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Keilor Thunder vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 78-94
25-20 18-28 17-26 18-20
Position#15
Record4-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth
24 May 2025
KEIL78
KILS94
25 May 2024
KEIL76
KILS65
06 May 2023
KEIL98
KILS89
02 Jul 2022
KEIL87
KILS82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
76-100
76
100
-24
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
71-87
71
87
-16
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
103-111
103
111
-8
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A25/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
53-98
53
98
-45
A26/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H03/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H17/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-11
21-24
16-24
34-23
15-28
19-24
20-27
22-21
22-29
12-19
15-17
22-22
24-22
26-31
25-30
28-28
23-19
14-18
31-22
19-25
27-22
33-22
19-21
9-30
13-22
19-24
8-22
13-30
18-37
28-15
26-23
30-25
19-19
16-25
21-9
13-22
25-16
14-30
19-14
17-10
172.3Avg total
82.1Scored
90.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.190.2172.3-8.140%
Season at home (4)85.088.5173.5-3.575%
Season away (6)80.291.3171.5-11.217%
Last 10 (10)82.190.2172.3-8.140%
Last 5 (5)77.487.6165.0-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.392.0174.3-9.736%
vs Similar (10)86.386.3172.6+0.070%
vs Weaker (6)84.387.0171.3-2.750%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
84-96
84
96
-12
A11/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
84-85
84
85
-1
A12/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
61-82
61
82
-21
H03/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-88
104
88
+16
A17/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
18-29
18-27
25-16
19-24
27-17
17-11
22-25
19-10
18-19
17-18
18-20
17-26
19-19
20-30
28-21
19-27
22-16
21-21
22-21
23-18
20-21
21-23
22-18
27-19
23-23
21-29
19-18
16-28
8-25
16-16
21-13
34-15
23-24
26-19
21-17
26-22
27-19
22-23
29-24
168.1Avg total
85.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.482.7168.1+2.760%
Season at home (4)80.876.0156.8+4.875%
Season away (6)88.587.2175.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)85.482.7168.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)89.082.8171.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.990.1168.1-12.219%
vs Similar (12)81.974.9156.8+7.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)94.086.5180.5+7.550%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
Keilor ThunderKilsyth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A05/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A11/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H13/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
60-44
60
44
+16
A25/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H03/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H17/05
NBL1 South
87.1Avg total
41.4Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.745.387.0-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.845.786.5-4.927%-
Last 30 away (15)42.744.987.5-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.445.787.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)42.446.488.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)40.746.987.6-6.129%-
vs Similar (10)42.545.487.9-2.930%-
vs Weaker (6)42.841.584.3+1.333%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Knox
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A29/03
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A04/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H06/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A11/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H17/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A26/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
24-53
24
53
-29
H03/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A17/05
NBL1 South
84.5Avg total
42.8Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.083.7-0.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.241.081.2-0.864%-
Last 30 away (16)43.142.985.9+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.841.784.5+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.888.2+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.644.985.6-4.338%-
vs Similar (12)42.338.180.4+4.283%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.042.089.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keilor Thunder wins
1
Kilsyth wins
DateGameScore
25/05/24Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth76-65
11/04/24Kilsyth v Keilor Thunder108-81
06/05/23Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth98-89
02/07/22Keilor Thunder v Kilsyth87-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HWaverley75-70
10/05/25AKnox69-75
03/05/25HNunawading102-100
26/04/25ANW Tasmania53-98
25/04/25AHobart Chargers88-95
13/04/25HFrankston87-84
11/04/25ADandenong103-111
05/04/25ABendigo Braves71-87
30/03/25HMt Gambier76-100
29/03/25ADiamond Valley97-82
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25ADiamond Valley104-88
10/05/25HEltham104-75
03/05/25HCasey Cavaliers61-82
26/04/25ASandringham Sabres90-89
17/04/25HRingwood86-80
12/04/25ANW Tasmania84-85
11/04/25AHobart Chargers84-96
06/04/25HNunawading72-67
04/04/25AMelbourne Tigers85-77
29/03/25AKnox84-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %40%75%17%
Points / game82.185.080.2
Allowed / game90.288.591.3
Point differential-8.1-3.5-11.2
Avg total172.3173.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game85.480.888.5
Allowed / game82.776.087.2
Point differential+2.7+4.8+1.3
Avg total168.1156.8175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1110191%91.777.7+14.0
2 Mt Gambier118373%96.583.0+13.5
3 Casey Cavaliers117464%87.081.9+5.1
4 Melbourne Tigers106460%86.078.7+7.3
5 Kilsyth106460%85.482.7+2.7
6 Bendigo Braves127558%87.492.7-5.2
7 Frankston116555%91.387.5+3.8
8 Hobart Chargers116555%84.681.4+3.3
9 Nunawading116555%86.988.6-1.7
10 Ballarat116555%86.093.7-7.7
11 Eltham105550%86.787.6-0.9
12 Waverley115645%90.693.5-2.8
13 Geelong104640%82.287.4-5.2
14 Keilor Thunder104640%82.190.2-8.1
15 Sandringham Sabres114736%86.091.2-5.2
16 Diamond Valley114736%86.692.9-6.3
17 Ringwood124833%91.889.1+2.8
18 NW Tasmania113827%86.086.8-0.8
19 Dandenong112918%86.795.4-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder2518171878
Kilsyth2028262094
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