Keilor Thunder vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Mar 2025

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 76-100

15-28 19-24 20-27 22-21

Position#15

Record1-0

FormWLLLW

Points / game97.0

Allowed / game82.0

Keilor Thunder

Mt Gambier 🏆

Position#2

Record1-0

FormLWLLW

Points / game108.0

Allowed / game58.0

NBL1 South

Other2025

Meetings · Keilor Thunder v Mt Gambier

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Mt Gambier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

82-69

+13

A01/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

64-80

-16

H07/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

77-70

A15/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

111-85

111

+26

A22/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

72-75

-3

H29/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

112-93

112

+19

H05/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

72-83

-11

A07/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

67-98

-31

H11/07

NBL1 South

Knox

68-104

104

-36

A13/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

97-82

+15

A29/03

NBL1 South

15-24

22-12

25-14

20-19

18-27

18-21

18-19

10-13

17-19

23-22

19-13

18-16

21-23

36-17

28-26

26-19

26-12

14-27

8-23

24-13

29-19

31-11

27-28

25-35

18-20

12-17

17-24

25-22

12-27

15-24

20-25

20-22

23-23

16-25

12-28

17-28

26-11

21-24

16-24

34-23

166.1Avg total

82.2Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	97.0	82.0	179.0	+15.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	97.0	82.0	179.0	+15.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	83.9	166.1	-1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	92.0	175.2	-8.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	84.4	97.0	181.4	-12.6	21%
vs Similar (10)	87.5	84.8	172.3	+2.7	70%
vs Weaker (6)	90.8	90.2	181.0	+0.7	67%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#18

96-81

+15

A16/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

96-70

+26

H21/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

97-80

+17

A29/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

86-72

+14

A30/06

NBL1 South

Knox

93-85

H05/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

86-91

-5

H06/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

117-75

117

+42

H12/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

59-75

-16

H20/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

82-91

-9

H27/07

NBL1 South

Geelong

#17

108-58

108

+50

A29/03

NBL1 South

24-20

30-14

23-18

19-29

26-25

27-17

20-14

23-14

23-28

27-14

25-20

22-18

19-20

23-15

28-21

16-16

12-17

26-19

30-22

25-27

29-34

16-16

17-18

24-23

28-12

29-17

36-26

24-20

13-17

17-18

18-22

11-18

19-25

18-19

23-21

22-26

32-12

26-19

23-11

27-16

169.8Avg total

92.0Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	108.0	58.0	166.0	+50.0	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	108.0	58.0	166.0	+50.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	92.0	77.8	169.8	+14.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	78.0	168.4	+12.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	63.0	68.0	131.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	88.4	86.2	174.7	+2.2	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.7	78.3	167.9	+11.4	80%

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Keilor ThunderMt Gambier

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	23.3	45.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	23.1	46.1	-0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.3	23.4	45.7	-1.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.5	41.0	+0.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	23.1	24.6	47.8	-1.5	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.4	23.5	44.9	-2.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.5	19.7	43.2	+3.8	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.1	45.0	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	24.4	46.1	-2.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.0	20.1	44.1	+3.9	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.0	43.5	+1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.4	24.0	45.4	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	21.3	45.0	+2.3	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	23.3	44.4	-2.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	22.6	42.1	-3.2	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	23.9	46.4	-1.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	25.6	45.7	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.1	21.2	43.3	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.8	21.3	43.2	+0.5	17%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	18.2	41.0	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	17.7	40.6	+5.2	81%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	16.8	40.7	+7.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.8	39.0	+3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	13.0	25.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.4	18.1	40.6	+4.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.6	18.4	42.0	+5.2	80%	-

Keilor ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Melbourne Tigers

#13

37-36

A01/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

36-48

-12

H07/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

40-41

-1

A15/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

57-40

+17

A22/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

40-39

H29/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

60-30

+30

H05/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

30-37

-7

A07/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

27-51

-24

H11/07

NBL1 South

Knox

39-48

-9

A13/07

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#19

47-35

+12

A29/03

NBL1 South

81.8Avg total

41.3Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.7	46.6	90.3	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.4	45.8	88.2	-3.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.9	47.2	92.1	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	40.5	81.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.2	80.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	43.2	50.3	93.5	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	43.5	44.7	88.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.3	41.0	86.3	+4.3	50%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Diamond Valley

#18

54-34

+20

A16/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

53-42

+11

H21/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

50-42

A29/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

42-35

A30/06

NBL1 South

Knox

38-36

H05/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

45-50

-5

H06/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

57-29

+28

H12/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

30-35

-5

H20/07

NBL1 South

Eltham

37-44

-7

H27/07

NBL1 South

Geelong

#17

58-31

+27

A29/03

NBL1 South

84.2Avg total

46.4Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	40.2	86.0	+5.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.6	43.1	87.6	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.9	37.8	84.6	+9.1	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	37.8	84.2	+8.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	37.8	83.2	+7.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	33.0	67.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.9	42.1	86.0	+1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	47.2	39.8	87.0	+7.5	75%	-

This opponent (Keilor Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	23.1	44.7	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	23.1	45.6	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	23.2	43.9	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	22.4	41.4	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.8	44.2	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	24.9	43.9	-5.8	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.6	20.5	45.1	+4.1	70%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	23.5	46.0	-1.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.6	41.6	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	20.2	41.7	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	19.3	43.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	19.6	43.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	13.0	26.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	22.3	43.9	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	19.9	41.5	+1.7	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.9	43.2	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	21.1	41.9	-0.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	22.6	44.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	26.0	50.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	22.1	21.9	43.9	+0.2	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	23.0	25.7	48.7	-2.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	20.6	42.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	18.1	38.6	+2.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.6	20.4	42.0	+1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.9	18.6	39.5	+2.2	65%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	45.0	88.0	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.4	44.1	87.6	-0.7	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.6	45.8	88.3	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.4	84.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	51.8	94.4	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	41.1	46.7	87.9	-5.6	14%	-
vs Similar (10)	44.0	40.1	84.1	+3.9	70%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.5	49.2	94.7	-3.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.7	81.9	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.5	41.2	83.7	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.9	38.4	80.2	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.6	40.0	85.6	+5.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	40.2	85.2	+4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	35.0	64.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.1	42.8	85.9	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.4	38.5	80.9	+3.9	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Keilor Thunder wins

Mt Gambier wins

Date	Game	Score
07/06/24	Keilor Thunder v Mt Gambier	64-80
26/04/24	Mt Gambier v Keilor Thunder	83-96
22/04/23	Mt Gambier v Keilor Thunder	106-82
15/05/22	Keilor Thunder v Mt Gambier	88-96

Keilor Thunderlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/25	A	Diamond Valley	97-82
13/07/24	A	Knox	68-104
11/07/24	H	Eltham	67-98
07/07/24	A	Sandringham Sabres	72-83
05/07/24	H	Diamond Valley	112-93
29/06/24	H	Dandenong	72-75
22/06/24	A	Bendigo Braves	111-85
15/06/24	A	Ringwood	77-70
07/06/24	H	Mt Gambier	64-80
01/06/24	A	Melbourne Tigers	82-69

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/03/25	A	Geelong	108-58
27/07/24	H	Eltham	82-91
20/07/24	H	Sandringham Sabres	59-75
12/07/24	H	Ringwood	117-75
06/07/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	86-91
05/07/24	H	Knox	93-85
30/06/24	A	Dandenong	86-72
29/06/24	A	Nunawading	97-80
21/06/24	H	Hobart Chargers	96-70
16/06/24	A	Diamond Valley	96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	97.0	-	97.0
Allowed / game	82.0	-	82.0
Point differential	+15.0	-	+15.0
Avg total	179.0	-	179.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Mt Gambier

NBL1 South 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	-	-
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	108.0	-	108.0
Allowed / game	58.0	-	58.0
Point differential	+50.0	-	+50.0
Avg total	166.0	-	166.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	100%	-	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	1	1	0	100%	108.0	58.0	+50.0
2	Ballarat	1	1	0	100%	109.0	75.0	+34.0
3	Frankston	1	1	0	100%	103.0	80.0	+23.0
4	Keilor Thunder	1	1	0	100%	97.0	82.0	+15.0
5	Waverley	1	1	0	100%	98.0	83.0	+15.0
6	Ringwood	1	1	0	100%	82.0	72.0	+10.0
7	Casey Cavaliers	1	1	0	100%	87.0	80.0	+7.0
8	Knox	1	1	0	100%	88.0	84.0	+4.0
9	Kilsyth	1	0	1	0%	84.0	88.0	-4.0
10	Dandenong	1	0	1	0%	80.0	87.0	-7.0
11	Eltham	1	0	1	0%	72.0	82.0	-10.0
12	Diamond Valley	1	0	1	0%	82.0	97.0	-15.0
13	Nunawading	1	0	1	0%	83.0	98.0	-15.0
14	Sandringham Sabres	1	0	1	0%	80.0	103.0	-23.0
15	Bendigo Braves	1	0	1	0%	75.0	109.0	-34.0
16	Geelong	1	0	1	0%	58.0	108.0	-50.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Keilor Thunder	15	19	20	22	76
Mt Gambier	28	24	27	21	100

← all games of the day

Keilor Thunder vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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