)38.240.979.1-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)38.538.777.2-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.235.871.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.339.676.9-2.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.541.979.4-4.531%-
vs Weaker (10)44.538.082.5+6.580%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong
#8
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A07/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H15/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#19
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#16
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A22/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A29/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#18
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H04/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H26/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H02/07
NBL1 South
80.1Avg total
38.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)37.740.878.5-3.138%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.640.179.7-0.657%-
Last 30 away (6)35.541.577.0-6.017%-
Last 10 (10)38.341.880.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.873.0-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.640.280.8+0.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)35.742.378.0-6.717%-
vs Weaker (2)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ballarat wins
0
Keilor Thunder wins
DateGameScore
28/05/22Keilor Thunder v Ballarat80-83
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/22AKnox62-81
25/06/22HRingwood75-85
19/06/22ADandenong72-70
18/06/22HHobart Chargers75-82
04/06/22AGeelong78-63
28/05/22AKeilor Thunder83-80
22/05/22AWaverley67-74
21/05/22HMelbourne Tigers86-72
15/05/22HCasey Cavaliers89-76
14/05/22AKilsyth74-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/22HKilsyth87-82
26/06/22HHobart Chargers61-89
18/06/22ARingwood53-88
04/06/22HMelbourne Tigers66-62
29/05/22AWaverley74-77
28/05/22HBallarat80-83
22/05/22ANunawading81-90
21/05/22HDandenong77-80
15/05/22HMt Gambier88-96
07/05/22AGeelong76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL57%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%50%62%
Points / game80.886.776.4
Allowed / game78.582.075.9
Point differential+2.3+4.7+0.5
Avg total159.3168.7152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW23%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%43%0%
Points / game74.577.171.5
Allowed / game81.579.184.2
Point differential-6.9-2.0-12.7
Avg total156.0156.3155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hobart Chargers1411379%86.278.5+7.7
2 Mt Gambier1310377%99.185.2+13.8
3 Geelong149564%84.979.7+5.2
4 Sandringham Sabres149564%82.383.7-1.4
5 Bendigo Braves148657%79.673.7+5.9
6 Frankston148657%91.185.4+5.8
7 Ballarat148657%80.878.5+2.3
8 Kilsyth148657%78.479.9-1.4
9 Ringwood148657%78.080.6-2.6
10 Waverley137654%84.183.0+1.1
11 Knox158753%83.576.5+7.1
12 Diamond Valley147750%83.984.4-0.4
13 NW Tasmania136746%73.379.0-5.7
14 Nunawading156940%78.081.9-3.9
15 Casey Cavaliers145936%83.086.4-3.4
16 Dandenong1441029%78.387.5-9.2
17 Keilor Thunder1331023%74.581.5-6.9
18 Eltham1331023%75.782.8-7.2
19 Melbourne Tigers1331023%73.581.5-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat1518171868
Keilor Thunder1919242688
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